The Pittsburgh Pirates (76-85) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (93-68) on Sunday, September 29th. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on YES. The Pirates are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Yankees are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pirates. First pitch is set for 2:05 CT.
Pirates vs. Yankees Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Yankees (-193)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Yankees have scored an average of 6.2 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
- The Yankees have won 5 of their last 7 home games.
- The Yankees have a higher league rank (1st in AL East) compared to the Pirates (11th in NL Central).
- The Yankees have a home record of 43-37, while the Pirates have an away record of 37-43.
- The Yankees have outscored their opponents by 25 runs in their last 15 games.
Pirates vs Yankees
Pittsburgh cruised to a 9-4 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a huge 5th inning, scoring two more runs than they did in the other eight innings combined. As for the Yankees, they scored their four runs in the 6th and 7th innings.
Yasmani Grandal and Nick Yorke each homered for the Pirates, while Jared Triolo scored three times and drove in two runs while going 1/4. Billy Cook also had a two RBI game at the plate.
Mike Burrows got the win for the Pirates out of the bullpen, while Aroldis Chapman got the save. Luis Gil had a rough outing for the Yankees, taking the loss.
After winning two straight games, the Pirates are 76-85 overall and in 4th place in the NL Central, 17 games behind the Brewers. They have a 25-27 record in divisional games this season. Pittsburgh holds a 2-0 series lead over the Yankees heading into today’s matchup.
On the run line, the Pirates are 47-33 on the road and 62-37 as underdogs this season. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game, and their over/under record in games with an 8.5 line is 31-23. The O/U line of 8.5 runs has been set in 24 of their games, accounting for 14.9% of their total games played.
Bailey Falter Gets The Start For The Pirates
Bailey Falter gets the start for the Pirates today and is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Brewers, where he took the loss. In that start, he gave up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that outing, he had picked up the win in two straight starts. Against the Marlins on September 11th, he pitched 7 1/3 scoreless innings. Falter’s overall record is 8-9, and he has an ERA of 4.26. For the season, he has made 27 starts, eight of which were quality starts. The left-hander has a BB/9 figure of 2.71 compared to 6.27 strikeouts per nine innings.
Pirates Offense Breakdown
Bryan Reynolds comes into the game as the Pirates’ top hitter this season, with a batting average of .276 and 24 home runs. He also leads the team with 88 RBIs. However, he has gone just 5/22 in his last six games. Oneil Cruz and Bryan De La Cruz have also been big power threats for the Pirates, as they are 2nd and 3rd on the team in home runs, respectively.
As a team, the Pirates are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. Their team batting average of .235 is 16th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage and OPS. Currently, Reynolds and Nick Gonzales are both on three-game hitting streaks.
When the Yankees play at home, the over has hit in 58.9% of games with an 8.5 run line. This season, their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game, and they have gone over the total in 85 of 156 games. As the underdog, the Yankees have an 18-8 record, and their overall series record is 30-17-4.
New York’s run line record is 83-78, with a 49-32 mark on the road and 34-46 at home. They have a 93-68 overall record and are three games ahead of the Orioles in the AL East. The Yankees are looking to avoid a three-game losing streak and have a 5-5 record in their last 10 games.
Clarke Schmidt Gets The Start For The Yankees
Through 15 starts, Clarke Schmidt has a record of 5-5 and an ERA of 2.54. Looking at his overall numbers, Schmidt has a WHIP of 1.16 and has issued 2.88 walks per nine innings compared to 9.74 strikeouts. Schmidt has made two quality starts this year and is coming off a rough outing where he gave up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up four hits and one home run. Before that, he had not given up more than two earned runs in four straight outings.
Yankees Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the top home run hitting team in the league and are 3rd in the league in runs per game at 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .248 as a team, which is 8th in the league, and are also the league’s top team in terms of on-base percentage. The Yankees have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.3 runs per game.
Aaron Judge has been on a tear for the Yankees, hitting .322 for the season with a league-leading 58 home runs. He has also driven in 144 runs, which is also the best mark in the league. Judge has been even better of late, going 9/26 in his last eight games with five homers. Juan Soto is also having a strong season for the Yankees, batting .288 with 41 homers.
Pirates vs Yankees Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Yankees vs. Pirates game is to take the over, as we see the Yankees coming out on top by a final score of 5-4. However, with the money line payout being -193, we think there is better value on the over, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Clarke Schmidt finishing with six strikeouts compared to Bailey Falter with just five. However, there are a lot of other ways you could look to bet this game, as you could look to take the Yankees to hit more home runs, as we have them finishing with 10th in the league in home runs today.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 29, 2024 Pirates, Yankees