Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction 5/14/2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (29-13) travel to face off against the New York Mets (19-21) on Tuesday, May 14th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on SNY. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 1:10 ET.

Phillies vs Mets

philadelphia phillies nba

Philadelphia rallied for two runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Phillies vs. Mets series. The Phillies scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up two in the top of the 9th, picking up a 5-4 win. Heading into the game, the Phillies were at -106 on the money line.

Mets starter Sean Manaea went six innings and gave up just one run on four hits, but he took the loss in the game. Orion Kerkering got the win out of the bullpen for the Phillies as Cristopher Sanchez went 5 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs.

J.D. Martinez went 3/4 with two RBIs for the Mets in the losing effort. Bryson Stott hit the game’s only home run while going 2/4 with two RBIs.

With a record of 29-13, the Phillies lead the NL East by two games over the Braves. So far, they have gone 6-4 in divisional matchups. The Phillies have been playing well overall and have taken three straight series. Their overall series record is 8-2-3.

At home, the Phillies have gone 15-7 this year, and they have been really good on the road, putting together a mark of 14-6. This season, they have been the favorite in most of their games, where they are 24-10. As the underdog, the Phillies are 5-3 this year.

When the Phillies win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.7 runs per game. Overall, the Phillies are 22-20 against the run line this season, including a 12-8 mark on the road. They are 17-17 against the run line as the favorite and 5-3 as the underdog.

The Phillies have been on a hot streak of hitting the over, as they have hit the over in four straight games. Their games have averaged 9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 21-19. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, they have hit the over in 10 of 13 games.

Aaron Nola Gets The Start For The Phillies

Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Mets on the road. Nola has made eight starts this season and has a record of 4-2 with a 3.67 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Nola has a WHIP of 1.20 and has issued just 2.76 walks per nine innings compared to 8.63 strikeouts. So far, he has turned in four quality starts and is coming off a rough outing where he gave up four earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Phillies have been one of the league’s best offenses, averaging 5.2 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They are also near the top of the league in a number of other offensive categories, including home runs, batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging. Alec Bohm has been one of the league’s top run producers so far, as his 33 RBIs are the 4th most in the league, and he is batting .329.

Over his last eight games, Bryce Harper has gone 11/32 with three homers and 11 RBIs. Harper’s nine homers are the 5th most in the league, and he is 2nd on the team with 29 RBIs. Nick Castellanos has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 9/31 with two homers in his last eight games.

With a record of 19-21, the Mets are 4th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by nine games. New York is 3-4 in divisional games this year. The Mets will be the home team today, and they are 10-13 at home compared to 9-8 on the road.

New York has dropped two straight games as the underdog, and they are 8-11 as the underdog overall. The Mets are just above .500 at 11-10 when favored. So far, their overall series record is 6-6-1, and they are 0-1 in this series vs. the Phillies.

When the Mets are favored, they are 8-13 against the run line, but when they are the underdog, they are 11-8. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.1, but in their losses, it is -2.8. They have lost two straight against the run line as the favorite, and overall, they are 19-21 against the run line this season.

Today’s over/under line of 8 runs for the Mets-Phillies game is right in line with the Mets’ season average of 8 runs per game. The Mets have had 15 games with higher over/under lines than today’s, and their over/under record is 19-21 for the season. The Mets have gone over the line in 3 of their 7 games with an over/under line of 8 runs.

José Buttó Gets The Start For The Mets

José Buttó is getting the start for the Mets today and comes into the game with a record of 1-2 and an ERA of 3.00. So far, he has made three quality starts and is averaging 9.27 strikeouts per nine innings. Buttó’s most recent outing came against the Cardinals, where he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. At home, his ERA is 2.34 compared to 4.78 on the road. Overall, he has given up three homers and is averaging 4.64 walks per nine innings.

Mets Offense Breakdown

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So far this season, the Mets are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. However, they have been much better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .235, which is 17th in the league, and are 11th in home runs. Over his last six games, Pete Alonso is batting .381 with six RBIs, and he is currently 2nd on the team with 22 RBIs.

Brandon Nimmo has been swinging the bat well of late, going 3/19 over his last six games with three homers and six RBIs. Overall, he is hitting just .227, but his on-base percentage of .374 is 3rd on the team. Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso are also near the top of the league in home runs, with 7 and 9, respectively.

Phillies vs Mets Prediction

With the Mets being the underdog at +118, that is the way we recommend playing this one. We have the Mets taking this one 5.1 – 4 and would also consider taking the over if you are looking for a run total pick.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Aaron Nola going five innings and finishing with five strikeouts. As for José Buttó, we have him going 6 innings and finishing with six K’s.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.