The Philadelphia Phillies (63-36) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (54-44) on Monday, July 22nd. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on NSPPH. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Twins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 6:40 CT.
Phillies vs. Twins Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Twins (+113)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- The Twins have scored an average of 6.4 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
- The Twins have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
- The Twins have a home record of 27-20, compared to the Phillies’ away record of 26-20.
- The Twins have a higher league rank in runs scored over the last 10 games compared to the Phillies.
- The Twins have outscored their opponents by a total of 15 runs in their last 5 home games.
Phillies vs Twins
The Phillies Are Coming Off A Win
Heading into their last game vs. the Pirates, the Phillies closed out the series with a 6-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -125 on the money line. It was a big second inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Pirates could only score two runs the rest of the 3rd.
Tyler Phillips put together a good start for the Phillies, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out three batters. Nick Castellanos was hot at the plate, going 2/5 with a homer and three RBIs.
Philadelphia is 63-36 overall this season, leading the NL East by 8.5 games over the Braves. They are 26-20 on the road and have a 42-18 record in night games. The Phillies are 55-28 as the favorite and have a 51-48 run line record, including 24-22 on the road.
When the total is set at 8 runs, the Phillies have a 15-11-1 O/U record. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs, and their overall O/U record is 44-50. Today’s O/U line is 8 runs, and the under has hit in their last two games.
Ranger Suárez Gets The Start For The Phillies
Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Twins on the road. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 10-4. Suárez’s ERA is currently 2.76, along with a WHIP of 1.04. This year, he has one complete game shutout and 11 quality starts. In his last outing, Suárez took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Suárez has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-3 and an ERA of 2.96 compared to 5-1 with a 3.03 ERA at home.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
Philadelphia has been one of the league’s best offensive teams this season, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 3rd in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per game. As a team, the Phillies are batting .259, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. They also have the league’s 6th best home run total.
Over the past 8 games, Trea Turner has been swinging a hot bat for the Phillies, going 10/32 with 4 homers and 8 RBIs. Alec Bohm and Bryce Harper have also been big run producers for the Phillies, as Bohm’s 71 RBIs lead the team and Harper is right behind him with 63. Harper’s 22 homers are the best mark on the team and 6th best in the league.
The Twins Took The Last Game Of This Series
Minnesota is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 8-7 loss to Milwaukee, Byron Buxton went 2/5 with two homers, and Trevor Larnach went 1/3 with a homer. The Twins also scored two runs in the 2nd inning but still took the loss. Minnesota was the -164 favorite at home going into the game.
Joe Ryan got the start for the Twins and took the loss. He only lasted six innings, giving up four earned runs on seven hits. Griffin Jax took the loss out of the bullpen, as the Twins scored two runs in the top of the 9th to tie things up. However, the Brewers scored one run in the bottom of the 9th to pick up the win.
Minnesota, who is 5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central, is looking to end a three-game losing streak. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games and have an overall series record of 19-11-2. The Twins have a 44-26 record as favorites and 10-18 as underdogs.
On the run line, the Twins are 46-52 overall, with a 28-23 record on the road and 18-29 at home. Their games have averaged 8 runs this season, and the over is on a 2-game streak. Heading into today’s game, the Twins have failed to cover the run line in their last three home games.
Bailey Ober Gets The Start For The Twins
Twins starter Bailey Ober will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the White Sox, as he gave up three earned runs in six innings of work. He ended up taking the loss in that outing. Before that, he had picked up the win in back-to-back starts. Ober has a record of 8-5 this season and an ERA of 4.14. Opposing batters are hitting .227 off the right-hander this season. Ober has made nine quality starts this year and is averaging 9.54 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 16 homers.
Twins Offense Breakdown
Carlos Correa has been one of the Twins’ top hitters this season, batting .308 with a team-high 47 RBIs and 13 home runs. He is currently on a four-game hitting streak. Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers are also tied for the team lead with 14 homers. However, both players have struggled of late, with Santana batting just .200 over his last six games and Jeffers hitting .235 for the season.
Willi Castro and Carlos Correa have been the Twins’ most consistent hitters this season, with Castro batting .265 and Correa at .308. Castro has gone deep seven times, while Correa is 2nd on the team with 47 RBIs. As a team, the Twins are 7th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game and are 6th in team batting average.
Phillies vs Twins Prediction
With the Twins being the underdog at +113, they are offering a good payout today, and that’s the direction we are looking for this one. Our predicted score is a 7-6 win for the Twins, and with the payout, we would recommend taking them on the money line.
Looking at Bailey Ober and Ranger Suarez, we have Ober finishing with six strikeouts compared to Suarez at five. However, Ober has a better chance of picking up a win, as he is 14th compared to Suarez at fourth.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 22, 2024 Phillies, Twins