The Pittsburgh Pirates (52-51) travel to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (54-50) on Saturday, July 27th. This game will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix and televised on None. The Diamondbacks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pirates are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 7:10 CT.

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Diamondbacks (-164)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs

• Diamondbacks have won 7 of their last 10 games.
• Diamondbacks have scored an average of 6.4 runs per game in their last 10 home games.
• Diamondbacks have a home record of 27-24, while the Pirates have an away record of 26-25.
• Diamondbacks have won their last 3 games in a row.
• Diamondbacks scored 4 runs and won their most recent game against the Pirates.

Pirates vs Diamondbacks

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Pirates vs Diamondbacks series. Pittsburgh went into the matchup as +145 underdogs and nearly pulled off the upset, but Arizona squeaked out a 4-3 win. The Pirates had a chance to tie or take the lead in the 9th inning, but Paul Sewald closed things out for the Diamondbacks.

Arizona got to Pirates starter Luis L. Ortiz, who gave up three earned runs in just five innings of work and took the loss. As for the Diamondbacks, they got a good outing from Zac Gallen, who gave up just three earned runs across six innings of work and got the win.

Joc Pederson hit the game’s only home run while going 1/3 with three RBIs. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. also had a three-hit game for the Diamondbacks.

After losing the first game of their series against the Diamondbacks, the Pirates are now 52-51 overall and sit in 3rd place in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by seven games. They have won four straight series heading into today’s game.

On the run line, the Pirates are 57-46 for the season, with a 31-20 record on the road. Their over/under record is 46-56, and the under has hit in their last six games. The O/U record for games with an 8.5 total is 19-14. The total for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs, and their games with an 8.5 total have accounted for 18.4% of their games this season.

Marco Gonzales Gets The Start For The Pirates

Marco Gonzales and the Pirates are on the road to take on the Diamondbacks. Gonzales has started two games this season, picking up a win in his first outing against the White Sox. He took a loss in his last start, which came at home vs. the Phillies.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Pirates offense is averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 23rd in the majors. At home, they have been even worse, averaging just 3.9 runs per game. Overall, they are batting just .232 and have the league’s 19th ranked on-base percentage. One thing to keep an eye on is that they are 12th in the league in BABIP, so they could be due for some better luck in the coming games.

Bryan Reynolds has been the Pirates’ top hitter this season, batting .288 with a team-high 18 home runs. His 61 RBIs are also the best on the team and 15th in the league. Oneil Cruz is 2nd on the team with 51 RBIs and has gone deep 15 times this season. Over his last seven games, Cruz is batting .286 with a home run and seven RBIs.

Arizona has won three straight series overall and four straight on the road, heading into today’s game. They are 54-50 this season, 7.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West, and have a 27-26 road record. Against the run line, they are 31-22 on the road and 35-23 as underdogs.

This season, the Diamondbacks’ games have averaged 9.6 runs, and their over/under record is 54-47. In games with totals of 8.5 runs, the over has hit 19 times out of 33, accounting for 57.6% of those matchups.

Brandon Pfaadt Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Through 20 starts, Brandon Pfaadt has a record of 4-6 and an ERA of 3.74. He has made 11 quality starts this year and is coming off a strong outing in which he didn’t give up a run. In that July 21st start vs. the Cubs, Pfaadt went seven innings, giving up just one hit and one walk. He finished with seven strikeouts in that outing. For the season, opponents are batting .230 vs. Pfaadt. The right-hander has a WHIP of 1.10 and is averaging 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

Arizona comes into today’s game as one of the league’s top offensive units, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 3rd in the MLB. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, the Diamondbacks are batting .253, which is the 5th best mark in the league, and they have been good at avoiding strikeouts and walks.

Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been a solid 1-2 punch for the Diamondbacks this season, with Walker leading the team with 23 homers, and Marte is right behind him with 22. Marte has been especially hot of late, hitting .400 with four homers over his last 10 games. He also has 13 RBIs during this stretch. Marte is also on a four-game hitting streak.

Pirates vs Diamondbacks Prediction

Our prediction for the Pirates vs. Diamondbacks game is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. We have the Diamondbacks winning this one by a final score of 6-5, giving us plenty of room to take the over.

Looking at some potential starting pitcher props, we have Marco Gonzales finishing with just four strikeouts, which is the fourth lowest among today’s starters. As for Brandon Pfaadt, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which ranks him 20th among starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.