Phillies vs San Diego Padres MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Phillies vs San Diego Padres Prediction 4/26/2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (16-10) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (14-14) on Friday, April 26th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on None. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rockies. First pitch is set for 9:40 ET.

Phillies vs Padres

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The Phillies’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Reds, closing out their series with a 5-0 win. After scoring four runs in the 3rd inning, the Phillies went on to add another run in the 6th. Overall, they scored their five runs on 11 hits and hit just one home run.

Zack Wheeler put together a good start for the Phillies, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out eight Reds batters. Bryce Harper was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a homer and two RBIs.

Philadelphia is 16-10 overall this season, and they are 2.5 games behind the Braves for the NL East lead. The Phillies are 3-3 in divisional games this year and picked up a win in their most recent game vs. the Reds. So far, they are 4-2-2 in series this year.

The Phillies have been good at home, going 10-6, and they are 6-4 on the road. Philadelphia has been really good in night games this year, going 10-4. As the favorite, the Phillies are 14-7 and 2-3 as the underdog this year.

Philadelphia has played to a run line record of 12-14 this season, including a 5-5 mark on the road. The Phillies’ average run margin is +0.5 runs per game, with a scoring margin of +0.8 runs per game on the road and +0.3 runs per game at home. They have been the favorite in 21 of their games, going 10-11 against the run line in those contests.

With an over/under line of 7.5 runs, the Phillies have played in just one game this season with a lower line. Their combined run average is 8.2 runs per game, and their over/under record is 10-15. The over/under line for their games has averaged 8 runs per game, and they have played in 73.1% of their games with a line higher than 7.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game this season.

Aaron Nola Gets The Start For The Phillies

Through his first 3 starts of the season, Aaron Nola has been sharp, picking up wins in each of his first two outings. He has yet to allow more than 2 earned runs in a start, and he is coming off an 8-inning outing against the White Sox in which he struck out 7.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

Over the past eight games, Alec Bohm has been on fire for the Phillies, going 16/31 with two homers and 11 RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead in RBIs and put him in the top five in the league in that category. However, he is just 3rd on the team in home runs, as both Bryce Harper and Brandon Marsh have five homers apiece.

As a team, the Phillies are 14th in scoring at 4.3 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are 5th in home runs and have the 8th best batting average in the league.

The Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rockies with a 10-9 loss. San Diego was the heavy favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Rockies scored three times in the 2nd and added another three runs in the 3rd. The Padres’s offense scored a run to tie things up in the 3rd but couldn Rockies pulled away with another three runs in the 4th.

Randy Vasquez got the start for the Padres and took the loss. He only lasted 2 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs on six hits. Jurickson Profar had a big game at thejson, going 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

San Diego will be hosting the Phillies today with an overall record of 14-14, and they are 2.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres are coming off losing the final game of their series vs. the Rockies. So far, they are 8-6 on the road and 6-8 at home.

As the underdog, the Padres have dropped three straight, and they are 5-7 as the underdog overall. San Diego has an even series record of 4-4-2 this year, and they are 8-7 at home when favored.

San Diego has been a tough team to figure out when it comes to the run line this season. They have an overall run line record of 15-13, but they are just 4-10 against the run line at home. However, they are 11-3 against the run line on the road. The Padres have been favored in 16 games this season and are just 7-9 against the run line in those contests. They have been an underdog in 12 games and are 8-4 against the run line in those games.

The Padres have played 27 games this season, and their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game. Their over/under record is 14-13, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 4-3. So far, 75% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s 7.5-run line.

Joe Musgrove Gets The Start For The Padres

Joe Musgrove gets the start for the Padres today and comes in with a record of 3-2 and an ERA of 5.75. Looking at his overall numbers, Musgrove has made six starts, and opponents are batting .303 this season. Musgrove’s WHIP is currently 1.53. In his last outing, Musgrove picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits. He has given up at least one homer in three straight starts. So far, Musgrove has made four starts at home, and his ERA is 5.18 compared to 10.69 on the road.

Padres Offense Breakdown

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San Diego comes into the game with the league’s 5th best batting average at .259 and have been one of the top home run hitting teams in the league so far. Overall, they are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest.

Jurickson Profar has been one of the Padres top hitters this season, batting .295 with a team-high 18 RBIs. He is also 3rd on the team with three home runs. Ha-Seong Kim and Manny Machado are also 2nd and 3rd on the team in homers, respectively. Kim has gone 6/23 in his last six games, including one home run and five RBIs.


Phillies vs Padres Prediction


Our prediction for today’s Phillies vs. Padres game is to take the Padres on the money line at -107. We have the Padres winning this one by a score of 5-4. With the money line payout being close to even, we feel this is the best way to play this one.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Joe Musgrove has a better chance of picking up the win than Aaron Nola. Musgrove is also projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Nola at five.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.