The Philadelphia Phillies (44-19) travel to face off against the New York Mets (27-35) on Saturday, June 8th. This game will be played at London Stadium in London and televised on FOX. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 12:10 CT.
Phillies vs Mets
The Phillies’s offense was carried by Nick Castellanos in their most recent game vs. the Brewers. Castellanos went only 1/4, but his one hit was a home run, and he drove in both of the Phillies’s runs. The Phillies really didn’t need any more offense, as they picked up the 2-0 win. Aaron Nola started for the Phillies, going seven innings and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out five Brewers batters.
Philadelphia’s bullpen closed things out, and José Alvarado picked up the save. The Phillies were the heavy favorite at -173 going into the game.
Philadelphia is on the road today to take on the Mets, and they lead the NL East with an overall record of 44-19. The Phillies hold an eight-game lead over the Braves for the division lead. So far, they have gone 11-5 in divisional games this year.
The Phillies come in having won three straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Brewers with three straight wins. At home, the Phillies are 27-9 this year and have gone 17-10 on the road. This season, they have been really good in night games, going 28-10.
When the Phillies are on the road, they have covered the run line in 15 of 27 games, which is a 55.6% success rate. Their average run differential in those games is +1.4 runs per game.
Philadelphia is on the road against the New York Mets today, with the over/under line set at 10 runs. The Phillies have had an over/under record of 27-32 this season, with their games averaging 8.5 runs per game. The average over/under line for their games has been 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 10 runs, they have gone over in one game and under in none. They have had just two games this season with over/under lines set at 10 runs, accounting for just 3.2% of their games this season. Their games have gone under the over/under line in 60 of their 63 games this season, with the under hitting in their last four games.
Ranger Suárez Gets The Start For The Phillies
Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Mets on the road. So far this season, he has made 12 starts and has a record of 9-1 with an ERA of 1.70. Suárez’s WHIP for the season is currently .80. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going just two innings and not giving up a run. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Suárez has one complete game shutout this year and has turned in eight quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.61 strikeouts and just 1.95 walks.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
The Phillies come into the game as the 2nd highest-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.4 runs per contest. As a team, the Phillies are batting .253, which is the 6th best mark in the league right now.
Philadelphia’s top power threat right now is Bryce Harper, who has 14 homers this season, which is the 7th best mark in the league. Harper is also 8th in the MLB with 44 RBIs. Alec Bohm has been the team’s top run producer so far, as he is 4th in the league with 50 RBIs. However, Bohm has struggled of late, going just 3/22 in his last five games.
Led by a big game by Luis Torrens at the plate, the Mets are coming off a big 9-1 win over the Nationals to close out their series. Torrens went 2/4 with two homers and four RBIs. The Mets really broke things open with a six-run 6th inning. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Mets were the slight favorite at -142.
Luis Severino started for the Mets, going eight innings and giving up just one run on seven hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
The Mets are at home today, hosting the Phillies with an overall record of 27-35, which puts them 4th in the NL East. New York is 16.5 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead and are currently 8-8 in divisional matchups. They head into today’s game on a three-game winning streak, closing out their series vs. the Nationals with three straight wins.
At home, the Mets are 13-21 this season, and they are an even 14-14 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 15-16 this season and 12-19 as the underdog. New York has struggled as the home underdog, going 3-9 this season. The Mets’ overall series record is 7-10-3, and they have an even 5-5 record over their last ten games.
When it comes to betting the run line, the Mets have been a much better option on the road this season. They are 17-11 against the run line when playing away from Citi Field, compared to just 11-23 at home. Their overall run line record is 28-34, and they have a run differential of -0.5 runs per game. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 17-14 against the run line in those games.
When the Mets play at home, the over/under line is typically set lower than 10 runs. In fact, the average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs. Their games have gone over the line 33 times and under 27 times. Their combined run average is 9.2 runs per game.
Sean Manaea Gets The Start For The Mets
Left-hander Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Phillies at home. So far this season, he has made 11 starts and has a record of 3-2. Manaea’s ERA for the season is 3.63, along with a WHIP of 1.30. In his 11 starts, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 9 strikeouts per nine innings. Manaea’s last outing came on June 1st, where he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had gone three straight starts without giving up more than two earned runs.
Mets Offense Breakdown
After a slow start to the season, Francisco Lindor has picked things up at the plate for the Mets, hitting .389 over his last nine games with two homers. For the season, he is batting just .235. The Mets will be looking for their top power hitters, Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo, to get their batting averages up, as Alonso is hitting just .238 and Nimmo is batting .222.
Overall, the Mets are 15th in the league in scoring at 4.4 runs per game. They have been a much better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. As a team, the Mets are 7th in home runs and have the league’s 11th best slugging percentage.
Phillies vs Mets Prediction
Our prediction for this Phillies vs. Mets matchup is to take the under, with the line sitting at 10 runs. We see this one finishing with a score of 5-4 in favor of the Phillies, giving us some room to spare if you want to take the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Sean Manaea is projected to finish with more strikeouts than Ranger Suarez, and if you’re looking to take a player prop, Manaea is projected to finish with seven K’s compared to Suarez at five.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 8, 2024 Mets, Phillies