Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction 10/8/2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (95-67) travel to face off against the New York Mets (89-73) on Tuesday, October 8th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on FS1. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 4:08 CT.

Phillies vs. Mets Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Mets (-106)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7 Runs
  • The Mets have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game in their last 5 home games against the Phillies.
  • The Mets have won 4 of their last 5 home games against the Phillies.
  • The Mets have a winning record at home with 46 wins and 35 losses this season.
  • The Mets have outscored their opponents by 20 runs in their last 15 games.
  • The Mets have won 3 of their last 4 home games, showcasing strong performance at Citi Field recently.

Phillies vs Mets

philadelphia phillies nba

Philadelphia picked up a 7-6 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. New York had a late rally, scoring two runs in the 8th and another two in the 9th, but the Phillies were able to hold on for the win. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -146 on the money line.

Cristopher Sanchez started for the Phillies and went just five innings while giving up two runs and striking out five. He did not factor in the decision as Jeff Hoffman got the win out of the bullpen. Tylor Megill took the loss for the Mets, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work.

At the plate, the Phillies were led by Nick Castellanos and Bryce Harper, who each homered. Castellanos went 3/5 with two RBIs, while Harper scored twice and drove in two runs while going 1/3. Bryson Stott also had a two-hit game and scored a run for Philadelphia.

As the Phillies prepare for game three of their NL Divisional Round series against the Mets, they find themselves tied 1-1 and on the road. Philadelphia posted a 95-67 regular season record, going 54-27 at home and 41-40 on the road. As favorites, they went 83-50, while their record as underdogs was 13-18.

Philadelphia’s run line record for the season is 78-86, with a 41-40 mark against the run line on the road. Their games have averaged a run margin of +0.7. The Phillies’ over/under record is 80-75, and 92% of their games have had higher totals than today’s 7-run line. The over has hit in seven straight Phillies games.

Aaron Nola Gets The Start For The Phillies

Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Mets on the road. Nola has made 33 starts this season and has a record of 14-8 to go along with a 3.57 ERA. So far, he has turned in 20 quality starts, one shutout, and one complete game. Per nine innings, Nola is averaging 8.89 strikeouts and 2.26 walks. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up three earned runs on seven hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

Philadelphia comes into today’s game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 5th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, putting up 5 runs per contest. Overall, the Phillies are 4th in team batting average at .257 and have the 5th best on-base percentage in the league. As a team, they are also 7th in home runs.

Kyle Schwarber has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 38 home runs are 6th in the league. However, he is just 7/33 in his last eight games. On the other hand, Nick Castellanos has gone 12/25 in his last eight games, including two homers. Bryce Harper is also swinging a hot bat, as he is on a three-game hitting streak and has gone deep 30 times this season.

With their NL Divisional Round series against Philadelphia tied at one game apiece, the Mets look to take the lead at home, where they posted a 46-35 regular season record. New York went 43-38 on the road and finished the year at 89-73 overall. As favorites, they were 59-39, while they went 33-36 as underdogs.

New York’s run line record for the season stands at 86-81, and they’ve covered in two straight home games. As underdogs, they’re 41-28 against the run line. The Mets’ games have averaged 9.1 total runs, while today’s over/under is set at 7 runs. Their over/under record is 85-77, with the over hitting in their last two games.

Sean Manaea Gets The Start For The Mets

Sean Manaea is starting for the Mets today and comes into the game with a record of 12-6 and an ERA of 3.47. In his 32 starts, he has turned in 15 quality starts and is averaging 9.12 strikeouts per nine innings. Manaea’s last outing came on October 2nd, where he finished with a no-decision after giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Against the Phillies on September 21st, he picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up three earned runs. The left-hander has been much better at home, with an ERA of 4.26 compared to 3.69 on the road.

Mets Offense Breakdown

new york mets

Over the past eight games, Brandon Nimmo has been swinging a hot bat for the Mets, going 10/34 with two homers and seven RBIs. This has pushed his season average up to .273. Francisco Lindor has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 8/26 in his last seven games, including two homers. For the season, Lindor is batting .273 and leads the Mets with 91 RBIs.

As a team, the Mets are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They are also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, coming in at 6th in the league. Overall, they are batting .246, which is 8th in the league.

Phillies vs Mets Prediction

With the Mets at -106 on the money line, that’s the direction we recommend going for this one. We actually have the Mets winning by a score of 5-3, which is in line with the over/under line of 7 runs.

Looking at some potential player props, we have Aaron Nola finishing with six strikeouts and Sean Manaea with five. As for the Mets and their lineup, they are projected to finish with nine strikeouts compared to the Phillies with nine.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.