Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 5/14/2024

The Pittsburgh Pirates (19-23) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (24-17) on Tuesday, May 14th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on SN PT. The Pirates are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Brewers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pirates. First pitch is set for 7:40 ET.

Pirates vs Brewers

pittsburgh pirates nba

Pittsburgh rallied for two runs in the 8th inning in the most recent game of this Pirates vs. Brewers series. The Pirates scored two runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up two in the top of the 8th, picking up an 8-6 win. Heading into the game, the Pirates were at +118 on the money line.

Mitch Keller started for the Pirates and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued five walks. David Bednar got the save. Colin Rea had a rough outing for the Brewers, taking the loss.

Pittsburgh’s offense was led by a huge game from Bryan Reynolds, who went 5/5 with a home run. Reynolds scored three times and drove in two runs. Jack Suwinski and Andrew McCutchen each had two hits and two RBIs.

Pittsburgh is 19-23 overall and trail the Brewers by 5.5 games in the NL Central. So far, they are 4-4 in divisional games. The Pirates took the first game of this series vs. the Brewers and are looking to move above .500 today.

As the road team, the Pirates are 10-11 this season compared to 9-12 at home. So far, they have really struggled as the favorite, going just 6-12. As for their record as the underdog, they are 13-11 this year. The Pirates’ overall series record is 4-6-3, and they have lost two straight series.

When the Pirates win, they do so by an average of 2.6 runs per game, while their losses come by an average of 3.2 runs. They are 22-20 against the run line this season, including a 17-7 mark as the underdog. They have covered the run line in five straight games when getting the runs.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have played 41 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs in just three of them. The over/under record for the Pirates this season is 19-22, and the combined run average in their games is 8.1 runs per game. Their games have gone over the total in 10 of the 15 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs.

Quinn Priester Gets The Start For The Pirates

Quinn Priester and the Pirates are on the road to take on the Brewers. Priester has started 3 games so far this season, and he has taken the loss in each of them. In his last outing, he went 4 2/3 innings, giving up 5 runs on 7 hits. He has 16 strikeouts in 16 2/3 innings this season.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Pirates are 26th in the league in scoring, averaging just 3.8 runs per game. They have been even worse at home, putting up just 3.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .226, which is 21st in the league, and are also near the bottom of the league in slugging percentage and OPS. However, they do come into the game as one of the best teams in the league at drawing walks.

Connor Joe and Bryan Reynolds are tied for 2nd on the team with five homers apiece, with Joe leading the Pirates with 20 RBIs, while Reynolds is 2nd on the team with 19. Joe has gone 6/20 in his last five games, including two home runs, while Oneil Cruz has also gone deep twice in his last six games, going 10/23 in that stretch.

With an overall record of 24-17, the Brewers lead the NL Central by a half-game over the Cubs. The Brewers have dropped two straight games, and this losing streak includes losing the series opener vs. the Pirates. So far, they have gone 11-7 against other teams in the NL Central.

At home, the Brewers are 10-9 this season and have been strong on the road, going 14-8. As the favorite, the Brewers are 11-8 this year and 13-9 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 7-4-2.

The Brewers are 21-20 on the run line this season, but they have been much better on the road, going 14-8. Their average run margin is +0.8 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 7-12 at home. They have failed to cover the run line in their last two home games and are just 6-13 on the run line as the favorite this season.

When the Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates met today, the over/under line was set at 8.5 runs. This line was higher than the average over/under line for Brewers games this season, which is 8 runs. However, the over/under record for Brewers games when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 16-6, and the combined run average in their games this season is 9.4 runs per game.

Joe Ross Gets The Start For The Brewers

Joe Ross is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Royals, as he gave up three earned runs in five innings of work. He ended up taking the loss in that outing. Against the Pirates today, Ross will be looking to have more success than he did in his last outing vs. the Pirates, where he gave up one earned run in 5 1/3 innings of work. Ross has made seven starts this year and has a record of 1-4, along with an ERA of 4.75. His WHIP for the season is currently 1.47.

Brewers Offense Breakdown

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William Contreras has been on a tear for the Brewers, hitting .395 over his last 10 games, and he comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak. He has also been the team’s top run producer, with 30 RBIs and is batting .354 for the season. Rhys Hoskins has struggled this season, hitting just .233, but he does have a team-high nine homers.

As a team, the Brewers are 3rd in scoring at 5.1 runs per game, and they have been one of the league’s best home run hitting teams so far. Overall, they are 4th in batting average and have the league’s 2nd best on-base percentage. Currently, both Christian Yelich and Jake Bauers are on four-game hitting streaks.

Pirates vs Brewers Prediction

Our predicted final score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Brewers, giving us a lot of value on the money line at -155. We actually have the Brewers finishing with a better record than the Pirates, and we see them picking up the win in 60% of simulations.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Joe Ross finishing with six strikeouts compared to Quinn Priester with five. However, Ross is projected to finish with a better ERA and fewer hits allowed than Priester.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.