Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 7/26/2024

The Pittsburgh Pirates (52-50) travel to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (53-50) on Friday, July 26th. This game will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix and televised on None. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 8:40 CT.

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Diamondbacks (-175)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • Diamondbacks have won 7 out of their last 10 games.
  • Diamondbacks have scored an average of 6.4 runs per game in their last 15 games.
  • Diamondbacks have a home record of 26-24, while the Pirates have an away record of 26-24.
  • Diamondbacks have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
  • Diamondbacks have scored 7 or more runs in 7 of their last 15 games.

Pirates vs Diamondbacks

pittsburgh pirates nba

The Pirates Are Coming Off A Win

Pittsburgh is coming off a big 5-0 win over the Cardinals to close out their series. This was especially big, as they were the slight favorite at -106 on the money line. It was a four-run 2nd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Cardinals could only come up with three hits the entire game. Rowdy Tellez went 2/3 with a homer and two RBIs.

Martin Perez started for the Pirates, going six innings and not giving up a run. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and got the win. The Pirates’ bullpen closed things out with three scoreless innings.

After taking the series vs. the Cardinals, the Pirates are now 52-50 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL Central, seven games behind the Brewers. They have been playing well lately, going 8-2 in their last 10 games.

As underdogs, the Pirates have been a strong play vs. the run line, with a 41-19 record. Their games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs have gone over 19-13 this season. The under has hit in their last five games.

Luis L. Ortiz Gets The Start For The Pirates

Luis L. Ortiz has made 26 appearances this season and has a record of 5-2 with an ERA of 2.57. In his 73 2/3 innings of work, Ortiz has issued just 21 walks compared to 7.21 strikeouts per nine innings. Ortiz has made three quality starts this year and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing vs. the Phillies, he went seven innings and gave up just three hits. One of those hits was a homer. Ortiz has been solid at home, with a record of 2-1 and an ERA of 3.43. On the road, he is 3-1 with a 3.35 ERA.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz are the Pirates’ top home run hitters, with Reynolds batting .288 and Cruz at .250. Reynolds’ 18 homers are 11th in the league, and Cruz is 14th in the league with 15 homers. Reynolds also comes into the game with a team-high 61 RBIs, which is 15th in the MLB. Cruz has driven in 51 runs this season.

One player to keep an eye on is Nick Gonzales, as he comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak. Over his last six games, Cruz is 7/23 with a homer and seven RBIs. Rowdy Tellez has also been swinging a hot bat, going 5/14 in his last five games.

The Diamondbacks Are Coming Off A Win

Ketel Marte and the Diamondbacks are coming off a big 8-6 win over the Royals to close out their series. Marte went 2/4 with three RBIs and a homer. The Diamondbacks really broke things open with a five-run 9th inning. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Diamondbacks were the slight underdog at +108.

Ryne Nelson got the start for the Diamondbacks, going six innings and giving up four runs on nine hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. Arizona’s bullpen was able to pick him up, though, as the Diamondbacks scored five runs in the top of the 9th to pick up the win.

Arizona has won three straight series and are currently on a two-game winning streak. They are 53-50 overall and trail the Dodgers by 8.5 games in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are 3rd in the division and have gone 19-14 in divisional games this year.

On the run line, the Diamondbacks have a 54-49 record, including 31-22 on the road and 35-23 as underdogs. Their games have averaged 9.7 runs per game this season, resulting in a 54-46 over/under record. In games with totals higher than 8.5 runs, their O/U record is 19-13.

Zac Gallen Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Zac Gallen has been pitching well for the Diamondbacks this year, coming into the game with a record of 7-5 and an ERA of 3.64. In his 16 starts, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 8.82 strikeouts per nine innings. Gallen’s most recent outing came against the Cubs, where he picked up the win, going five innings and not giving up a run. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. So far, he has allowed eight homers at home and eight on the road.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

arizona diamondbacks

Arizona’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 3rd in team batting average and have the 8th best slugging percentage in the league. The Diamondbacks have also been good at avoiding strikeouts this season, as they are 9th in the league in this category.

Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been a strong 1-2 punch for the Diamondbacks this season, as Walker leads the team with 23 home runs, while Marte is right behind him with 22. Walker’s 70 RBIs is 7th best in the league, and Marte is 12th in this category. In his last five games, Marte has gone 6/19 with three homers and seven RBIs.

Pirates vs Diamondbacks Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Pirates vs. Diamondbacks matchup is to take the Diamondbacks to win straight up. However, with their money line sitting at -175, we see more value in taking the over, with the line being 8.5 runs.

Looking at some potential player props, Zac Gallen is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which has him as the fourth best among starters. As for Luis L. Ortiz, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which has him as the eighth worst.

Offensively, our projections have the Diamondbacks finishing with eight hits, while the Pirates are projected to finish with eight. However, the Pirates are projected to score just four runs, compared to the Diamondbacks with five.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.