Phillies vs San Diego Padres MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Phillies vs San Diego Padres Prediction 4/27/2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (17-10) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (14-15) on Saturday, April 27th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on None. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 8:40 ET.

Phillies vs Padres

philadelphia phillies nba

Philadelphia cruised to a 9-3 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 3rd inning, scoring four of their nine runs. As for the Padres, they scored their only three runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -114.

Aaron Nola started for the Phillies and picked up the win, going eight innings and giving up just three earned runs. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts but did issue one home run. Joe Musgrove had a rough outing for the Padres, giving up seven earned runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work.

At the plate, Philadelphia was led by Brandon Marsh, who went 3/5 with a home run and three RBIs. J.T. Realmuto also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs. Bryce Harper only had one hit but scored three times for the Phillies.

Philadelphia will be playing on the road today vs. the Padres, and they are 17-10 overall this season. The Phillies have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Padres and closed out their series vs. the Reds with a win. Currently, they are 2nd in the NL East, 2.5 games behind the Braves.

As the favorite, the Phillies have gone 15-7 this year and 2-3 as the underdog. They have been good on the road this year, putting together a record of 7-4. Philadelphia has been even better at home, going 10-6. So far, their division record is 3-3, and they are 4-2-2 in series this year.

The Phillies have been a solid team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 13-14 overall and 6-5 on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 11-11 as the favorite. Their average run differential in wins is +3.7, while it is -4.4 in losses.

Through their first 26 games, the Phillies have played to the over in 11 games and the under in 15. The average over/under line for their games has been 8 runs, and their games have averaged 8.3 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game against the Padres is 7.5 runs, and in the seven games this season with that line, the over has hit in five of them. Overall, 19 of the Phillies’ 27 games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.

Ranger Suárez Gets The Start For The Phillies

Ranger Suárez is on the mound for the Phillies today, as they are on the road to take on the Padres. Suárez has been great in his first three starts of the season, as he has picked up a win in each of his first three starts. He has gone at least 6 innings in each start, and in his last start, he went the distance, giving up just 7 hits and no earned runs.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

Philadelphia comes into the game with the 3rd best home run total in the league and are also one of the top hitting teams in the league, with a team batting average of .254. Alec Bohm has been a huge part of their offense so far, as he is batting .347 for the season and has gone 18/33 in his last eight games. Bohm also has three homers this season, which is 4th on the team. Kyle Schwarber is the Phillies’ home run leader, but he is batting just .198 and has gone just 3/27 in his last eight games.

As a team, the Phillies are averaging 4.5 runs per game and have been even better at home, where they are averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Over his last five games, Bryce Harper is batting .389 with two homers, and he is also on an eight-game hitting streak. Harper is 2nd on the team with 17 RBIs.

San Diego is 14-15 overall and are 3rd in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 3.5 games. The Padres lost the final game of their series vs. the Rockies and then dropped the first game of their series vs. the Phillies. So far, they are 8-8 in divisional games.

At home, the Padres are 6-9 this season and 8-6 on the road. This year, the Padres have really struggled as the underdog, going 5-8, which includes losing four straight as the underdog. As the favorite, San Diego is 9-7 this season. The Padres’ overall series record is 4-4-2 this year.

When betting the run line on the Padres, it’s been a mixed bag. They are 15-14 overall, but just 4-11 at home. They have been much better on the road, going 11-3. They have been favored in 16 of their 29 games and are just 7-9 in those contests. Their average run differential is just +0.1 runs per game.

The Padres have gone over the total in five of their last six games, and they have gone over the total in 15 of their 28 games this season. The over/under record for Padres games this season is 15-13, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. The over/under line for today’s game is 7.5 runs, and the Padres have gone over the total in five of their eight games this season when the line has been set at 7.5 runs.

Dylan Cease Gets The Start For The Padres

Through his first 3 starts of the season, Dylan Cease has been fantastic for the Padres. He has gone 6 innings in each of his first 3 starts, and he’s coming off a 7 strikeout performance against the Rockies. He has yet to allow more than 2 earned runs in a start this season.

Padres Offense Breakdown

san diego padres

San Diego comes into the game with the 5th best batting average in the league at .257 and are also 5th in home runs. So far, they are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 9th in the MLB. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest.

Ha-Seong Kim and Xander Bogaerts have been two of the Padres’ top hitters of late, with Kim batting .257 over his last 10 games and Bogaerts at .233. Kim has two homers and eight RBIs in this stretch. Jurickson Profar and Manny Machado are both on three-game hitting streaks. Profar is 3rd on the team with 18 RBIs and is batting .293 for the season.


Phillies vs Padres Prediction


Our prediction for this Padres vs. Phillies matchup is that the Padres will pick up the win at home by a score of 5-4. If you’re looking to place a bet on this game, we would recommend taking the Padres on the money line, where the payout is at -115.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Dylan Cease is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the third-best among all starters today. As for Ranger Suarez, he is only projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is the third worst among starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.