The Philadelphia Phillies (90-59) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (86-63) on Monday, September 16th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on BSWI. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Brewers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 6:40 CT.
Phillies vs. Brewers Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Brewers (+101)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- The Brewers have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game in their last 15 games.
- The Brewers have a home record of 42-29, indicating strong performance at home.
- The Brewers have won 4 out of their last 6 home games.
- The Brewers have a league rank of 3rd in the NL, showing overall strong performance.
- The Brewers have scored 9 or more runs in 4 of their last 15 games, demonstrating offensive potential.
Phillies vs Brewers
The Phillies Are Coming Off A Win
Cristopher Sánchez was excellent in his last start for the Phillies, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Philadelphia’s offense scored their only two runs in the 4th inning of their 2-1 win over the Mets. The Phillies were the -134 favorite at home going into the game.
José Ruiz closed things out for the Phillies, picking up the save. Philadelphia’s starter, Cristopher Sánchez, was also impressive, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out seven. The Phillies scored their only two runs in thejson 4th inning.
Philadelphia is currently 90-59 overall and they lead the NL East by nine games over the Mets. The Phillies have won two straight games and they have taken two of three in their most recent series vs. the Mets. Their series record is 27-16-7 and they have won two straight series.
On the road, the Phillies have a run line record of 37-34 and their average run differential is +0.5. Their over/under record this season is 70-72 and when the O/U line is 8 runs, their record is 17-18-1. The season average for Phillies games is 8.9 runs per game, and the over has hit in 49.0% of their games.
Ranger Suárez Gets The Start For The Phillies
Left-hander Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 24 starts this season and has a record of 12-6 with a 3.05 ERA. Suárez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.13. In his 24 appearances, he has one complete game shutout and 11 quality starts. Suárez most recently pitched on September 10th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. The Phillies are also near the top of the league in team batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Collectively, they are the 4th best hitting team in the league, with a batting average of .258.
Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the Phillies’ top power threats this season, as Harper has 28 homers (12th in the MLB) and Schwarber leads the team with 35 home runs. Schwarber is also 11th in the league in RBIs (95). Harper has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/22 in his last six games, including two homers.
The Brewers Took The Last Game Of This Series
Milwaukee is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 11-10 loss to the Diamondbacks, Jackson Chourio went 3/6 with a homer and five RBIs, and Eric Haase was 3/5 with a homer and two RBIs. The Brewers also scored three runs in the 5th inning.
DL Hall got the start for the Brewers and took the loss. He only lasted three innings, giving up five earned runs. Offensively, the Brewers had 13 hits but only scored 10 runs. Jared Koenig took the loss out of the bullpen.
As the favorite, the Brewers have a 50-36 record and overall, they are 86-63, leading the NL Central by 10 games over the Cubs. Milwaukee has an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game in their wins, contributing to a 43-20 run line record as underdogs.
For the season, the Brewers have played to an over/under record of 77-63, with their games averaging 8.8 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs, and Milwaukee’s games have gone over that line 55% of the time. Heading into today’s game, the Brewers have won two straight series.
Aaron Civale Gets The Start For The Brewers
Right-hander Aaron Civale gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Phillies at home. He has made 28 starts this year and has a record of 6-8 with a 4.57 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Civale has a WHIP of 1.32 and has turned in seven quality starts. In his 28 appearances, opponents have batted .252. In his last outing, Civale picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on three hits. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
William Contreras and Willy Adames have been a nice 1-2 punch for the Brewers this season, as Adames is 2nd in the league in RBIs and has a team-high 32 homers, while Contreras is batting .280 and has 88 RBIs. Rhys Hoskins has also been a big power threat for the team, as he is 2nd on the team with 24 homers but has struggled with a batting average of just .207.
Adames and Hoskins will be looking to get back on track, as Adames has hit just .231 over his last seven games, and Hoskins is batting just .207 for the season. However, both players have two homers over this stretch. Garrett Mitchell and Jackson Chourio have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Chourio coming in with a four-game hitting streak and a line of 8/29 in his last seven games.
Phillies vs Brewers Prediction
With the Brewers at +101 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Brewers, making their money line a great payout.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Aaron Civale is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is the third-best among all starters today. As for Ranger Suarez, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which ranks him 11th.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 16, 2024 Brewers, Phillies