Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 7/10/2024

The Pittsburgh Pirates (44-47) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (53-39) on Wednesday, July 10th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on SN PT. The Pirates are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Brewers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pirates. First pitch is set for 7:10 CT.

Pirates vs. Brewers Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Brewers (-155)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • Brewers have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
  • Brewers have scored an average of 5.3 runs per game in their last 6 home games.
  • Brewers have a 27-14 home record, compared to the Pirates’ 22-24 away record.
  • Brewers have won 3 out of 4 head-to-head games against the Pirates at home this season.
  • Brewers have a higher league rank (3rd) compared to the Pirates (10th).

Pirates vs Brewers

pittsburgh pirates nba

Pittsburgh cruised to a 12-2 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a huge 6th inning, scoring six of their twelve runs. As for the Brewers, they scored their only two runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Pirates were at +137 on the money line.

Josh Fleming only went one inning for the Pirates but didn’t give up a run or a hit. Quinn Priester got the win out of the bullpen. Colin Rea had a rough outing for the Brewers, giving up seven earned runs in five innings of work.

Bryan Reynolds and Jack Suwinski each homered for the Pirates, while Rowdy Tellez went 2/4 with three RBIs. Joey Bart also had a good game at the plate, going 1/4 with four RBIs.

As underdogs, the Pirates have a 26-28 record this season, while their run line record is 50-41. Overall, Pittsburgh is 44-47 and they are 8.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Pirates have won two straight games and lead the series vs. the Brewers 1-0.

For the season, the Pirates’ games have averaged 8.5 runs, with an over/under record of 43-47. Today’s O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, and their O/U record in games with that line is 17-11. This season, 18.7% of their games have had a total higher than 8.5 runs, while 50.5% have had a total lower than 8.5 runs.

Martín Pérez Gets The Start For The Pirates

Martín Pérez gets the start for the Pirates today as he faces the Brewers on the road. So far this season, he has made 13 starts and has a record of 1-4 with an ERA of 4.85. Looking at his overall numbers, Pérez has a WHIP of 1.56 and opponents are batting .300 off him this year. In his 13 appearances, Pérez has turned in four quality starts. Most recently, he faced the Cardinals on July 4th, where he went 7 1/3 innings, giving up just one earned run. He finished with a no decision in that outing.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz have been the Pirates’ top power threats this season, with Reynolds leading the team with 17 homers and Cruz right behind him with 14. Reynolds is also batting .280 this season and has gone 11/29 in his last seven games, with four homers and 10 RBIs during that stretch. Cruz comes into the game with a four-game hitting streak and is batting .247 for the season.

As a team, the Pirates are averaging 4.2 runs per game and are 10th in the league in homers. However, they are batting just .231 and are near the bottom of the league in strikeouts. Overall, their on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS are all in the bottom half of the league.

Overall, the Brewers are 53-39 this season and hold a four-game lead over the Cardinals in the NL Central. They have a 20-11 record within the division. Milwaukee has a 16-9-3 series record this season and an average game total of 8.8 runs.

Against the run line, the Brewers are 27-15 as underdogs, but they have struggled as favorites, going 20-30. The over has hit in 49 of their 88 games, and their over/under record is 49-39. Currently, the over has hit in two straight games for Milwaukee.

Tobias Myers Gets The Start For The Brewers

Tobias Myers will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rockies, as he gets the start for the Brewers today. Against the Rockies, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back over his last four starts, Myers has finished with a decision in each outing. He has pitched well on the road this year, coming in with a record of 4-3 and an ERA of 2.96. At home, his ERA is 5.17, and he has a record of 1-0. Overall, Myers is 5-3 with a 3.52 ERA.

Brewers Offense Breakdown

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Christian Yelich has been on a tear of late for the Brewers, hitting .350 over his last six games with three homers and six runs scored. Yelich’s 11 homers this season is good for 2nd on the team, and he is batting .331 overall. Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins are tied for the team lead with 13 homers, with Adames also leading the Brewers with 58 RBIs.

As a team, the Brewers are 5th in the league in home runs and are batting a collective .255, which is 5th in the MLB. They are also among the league leaders in on-base percentage and OPS. Overall, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game and have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per contest.

Pirates vs Brewers Prediction

Our predicted final score for this Brewers vs. Pirates matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Brewers. With the Brewers being our predicted winner and a payout of -155 on the money line, that is the route we recommend going for this game.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Martin Perez finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Tobias Myers with five. Myers is projected to go just four innings, which could mean we see the Brewers going to their bullpen early in this one.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.