Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 4/12/2024

The Pittsburgh Pirates (9-4) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (7-6) on Friday, April 12th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on SN PT. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pirates are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pirates. First pitch is set for 6:40 ET.

Pirates vs Phillies

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Philadelphia cruised to a 5-1 win over the Pirates in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 7th inning, scoring four of their five runs. As for the Pirates, they scored their only run in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -135 on the money line.

Ranger Suarez pitched well for the Phillies in this one, going six innings and striking out eight without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Jared Jones took the loss for the Pirates. Jones went just 6 1/3 innings and gave up three earned runs.

Alec Bohm and Brandon Marsh each homered for the Phillies, while Bryson Stott scored three times and drove in two runs while going 1/3. Edward Olivares had a two-hit game for the Pirates.

After dropping the first game of this series to the Phillies, the Pirates will look to get back on track and maintain their spot atop the NL Central. They have a 9-4 record overall and are currently tied for first place in the division with the Brewers. Pittsburgh has excelled on the road this season, going 6-2 and has won their last two series away from home.

Overall, the Pirates have been solid this season, but they have dropped their last two games and are looking to avoid their first three-game losing streak of the season. Despite being the underdog in most of their games this season, they have gone 7-2 in those contests.

When the Pittsburgh Pirates win, they win big. Their average run margin in victories is +2.9 runs per game, while their average run margin in losses is -2.8 runs per game. The Pirates have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 9-4 overall. They are 6-2 on the run line on the road and 7-2 as the underdog.

Despite the Pirates’ over/under record of 8-5, the over/under line for today’s game against the Phillies is set at 9 runs. The Pirates’ games have averaged 9.6 runs this season, but the over/under line has been set at 9 or lower in 92.3% of their games. The under has hit in the last two games, and in the last game between these teams, the total was just 6 runs.

Bailey Falter Gets The Start For The Pirates

Bailey Falter is on the mound for the Pirates as they take on the Phillies. This will be his second start of the season, and he is coming off a 6-inning outing in which he allowed just 1 hit and struck out 1. In his first start, he went 4 innings and gave up 6 runs to the Marlins.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

When looking at the Pirates’ offensive projections, Ke’Bryan Hayes has the 8th highest total hits projection in today’s slate of games, and his home run projection is 10th best in the league. Bryan Reynolds has the 17th best hits projection in the league, and his home run projection is 7th best. Oneil Cruz has the 23rd best total hits projection in the league, and his home run projection is 8th best.

After taking two of three from the Cardinals, the Phillies have won two straight and are now 7-6 on the season. They are currently in 2nd place in the NL East, one game behind the Braves. In the division, they are 3-3, and overall, they are 3-4 at home and 4-2 on the road.

Philadelphia has been a favorite in nine of their games this season, going 5-4 in those contests. They are 2-2 as a home favorite and 2-2 as an underdog. In their current series against the Pirates, they are 1-0 after winning the first game.

The Phillies have been a strong run line bet on the road this season, going 3-3 against the run line. They have an average scoring margin of +1.0 runs per game away from home. They have also been a good run line bet in their last game as the favorite, going 4-5 against the run line.

Despite the Phillies’ over/under record of 5-8, the over/under line has been set at 9 runs for just one of their games this season. The under has hit in eight straight games for the Phillies, and their games have averaged just 6 runs per game this season.

Cristopher Sánchez Gets The Start For The Phillies

Cristopher Sánchez is getting the start for the Phillies today as they take on the Pirates. This will be his second start of the season, and he is coming off a no-decision in his first outing. In that game, he went 5 innings, giving up 2 earned runs and striking out 8. He took the loss in his last start, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up 3 runs.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

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Our player projections for the Phillies today have Trea Turner as the top hitter in terms of total hits, with his projection being 6th best in the league. Bryce Harper is not far behind, with the 10th best total hits projection in the league. When it comes to hitting a home run, we have Kyle Schwarber as the top projected player in the league today. His odds are also the best on the Phillies. Bryce Harper is 2nd on the team in terms of hitting a home run, and his odds are 6th best in the league.


Pirates vs Phillies Prediction


We see the best value in this Pirates vs. Phillies matchup being on the over/under line. Our predicted score is 6-5 in favor of the Phillies, giving us a lot of room to take the over at 9 runs. The payout for a Phillies win is -167, and with our predicted score, we will be sticking with the over.

Looking at today’s starters, we have Bailey Falter finishing with five strikeouts compared to Christopher Sanchez with six. Sanchez has a better chance of picking up the win, but we are still sticking with the over in this one.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.