The Philadelphia Phillies (28-13) travel to face off against the New York Mets (19-20) on Monday, May 13th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on NSPPH. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Marlins. First pitch is set for 7:10 ET.
Phillies vs Mets
The Phillies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Marlins with a 7-6 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 10th inning before the Marlins scored one run in the bottom of the 10th. Philadelphia was the -214 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Zack Wheeler had a rough outing, giving up six earned runs on six hits and issuing three walks. The Phillies also wasted a big game from Nick Castellanos, who homered in the 1st inning, going 3/5.
Philadelphia is 28-13 overall, good for a two-game lead over the Braves in the NL East. The Phillies will be on the road today, taking on the Mets. So far, they are 5-4 in divisional games. The Phillies have been good at home, going 15-7, and they have gone 13-6 on the road.
So far, the Phillies have been really good in night games, going 18-6 this season. As the favorite, Philadelphia is 24-10 and 4-3 as the underdog. They have won three straight series on the road, and their overall series record is 8-2-3.
When betting the run line, the Phillies have been a solid play on the road this season, going 11-8. Overall, they are 21-20 on the run line, with an average run differential of +1.5 runs per game. They have been a better play as the favorite, going 17-17 on the run line, compared to 4-3 as the underdog. Their average run differential in wins is +3.9 runs per game, compared to -3.7 runs per game in losses.
With an over/under line of 7.5 runs, the Phillies have gone over in three straight games, including a 13-7 win over the Marlins, an 11-8 win over the Marlins, and a 10-7 win over the Marlins. The Phillies have a combined run average of 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 20-19. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game, and 65.9% of their games have had higher lines than today’s 7.5-run line.
Cristopher Sánchez Gets The Start For The Phillies
Left-hander Cristopher Sánchez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 3.22. Sánchez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.46. In his last outing, he pitched well, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. Sánchez picked up the win in that start. Opponents are batting .248 off Sánchez this season, and he has a total of three quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.42 strikeouts and 3.72 walks.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
Philadelphia’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, averaging 5.2 runs per game while batting .261 as a team. They are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league and have been very good at avoiding strikeouts. The Phillies have been even better at home this season, averaging 5.4 runs per game.
Bryce Harper has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/30 in his last eight games with three homers and eight runs scored. Alec Bohm comes into the game with a four-game hitting streak and is batting .338 for the season, with a team-high 32 RBIs.
New York is coming off a game in which they closed out their series vs. the Braves with a 4-3 win. This was especially big, as they were the slight favorite at -112 on the money line. It was a good start for the Mets, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning and added another run in the 3rd.
Luis Severino put together a good start for the Mets, going five innings and giving up just two runs on four hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win. The Mets’ offense was carried by Brandon Nimmo, who went 1/1 with a homer and two RBIs.
The Mets are hosting the Phillies with an overall record of 19-20, and they are 3rd in the NL East, eight games behind the Phillies. So far, they are 3-3 in divisional games. New York lost the final two games of their series vs. the Braves after winning the opener.
At home, the Mets are 10-12 this year compared to a mark of 9-8 on the road. As the home underdog, the Mets are just 1-4 this season, and they have dropped two straight as the underdog overall. Their overall series record is 6-6-1 this year.
When the Mets are favored, they are 8-12 against the run line. However, when they are the underdog, they are 11-8. They are 11-6 against the run line on the road, but just 8-14 at home. Their average run margin is 0.0, but they have a run line record of 19-20. Their average run differential in wins is 3.1, but it is -2.8 in losses. They have not covered the run line in their last two games.
When the Mets and Phillies meet at Citi Field, the over/under line will be set at 7.5 runs. New York’s games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, but their over/under record is just 18-21. They’ve played 22 games with higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and the under has hit in three straight games.
Sean Manaea Gets The Start For The Mets
Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today and has made 7 appearances this season. He has a record of 2-1 and an ERA of 3.31. Looking at his overall numbers, Manaea has a WHIP of 1.39 and has issued 4.84 walks per nine innings compared to 7.9 strikeouts. Manaea’s most recent outing came on May 6th, where he picked up the win, going 6 innings and giving up 3 earned runs. He has not given up more than three earned runs in any of his last four outings.
Mets Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Mets are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They have been a much better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. As a team, the Mets are batting .236, which is 14th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .311 is also 13th in the league.
Brandon Nimmo has been swinging a hot bat for the Mets, going 6/18 in his last six games with three homers and seven RBIs. Overall, he is batting .234 with six homers. Pete Alonso is the team’s top power threat, as his nine homers are 5th in the league. However, he is batting just .223 for the season.
Phillies vs Mets Prediction
Our prediction for this Phillies vs. Mets matchup is to take the Mets on the money line, with the payout currently sitting at +102. Offensively, we have the Mets finishing with eight hits compared to the Phillies with seven.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Sean Manaea finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among all starters today. As for Christopher Sanchez, we have him finishing with five K’s, which ranks him 14th.
Offensively, the Mets are projected to finish with five runs compared to the Phillies with four. However, the Phillies are projected to hit more home runs, with the Mets finishing 15th in the league in home runs today.
Another reason we like the Mets to pick up the win is that our model has them finishing with a better chance to win than the Phillies, even though they are on the road.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 13, 2024 Mets, Phillies