The Philadelphia Phillies (91-61) travel to face off against the New York Mets (84-68) on Thursday, September 19th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on FOX. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 6:15 CT.
Phillies vs. Mets Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Phillies (+120)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- The Phillies have scored 5 or more runs in 8 of their last 15 games.
- The Phillies have won 6 of their last 10 games.
- The Phillies have a better overall record (91-61) compared to the Mets (84-68).
- The Phillies have won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head games against the Mets.
- The Phillies have a strong away record with 39 wins on the road this season.
Phillies vs Mets
The Mets Took The Last Game Of This Series
The Phillies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Brewers with a 2-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Brewers scored a run in the bottom of the 8th. Philadelphia was the -103 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Aaron Nola was excellent for the Phillies, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out nine. However, the Phillies couldnjson’t close things out, and Carlos Estévez took the loss out of the bullpen. The Phillies also wasted a big game from Alec Bohm, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 1/3.
Philadelphia is 6-4 in their last 10 games and has a 27-18 record against NL East opponents. They are 52-26 at home and 39-35 on the road this season. As favorites, the Phillies are 78-45 straight up, but as underdogs, they are 13-16.
For the season, the Phillies’ over/under record is 70-74, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs. The under has hit in their last two games, and their O/U record with the total set at 8 runs is 17-18-2. Heading into today’s game, their overall series record is 25-17-7.
Taijuan Walker Gets The Start For The Phillies
Taijuan Walker is looking to bounce back from a rough outing out of the bullpen, as he gets the start for the Phillies today. In that outing vs. the Mets, he went three innings and didn’t give up a run. He finished with a no-decision in the outing. Walker has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 3-6. His ERA for the season is 6.29, along with a WHIP of 1.63. This year, he has given up a total of 20 home runs. Walker’s ERA on the road is 7.9 compared to 5.64 at home.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Phillies are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per game. Overall, they are 4th in team batting average and have the league’s 8th best home run total. Philadelphia’s offense has been especially good at avoiding strikeouts, as they have the league’s 13th fewest strikeouts.
Bryce Harper has been red hot of late, going 13/38 over his last 10 games with three homers. For the season, Harper is batting .288 with 29 homers and 84 RBIs. Kyle Schwarber has been even better in terms of power, as his 35 homers are 7th in the league. Schwarber is also on a three-game hitting streak.
The Mets Are Coming Off A Win
Led by a big game by Luisangel Acuna at the plate, the Mets are coming off a big 10-0 win over the Nationals to close out their series. Acuna went 2/4 with two RBIs and a homer. The Mets really broke things open with a nine-run 4th inning. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Mets were at -173 at home.
Jose Quintana started for the Mets, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out four Nationals batters. New York’s offense was carried by Brandon Nimmo, who went 1/3 with a homer and three RBIs.
Heading into today’s game, the Mets are 84-68 overall and seven games behind the Phillies in the NL East. They have an overall series record of 27-15-8 this season and have covered the run line in their last two games at home. Against the run line, they are 35-42 at home and 77-75 overall, with an average run margin of +0.6 runs per game.
As the favorite, the Mets have a 56-37 record straight up and are 36-23 at home. The over has hit in 53.3% of their games with totals above 8 runs, and their over/under record is 76-71 for the season. The over has hit in their last two games, and the O/U line for today’s game is set at 8 runs.
Luis Severino Gets The Start For The Mets
Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today and comes into the game with a record of 10-6 and an ERA of 3.77. So far this season, he has made 29 starts, and opponents are batting .229 off the right-hander. In his 29 appearances, Severino has turned in 13 quality starts and is averaging 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. One of his complete games this year was a shutout. Looking back at his most recent outing, Severino finished with a no-decision after giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had gone 6 2/3 innings without giving up an earned run.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, as they are the team’s top two home run hitters and are also tied for the team lead in RBIs. Lindor is batting .271 for the season, while Alonso comes in with a batting average of .246. Lindor has been swinging the bat well of late, going 7/27 with three homers in his last nine games, and Alonso is currently on a six-game hitting streak.
As a team, the Mets are 6th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they have the league’s 5th best home run total and are among the league leaders in isolated power.
Phillies vs Mets Prediction
There is a lot of value in taking the Phillies on the money line at +120. We have them winning this one by a score of 6-5. However, if you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 8 runs, and we have this one going over.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Taijuan Walker going seven innings and finishing with five strikeouts. As for Luis Severino, we have him going six innings and also finishing with five K’s.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 19, 2024 Mets, Phillies