Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction 8/11/2024

The Pittsburgh Pirates (56-60) travel to face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers (68-49) on Sunday, August 11th. This game will be played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles and televised on SN PT. The Dodgers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pirates are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Dodgers. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.

Pirates vs. Dodgers Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Dodgers (-266)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Dodgers have won 4 of their last 5 home games.
  • The Dodgers have scored an average of 6.2 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
  • The Dodgers have a home record of 37-22, compared to the Pirates’ away record of 29-29.
  • The Dodgers have won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head games against the Pirates.
  • The Pirates are currently on a 6-game losing streak.

Pirates vs Dodgers

pittsburgh pirates nba

Los Angeles cruised to a 4-1 win over the Pirates in the most recent game of this series. The Dodgers had a huge 3rd inning, scoring all four of their runs. As for the Pirates, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Dodgers were favored at -110.

Pittsburgh wasted a good outing from Paul Skenes, as he gave up just one run in six innings of work for the Pirates. Michael Kopech got the win for the Dodgers out of the bullpen as River Ryan only went 4 2/3 innings. Ryan didn’t give up a run but did finish with five walks.

Teoscar Hernandez was the difference for the Dodgers’ offense, as he went 3/4 with a home run. Hernandez scored three times and drove in a run. Gavin Lux also had a two-hit game and drove in three runs.

Pittsburgh is 56-60 overall and is in 4th place in the NL Central, 11 games behind the Brewers. The Pirates have lost six straight games and are looking to end that streak today against the Dodgers on the road.

As underdogs, the Pirates have a 32-39 straight-up record and are 48-23 against the run line. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, with the over hitting in 23 of 39 games with a total of 8.5 runs. Overall, their O/U record is 55-60 this season.

Bailey Falter Gets The Start For The Pirates

Pittsburgh is sending left-hander Bailey Falter to the mound today vs. the Dodgers. He has made 19 starts this year and has a record of 5-7 with a 3.87 ERA. Falter’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19. In his 19 appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 5.99 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Falter finished with a no-decision vs. the Padres, going two innings and not allowing a run. Before that, he had allowed at least one earned run in three straight outings.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

Over the past seven games, Oneil Cruz has been swinging a hot bat for the Pirates, going 12/27 (.444) with a home run and five RBIs. Bryan Reynolds has also been swinging a good bat of late, as he is on a four-game hitting streak and has gone 8/28 in his last seven games, including three homers. Reynolds is currently 15th in the league in home runs and is leading the Pirates with 68 RBIs.

For the season, the Pirates are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. Their team batting average of .235 is 18th in the MLB, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. As a team, they are 20th in home runs and have been striking out 9 times per game.

Los Angeles has taken the first two games of this series vs. the Pirates and currently lead the NL West with a 2.5-game advantage over the Padres. The Dodgers’ overall record is 68-49, and they have a 21-18 division record this season.

When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Dodgers have a 26-20 O/U record. Their games this season have averaged 9.0 runs, contributing to an overall O/U record of 62-55. At home, the Dodgers have a run line record of 28-31, with an average run margin of 0.8.

Tyler Glasnow Gets The Start For The Dodgers

Right-hander Tyler Glasnow gets the start for the Dodgers today and comes in with a record of 9-6 and an ERA of 3.54. This year, he has made 21 starts and 13 of them have been quality starts. In his last outing, Glasnow picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on nine hits. He was able to limit the damage, as the Phillies had five extra-base hits off him. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .179 off Glasnow this year.

Dodgers Offense Breakdown

los angeles dodgers

Shohei Ohtani has been a huge power threat for the Dodgers this season, as his 35 homers are the 2nd most in the league and the most on the team. His 83 RBIs are also good for 7th in the league. Ohtani has also been hitting well for the Dodgers, coming into the game with a batting average of .300. Teoscar Hernandez has also been a big power threat for the Dodgers, as his 26 homers are the 8th most in the league. Hernandez has also been hot of late, batting .400 over his last five games with three homers.

As a team, the Dodgers are 3rd in home runs and are 5th in runs per game at 4.9. This is the same number of runs they are averaging at home and on the road. Overall, they have the league’s 5th best team OPS and are 2nd in team walks.

Pirates vs Dodgers Prediction

Our prediction for the Dodgers vs. Pirates game is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. We actually have the Dodgers winning this one 6-5, meaning that there is some value on the money line, but we still like the over more.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Tyler Glasnow is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the third-best among starters today. As for Bailey Falter, he is only projected to finish with four strikeouts, and his chances of picking up a win are the second-worst among starters.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.