Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Pirates vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 5/28/2024

The Pittsburgh Pirates (25-29) travel to face off against the Detroit Tigers (26-27) on Tuesday, May 28th. This game will be played at Comerica Park in Detroit and televised on BSDET. The Tigers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pirates are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Braves. First pitch is set for 6:40 ET.

Pirates vs Tigers

pittsburgh pirates nba

The Pirates will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Braves with an 8-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 2nd inning before the Braves scored eight runs in the top of the 4th. Pittsburgh was the +201 underdog at home going into the game.

Martin Perez was handed the loss and didn’t pitch well for the Pirates. He only lasted three innings, giving up four earned runs on four hits. The Pirates also issued three walks in the inning. Connor Joe had a good day at the plate, going 2/3 with a run scored.

Pittsburgh will be on the road to take on the Tigers with an overall record of 25-29. They are 4th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 6.5 games. The Pirates head into today’s game with an even 7-7 record in divisional matchups.

The Pirates have gone 12-15 at home this year, and they are just above .500 at 13-14 on the road. So far, they have really struggled as the favorite, going 7-14. As the underdog, the Pirates are 18-15 this year, which includes an 11-10 mark as the underdog on the road. Pittsburgh won the final two games of their series vs. the Braves.

The Pirates have been a good bet on the run line overall this season, as they are 30-24 against it. They have been especially good on the road, going 17-10 against the run line, including covering in their last four road games. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 24-9 against the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.7, while it is -3.3 in losses.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are on the road against the Detroit Tigers today. The over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs, which is lower than their average over/under line of 8 runs. The Pirates have played in 48 games with over/under lines set higher than 7 runs, which accounts for 88.9% of their games this season.

Jared Jones Gets The Start For The Pirates

Jared Jones will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Giants on May 22nd, he gave up three earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back over his last four outings, Jones has finished with a no-decision in three of them. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 3-4 with a 3.05 ERA. Out of his 10 starts, Jones has turned in seven quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.37 strikeouts and just 1.53 walks. For the season, Jones has allowed 10 homers.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Pirates are 23rd in the league in runs scored, averaging 4 runs per contest. They have been a bit better on the road, putting up 4.1 runs per game. As a team, the Pirates are batting just .228, which is 21st in the league, and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS. However, they do have the 5th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Over the team’s last nine games, Bryan Reynolds has gone 13/41 with two homers and eight RBIs. Overall, he is batting .263 with a team-high 28 RBIs. Reynolds is also on a five-game hitting streak. Andrew McCutchen has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 10/36 with two homers over his last nine games.

Matt Vierling had a huge game for the Tigers in their 14-11 win over the Blue Jays to close out their series. The Tigers really broke things open with a four-run 2nd inning and added another four runs in the 4th. Detroit was the +112 underdog at home going into the game.

Casey Mize got the start for the Tigers but only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs. He also issued two walks and took the loss. Mason Englert got the win out of the bullpen for the Tigers, as Detroit scored three runs in the 8th to take the lead. The Tigers also added another three runs in the 9th to close things out.

Detroit is hosting the Pirates today with an overall record of 26-27, and they have won three straight games, spanning across their series vs. the Blue Jays. In the AL Central, they are 9.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. So far, they are 10-9 in AL Central matchups.

As the Tigers have an overall record below .500, they are in 4th place in the AL Central. Detroit is 13-14 at home this year and 13-13 on the road. So far, they have gone 13-12 as the favorite and 13-15 as the underdog. At home, the Tigers have won three straight, and their overall series record is 8-7-2.

The Tigers have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 23-30 overall. They have been a much better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 15-11 compared to just 8-19 at home. They have been a much better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 18-10 compared to just 5-20 as the favorite. Their average run differential in games they win is +3.3, while their average run differential in games they lose is -3.2.

Today’s over/under line for the Detroit Tigers’ game against the Pittsburgh Pirates is set at 7 runs. The Tigers have played 47 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7 runs, which is 88.7% of their games. Their combined run average is 8.5 runs per game, and their over/under record is 28-23. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, their record is 4-1.

Tarik Skubal Gets The Start For The Tigers

Tarik Skubal gets the start for the Tigers today and is facing the Pirates at home. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 6-1 with an ERA of 2.25. Skubal’s WHIP for the season is .85, and opponents are batting .186 this year. Skubal has been pitching well, as he has made seven quality starts and is coming off a rough outing in which he gave up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had not allowed a homer in three straight outings. Skubal has a total of four homers this year.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

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For the season, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. They have been a little better on the road, averaging 4.5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .236, and their team on-base percentage of .306 is also below the league average.

Over his last eight games, Colt Keith has gone 11/23, including one home run and four RBIs. This has moved his season average up to .230. Kerry Carpenter is also swinging a hot bat right now, hitting .368 with three homers in this stretch. Carpenter is currently leading the Tigers with 29 RBIs and is 2nd on the team with eight home runs.

Pirates vs Tigers Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Pirates vs. Tigers matchup is to take the Tigers on the money line at -152. We have the Tigers winning this one by a final score of 5-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 7 runs, and we have this one finishing with nine runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Tarik Skubal is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among starters today. As for Jared Jones, he is only projected to finish with four K’s, which is the second-worst among starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.