Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 9/22/2024

The Pittsburgh Pirates (72-83) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (76-80) on Sunday, September 22nd. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on SN PT. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pirates are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 12:10 CT.

Pirates vs. Reds Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Reds (+103)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • The Reds have won 5 of their last 7 home games.
  • The Reds have scored an average of 6.5 runs per game in their last 4 home games against the Pirates.
  • The Reds have a 2-game winning streak against the Pirates in their most recent series.
  • The Reds have outscored the Pirates 15-4 in their last 2 home games.
  • The Pirates have lost 7 of their last 10 games.

Pirates vs Reds

pittsburgh pirates nba

Cincinnati cruised to a 7-1 win over the Pirates in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 3rd inning, scoring all three of their runs. As for the Pirates, they scored their only run in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Reds were favored at -122 on the money line.

Rhett Lowder started for the Reds and picked up the win, going five innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued two walks. Jared Jones got the start for the Pirates and took the loss, giving up six earned runs in five innings of work.

One of the key differences in this game was the performance of Billy Cook. He went 2/4 with a home run and two RBIs for the Pirates, while the Reds’ 1-2-3 hitters combined for six RBIs.

After losing two straight games, the Pirates are 72-83 overall and sit in 5th place in the NL Central, 16 games behind the Brewers. Their series record is 19-23-6, and they have an overall run line record of 82-73. As underdogs, they are 58-35 vs. the run line.

This season, Pittsburgh games with an over/under line of 8 runs have gone over 50.3% of the time, with a 16-18 record. The combined run average in their games is 8.7 runs per game.

Paul Skenes Gets The Start For The Pirates

Right-hander Paul Skenes gets the start for the Pirates today as he faces the Reds on the road. Skenes has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 10-3. His ERA for the season is an impressive 2.07, along with a WHIP of .98. Opponents have hit just .198 off Skenes this season. In his last outing, Skenes took the loss, going six innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Skenes has given up a homer in three straight outings.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

Over his last seven games, Bryan Reynolds has gone 5/20 with two homers and four RBIs. For the season, Reynolds is batting .276 with a team-high 22 homers. Oneil Cruz and Andrew McCutchen are also near the top of the Pirates’ home run leaderboard, with 20 homers apiece. Cruz is batting .268 and McCutchen comes in at just .238 for the season.

As a team, the Pirates are 22nd in scoring at 4.1 runs per game. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are just 23rd in home runs and are near the bottom of the league in strikeouts. Pittsburgh’s current team batting average of .236 is 17th in the league.

Cincinnati is 2.5 games behind the Cardinals for the 3rd spot in the NL Central, with an overall record of 76-80. The Reds have won two straight games vs. the Pirates and have an overall series record of 19-27-3. Their over/under record this season is 73-76, with an average of 8.8 runs per game.

Against the run line, the Reds are 85-71, including a 47-29 mark on the road. As underdogs vs. the run line, they have a 56-32 record. Cincinnati’s straight-up record is 5-5 in their last 10 games, and they have a run differential of +0.1 runs per game.

Hunter Greene Gets The Start For The Reds

Hunter Greene is coming off a strong outing vs. the Cardinals, as he pitched seven innings, giving up just one earned run. He finished the day with eight strikeouts. In his 24 starts, Greene has a record of 9-4 and an ERA of 2.83. Looking at his overall numbers, he has a WHIP of 1.02 and has issued 3.33 walks per nine innings compared to 10.17 strikeouts. Greene has one complete game shutout and 13 quality starts this year. For the season, he has allowed 11 homers.

Reds Offense Breakdown

cincinnati reds

Elly De La Cruz has been one of the Reds’ top hitters this season, batting .263 with a team-high 25 homers and 74 RBIs. He has also been hot of late, going 12/36 (.333) over his last nine games with two homers and eight runs scored. TJ Friedl and De La Cruz are both on good streaks, with Friedl batting .357 over his last eight games and De La Cruz on a six-game hitting streak.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a little better at home this season, averaging 4.5 runs per contest. Overall, the Reds are batting just .234, which is 19th in the league.

Pirates vs Reds Prediction

With the Reds coming in at +103 on the money line, that is the direction we recommend going for today’s Pirates vs. Reds matchup. We have the Reds winning this one by a score of 6-4, giving you some value on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Hunter Greene comes in with the second-best projected hits allowed among all starters and the highest strikeout projection. As for Paul Skenes, we have him finishing with the 15th most strikeouts among starters, and he is projected to allow four runs.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.