Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Pirates vs San Diego Padres Prediction 8/14/2024

The Pittsburgh Pirates (56-63) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (68-53) on Wednesday, August 14th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on SN PT. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pirates are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.

Pirates vs. Padres Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Padres (-136)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Padres have won 9 out of their last 15 games, showing strong recent performance.
  • The Padres have scored an average of 6.2 runs per game in their last 15 games, indicating a potent offense.
  • The Padres have a 6-1 record at home in their last 7 home games, demonstrating a strong home-field advantage.
  • The Padres have won all 3 of their last head-to-head games against the Pirates, showing dominance over their opponent.
  • The Pirates are on a 9-game losing streak, indicating poor recent form.

Pirates vs Padres

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San Diego cruised to an easy 3-0 win over the Pirates in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 1st inning, scoring all three of their runs, and the Pirates could never get on the board. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -254 on the money line.

Michael King started for the Padres and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts but didn’t receive any run support after the 1st inning. Luis L. Ortiz got the start for the Pirates and took the loss, giving up one earned run in five innings of work.

At the plate, the Padres were led by David Peralta, Luis Arraez, and Manny Machado, as they were the only three Padres hitters to have more than one hit. Peralta also hit the game’s only home run.

Struggling Pittsburgh is on a nine-game losing streak and has lost three straight series. They are 56-63 overall and 11 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Pirates have a 29-32 road record, and their run line record as the underdog is 50-24, while as the favorite, it’s 17-28.

When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Pirates have a 24-17 O/U record. Their games this season have averaged 8.5 runs, and their overall O/U record is 56-62. The under has hit in their last two games, and the O/U line for today’s game is 8.5 runs.

Mitch Keller Gets The Start For The Pirates

Mitch Keller will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Dodgers, as he gets the start for the Pirates today. In that August 9th start, he gave up seven earned runs in just four innings of work. Keller took the loss in that outing. Before that start, he had put together three straight outings in which he didn’t take the loss and gave up two earned runs or fewer. Keller’s ERA for the season is 3.56, along with a record of 10-6. Out of his 23 starts, he has 12 quality starts and one complete game.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

Andrew McCutchen has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Pirates, going 7/20 with three homers over his last five games. McCutchen also has an eight-game hitting streak heading into today’s game. Bryan Reynolds is also swinging a good bat for Pittsburgh right now, as he is 10/36 in his last eight games. Reynolds leads the Pirates with 69 RBIs and is batting .288 for the season.

As a team, the Pirates are averaging just 4.2 runs per game and are near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories. They are also just 20th in home runs this season. Overall, they are batting .235, which is 18th in the MLB.

San Diego is 9-1 in their last 10 games, the best record in the NL, and has won seven straight series. They are 3rd in the NL West, 3.5 games behind the Dodgers. The Padres’ run line record is 63-58, and they have a 33-15 run line record as underdogs.

Padres games have gone over the total in 64 of 120 games this season, with an average of 9.0 runs per game. The over has hit in 16 of 30 games with an O/U line of 8.5 runs. The O/U line for today’s game is 8.5 runs.

Martín Pérez Gets The Start For The Padres

Martín Pérez gets the start for the Padres today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just two earned runs in seven innings of work. In that outing, he finished with a no-decision. Looking back further, Pérez has made 18 starts this year and has a record of 2-5 with a 4.78 ERA. Opponents have put together a batting average of .284 this year against Pérez. One thing to note is that he has made seven quality starts this year. Per nine innings, Pérez is averaging 7.12 strikeouts and 3.19 walks.

Padres Offense Breakdown

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So far this season, the Padres have been the best hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .265. They are also the top home run hitting team in the league, but their isolated power number of .152 is just 17th in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game and have been even better on the road, where they are averaging 5.1 runs per contest.

Jurickson Profar has been the Padres’ top power threat this season, with 19 homers, which is the best mark on the team. He is also batting .295 for the season and has an on-base percentage of .394. Manny Machado is 2nd on the team with 18 homers and is batting .270 for the season. Over his last five games, Machado has gone 8/22.

Pirates vs Padres Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Pirates vs. Padres game is to take the Padres on the money line at -136. We have the Padres winning this one by a score of 5-4. With the over/under sitting at 8.5 runs, we like the over, as we see this game finishing with a combined nine runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Martín Pérez finishing with four strikeouts and Mitch Keller with five. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to pair a Padres win with the over, as we have Perez finishing with a quality start and Keller going just four innings.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.