Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 4/13/2024

The Pittsburgh Pirates (10-4) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (7-7) on Saturday, April 13th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on SN PT. The Pirates are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 4:05 ET.

Pirates vs Phillies

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Pittsburgh picked up a 5-2 road win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a two-run lead after the first inning and added three more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Phillies got on the board with one run in the 5th and added their final run in the 8th.

Bailey Falter only went five innings for the Pirates but gave up just one run and picked up the win. David Bednar closed things out. Cristopher Sanchez had a rough outing for the Phillies, taking the loss.

Henry Davis, Bryan Reynolds, and Jared Triolo each had two hits and two RBIs for the Pirates’ offense. Connor Joe also had a two-hit game and drove in a run. Bryce Harper had two hits for the Phillies.

Pittsburgh comes into this one, having gone 10-4 this season and are yet to play a game in NL Central divisional play. The Pirates are on the road today, and so far, they have been great on the road, putting together a record of 7-2. At home, they have gone 3-2.

These Pirates are the current leaders in the NL Central, and they are currently tied with the Brewers for the division lead. Looking at their series record, Pittsburgh is 3-0-1 this season, and they have won each of their last two series. As the underdog this season, the Pirates have gone 8-2 compared to 2-2 as the favorite.

When the Pirates win, they win big, with an average run margin of +2.9 runs per game. They’ve been profitable on the run line this season, going 10-4 overall and 7-2 on the road. They’ve been a solid bet as the underdog, going 8-2 on the run line in those games.

With a combined run average of 9.4 runs per game, the Pittsburgh Pirates have seen their games go over the total in 8 of 14 contests this season. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, but today’s line is set at 9 runs. However, when the line has been set at 9 runs, the under has hit in both games. Overall, 12 of their 14 games have had lower over/under lines than today’s total.

Marco Gonzales Gets The Start For The Pirates

Marco Gonzales and the Pirates are on the road to take on the Phillies today. Gonzales has started two games this season and has a no-decision in each. He went 6 innings in his last start, giving up 2 earned runs on 5 hits and 4 strikeouts.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

Based on our projections, we have Ke’Bryan Hayes as the Pirates’ top hitter today. His total hits projection is 10th best in the league, and he also has the 10th best odds to hit a home run. Bryan Reynolds is our 3rd best Pirates hitter today in terms of total hits, and his odds to hit a home run are 7th best in today’s slate of games. If you’re looking for a Pirates player to hit a home run, our model likes Oneil Cruz the best, as he has the 5th best odds in the league today.

With an overall record of 7-7, the Phillies are 2nd in the NL East, trailing the Braves by two games. The Phillies head into today’s game, having gone 2-2 in their four-game series so far. Looking at their overall series record, they have won their last two series.

At home, the Phillies are just 3-5 this season and have gone 4-2 on the road. When favored, they are 5-5 this season and 2-2 as the underdog.

Philadelphia is 6-8 against the run line this season, including a 3-5 mark at home. The Phillies have an average run margin of -0.5 runs per game this season, and they have been outscored by an average of 1.6 runs per game at home. They are 4-6 against the run line as the favorite and 2-2 as the underdog. In their wins, they have outscored opponents by an average of 2.9 runs per game, while they have been outscored by an average of 3.9 runs per game in losses.

When the Phillies play, the under has been a popular bet. Their games have gone under the total in nine straight contests, and their over/under record for the season is 5-9. The over/under line for their game against the Pirates today is set at 9 runs, and their games have averaged 7.9 runs per game this season.

Spencer Turnbull Gets The Start For The Phillies

Spencer Turnbull is getting the start for the Phillies at home against the Pirates. He has been solid in his first two starts, picking up a win in his first outing and then going 6 innings without allowing a run in his last start.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

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For the Phillies, we like Bryce Harper to have a big game at the plate. Harper has the 2nd highest total hits projection on the team and his 3rd highest home run projection in the league today. Kyle Schwarber has the highest home run projection on the team and the 3rd highest in the league. Trea Turner has the highest total hits projection on the team and his 7th highest home run projection in the league today.


Pirates vs Phillies Prediction


Our prediction for today’s Pirates vs. Phillies game is that the Phillies will pick up a 6-5 win. Given that they are the money line favorites, we recommend taking them to win straight up, with a payout of -152.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Spencer Turnbull finishing with six strikeouts compared to Marco Gonzales with just four. We also have Turnbull finishing with a better ERA and giving up fewer hits than Gonzales.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.