The Philadelphia Phillies (94-67) travel to face off against the Washington Nationals (71-90) on Sunday, September 29th. This game will be played at Nationals Park in Washington and televised on MASN. The Nationals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nationals. First pitch is set for 2:05 CT.

Phillies vs. Nationals Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Nationals (+150)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs

• The Nationals have won their last 2 games against the Phillies, scoring a total of 15 runs while allowing only 4.
• In their last 15 games, the Nationals have a home record of 6-3, showing strong performance at home.
• In the last 15 games, the Nationals have scored 4 or more runs in 8 games, indicating a consistent offensive output.
• The Nationals have won 5 out of their last 9 home games, demonstrating a solid home-field advantage.
• In their last 15 games, the Nationals have held their opponents to 3 or fewer runs in 6 games, showcasing effective starting pitching.

Phillies vs Nationals

Washington picked up a 6-3 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a two-run lead going into the 8th inning and added an insurance run in the 9th. As for the Phillies, they scored their only two runs in the 8th. Heading into the game, the Nationals were the +173 underdogs.

MacKenzie Gore pitched well for the Nationals in this one, going six innings and striking out nine without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Jose A. Ferrer closed things out. Zack Wheeler had a rough outing for the Phillies, taking the loss.

James Wood and Joey Gallo each homered for the Nationals, while Trea Turner went deep for the Phillies. Wood, Turner, and Keibert Ruiz each had two hits for Washington’s offense.

Philadelphia is 94-67 overall and leads the NL East by five games over the Braves. They are on the road today for the final game of the regular season, looking to avoid a sweep by the Nationals, who lead the series 2-0. The Phillies have lost two straight games and have a 3-7 record in their last 10 games.

For over/under betting, the Phillies’ O/U record is 77-75 this season. The average total runs per game in Phillies games is 9.0, and their current over streak is at 4 games. When the O/U line is 7.5 runs, their O/U record is 15-16. Heading into today’s game, the over has hit in 72% of their games with the total line higher than 7.5 runs.

Aaron Nola Gets The Start For The Phillies

The Phillies are sending Aaron Nola to the mound today vs. the Nationals, and he comes into the game with a record of 13-8 and an ERA of 3.52. Nola has made 32 starts this season and has pitched well, turning in 20 quality starts. His WHIP for the season is currently 1.18. In his last outing, Nola picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs vs. the Cubs. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Nola’s ERA on the road is 4.48, compared to 3.76 at home.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s best offenses, averaging 4.8 runs per game (5th) and batting a collective .257 (4th). They are also one of the top home run-hitting teams in the league, with 198 homers this season. The Phillies have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game.

Kyle Schwarber has been a huge power threat for the Phillies this season, as his 38 homers are 6th in the league and the top mark on the team. However, he has struggled at the plate of late, hitting just .174 over his last six games. Nick Castellanos has been hot of late, going 10/20 in his last six games and is currently on a nine-game hitting streak.

Washington is 71-90 overall and have won two straight games, both against the Phillies. They trail the Phillies by 23 games in the NL East and have lost three straight series. The Nationals’ over/under record is 76-79, and the average run total in their games is 8.8 runs.

Against the run line, the Nationals are 89-72 overall and 43-37 at home. As underdogs, they have a 76-57 run line record. Washington’s straight-up series record is 19-25-6, and they are 3-7 in their last 10 games.

Jake Irvin Gets The Start For The Nationals

Jake Irvin will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Cubs, as he gets the start for the Nationals today. In that September 22nd start, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in four innings of work. Looking back over his last four starts, Irvin has finished with a record of 1-2 and an ERA of 4.22. For the season, he is 10-13 with a 4.22 ERA and has made 32 starts. Opponents are batting .238 off Irvin this season, and he has a total of 16 quality starts.

Nationals Offense Breakdown

Washington’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 25th in the majors. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have an OPS of just .683, which is also 24th in the league. The team’s collective batting average of .243 is 12th in the league.

Luis Garcia Jr. and CJ Abrams have been the Nationals’ top power threats this season, as Abrams leads the team with 20 homers, and Garcia is right behind him with 17. Garcia Jr. also leads the team with 68 RBIs and is batting .281 for the season. Joey Gallo and James Wood have been swinging the bat well of late, with Gallo going 6/23 with three homers in his last eight games, and Wood is 10/33 in his last nine games with two homers.

Phillies vs Nationals Prediction

Our predicted score for this one is a 5-4 win for the Nationals, and with them being the underdogs at +150, that is the way we recommend playing this one. We actually have Jake Irvin picking up a win as the 11th best chance among starters, and he is projected to finish with five strikeouts.

As for Aaron Nola, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and we have him finishing with the 13th most earned runs among starters. So if you are looking at the money line, we would go with the Nationals, and we also have their lineup finishing with more hits than the Phillies.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.