The Pittsburgh Pirates (75-85) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (93-67) on Saturday, September 28th. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on MLBN. The Pirates are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Yankees are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pirates. First pitch is set for 12:05 CT.
Pirates vs. Yankees Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Yankees (-134)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- The Yankees have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game in their last 15 games.
- The Yankees have a home record of 43-36, while the Pirates have an away record of 36-43.
- The Yankees have won 6 of their last 10 games, showing strong recent form.
- The Yankees have outscored their opponents by 20 runs in their last 15 games (84 runs scored vs. 64 runs allowed).
- The Yankees have a league rank of 1st in the AL East, while the Pirates are ranked 12th in the NL Central.
Pirates vs Yankees
Pittsburgh picked up a 4-2 road win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates offense got off to a fast start, scoring three runs in the first and adding their final run in the 2nd. On the other side, the Yankees got on the board with two runs in the 5th.
Jared Jones only went 4 1/3 innings for the Pirates but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued two walks. Carmen Mlodzinski got the win out of the bullpen, and Aroldis Chapman got the save.
Bryan Reynolds and Nick Gonzales each had two hits and an RBI for the Pirates. Reynolds hit the game’s only two home runs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. did a bit of everything for the Yankees, going 2/4 with two RBIs and two stolen bases.
Currently, the Pirates are in 5th place in the NL Central with a 75-85 record, just one game behind the Reds for 4th place. They are 17 games behind the Brewers, who lead the division. Pittsburgh has struggled recently, losing four straight series and has an overall series record of 20-25-6.
On the run line, the Pirates have been solid with an 85-75 record. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs this season, and their over/under record is 76-82. Pittsburgh’s games have had over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs in 71.9% of their matchups, which is the highest percentage in the league.
Paul Skenes Gets The Start For The Pirates
Pittsburgh is sending right-hander Paul Skenes to the mound today vs. the Yankees. He has made 22 starts this year and has a record of 11-3 with a 1.99 ERA. Skenes’ WHIP for the season is currently .96. In his 22 appearances, he has turned in 15 quality starts. Looking at his numbers, Skenes has been better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-2 and a 1.35 ERA. At home, his ERA is 2.72. In his most recent outing, Skenes didn’t allow a run, picking up the win and giving up just two hits in five innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts.
Pirates Offense Breakdown
The Pirates offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the MLB. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .235, which is 13th in the league, and are also near the bottom of the league in both on-base percentage and OPS. The Pirates have also been striking out a lot this season, averaging 9 strikeouts per game.
Bryan Reynolds has been the Pirates’ top hitter this season, batting .276 with a team-high 24 homers and 88 RBIs. However, he has gone just 7/33 in his last nine games. Oneil Cruz and Bryan De La Cruz are also near the top of the Pirates’ home run and RBI leaderboards, but Oneil Cruz has hit just .154 over his last nine games, and De La Cruz is 5/28 in that stretch.
When the Yankees are favored, they have a 61-73 record vs. the run line, and as underdogs, they are 22-4. Overall, their over/under record for the season is 84-71, with an average of 9.1 runs per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 7.5 runs, and their O/U record in games with that line is 7-10.
New York is 93-67 this season and holds a four-game lead over the Orioles in the AL East. They have won three straight series on the road and have an overall series record of 30-17-4. As favorites, the Yankees have a 75-59 record this year.
Luis Gil Gets The Start For The Yankees
Luis Gil gets the start for the Yankees today and comes in with a record of 15-6 and an ERA of 3.27. So far, he has made 28 starts and 10 of them have been quality starts. Gil’s ERA at home is 5.87, compared to 3.84 on the road. In his last outing, he went 5 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs, and coming away with the win. Before that, he had picked up the win in three straight outings. Gil has been pitching well lately, as he has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts.
Yankees Offense Breakdown
Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they are also the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 7th in team batting average at .249, and their team on-base percentage of .332 is the 3rd best mark in the league. The Yankees are also one of the toughest teams to strike out in the league.
Aaron Judge has been on a tear for the Yankees, hitting .500 over his last four games with four homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting .325 with a league-leading 144 RBIs. Judge’s 58 homers are also the best mark in the league. Juan Soto is also having a big year for the Yankees, as he is 4th in the league with 41 homers and is batting .288.
Pirates vs Yankees Prediction
Getting the Yankees on the money line at -134 is a great value, especially with our predicted score being 5-4 in favor of the Yankees. At -134, there is a 57.3% implied probability that the Yankees will win, and we have them at 54.1%.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Luis Gil is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is good for 10th among starters. As for Paul Skenes, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is 15th. Offensively, we have the Yankees finishing with nine hits, compared to the Pirates with nine.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 28, 2024 Pirates, Yankees