The Philadelphia Phillies (63-37) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (55-44) on Tuesday, July 23rd. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on BSN. The Twins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Twins. First pitch is set for 6:40 CT.
Phillies vs. Twins Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Twins (+135)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- The Twins have scored an average of 6.1 runs per game in their last 15 games.
- The Twins have a home record of 28-20, indicating strong performance at home.
- The Twins have won 5 of their last 7 home games.
- The Twins have a recent win against the Phillies, scoring 7 runs on July 22nd.
- The Twins have a league rank of 5th in the AL, showing overall strong performance.
Phillies vs Twins
It was all Minnesota in the last game of this series, as the Twins took down the Phillies by a score of 7-2. The Twins offense only had two more hits than the Phillies and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at -103 on the money line.
Both teams scored two runs in the first inning, and the Phillies could only muster one more run in the 5th inning. As for the Twins, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 5th and tacked on three insurance runs in the 8th.
Carlos Santana, Max Kepler, and Manuel Margot each had two hits and two RBIs for the Twins’ offense. Ryan Jeffers also had a two-hit game and scored a run.
Philadelphia is 63-37 overall this season and has an impressive 37-16 record at home. As the favorite, they are 55-29 straight up, and their average run margin in winning games is +3.8 runs per game. The Phillies have played 45 games to the under and 50 to the over this season, with their games averaging 8.8 runs per game.
The Phillies are currently on a two-series losing streak and have an overall series record of 19-10-5 this season. They lead the NL East by 8.5 games over the Braves, with a 15-10 record against divisional opponents. Today, they are on the road against the Twins, with the O/U line set at 8 runs, which is around their season average.
Zack Wheeler Gets The Start For The Phillies
Right-hander Zack Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Twins on the road. Wheeler has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 10-4 with a 2.70 ERA. Coming into the game, he has a WHIP of .99 and has turned in 14 quality starts. Wheeler’s most recent outing came against the Dodgers, where he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had two straight outings with two earned runs allowed. Wheeler hasn’t lost a game since May 26th.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
Philadelphia comes into today’s game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 3rd best hitting team, with a team batting average of .258. The Phillies are also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, coming in 6th in the MLB.
Over his last 10 games, Trea Turner has been on fire for the Phillies, going 14/39 with five homers and 12 RBIs. Bryce Harper is also swinging a hot bat right now, as he is on a four-game hitting streak and is batting .297 for the season with a team-high 23 homers. Harper’s 65 RBIs are 2nd on the team, behind Alec Bohm, who is 4th in the MLB with 71 RBIs.
Minnesota has a 55-44 overall record and is 4.0 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. The Twins lead the series vs. the Phillies 1-0 and have an AL Central division record of 19-13. Their overall series record this year is 19-11-2.
As the favorite, the Twins have a 44-26 record this season, but they are 11-18 as underdogs. Against the run line, they are 47-52 overall and have covered the run line in five straight games as underdogs. The over/under record for Twins games is 50-47, and the over has hit in three straight games.
Simeon Woods Richardson Gets The Start For The Twins
Through 16 starts, Simeon Woods Richardson has a record of 3-1 and an ERA of 3.51. He has made five quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t give up a run. Against the Giants on July 13th, he went 4 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and finished with a no decision. In that outing, he had seven strikeouts. Overall, Woods Richardson has a BB/9 figure of 2.63, and he has allowed a total of eight home runs. Looking back at his last four starts, he has finished with a no decision in each outing.
Twins Offense Breakdown
Carlos Correa comes into the game with a four-game hitting streak and is batting .308 for the season, with a team-high 47 RBIs and 13 home runs. Ryan Jeffers and Carlos Santana are tied for the team lead with 14 homers, with Jeffers also having 47 RBIs. Jeffers and Santana are also on hitting streaks, with Jeffers having hit safely in three straight games and Santana in four.
Over their last six games, the Twins have seen Max Kepler go 7/21 and Carlos Santana go 6/21. However, Byron Buxton has struggled, going just 4/18 in his last five games. For the season, the Twins are 6th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game and have been a good home run-hitting team, ranking 7th in the league. As a team, they are batting .254, which is 5th in the MLB.
Phillies vs Twins Prediction
With the Twins having a money line of +135, we see this as a great value pick. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Twins, meaning you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 8 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Simeon Woods Richardson finishing with five strikeouts compared to Zack Wheeler with six. Wheeler is projected to have a tough outing, as he is one of the worst pitchers in terms of predicted earned runs allowed.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:July 23, 2024 Phillies, Twins