Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Prediction 4/15/2024

The Pittsburgh Pirates (11-5) travel to face off against the New York Mets (7-8) on Monday, April 15th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on SN PT. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 7:10 ET.

Pirates vs Mets

pittsburgh pirates nba

Pittsburgh is coming off a big 9-2 win over the Phillies to close out their series. Heading into the game, the Pirates were the +161 underdog on the money line. It was a five-run 6th inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Phillies could only score two runs, both of which came in the 3rd.

Mitch Keller put together a good start for the Pirates, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. Pittsburgh’s offense was carried by Jack Suwinski, who went 2/4 with a homer and four RBIs.

Pittsburgh heads into today’s game in a good spot, as they are currently 11-5 and are tied for the division lead with the Brewers. The Pirates have yet to play a game in the NL Central so far. This will be the final game of their road trip, and they have gone 5-3 so far.

So far, the Pirates have been good on the road, putting together an 8-3 record. At home, they are just above .500 at 3-2. Pittsburgh is also coming off a series win, taking the series 3-1 vs. the Phillies. This year, the Pirates are 9-3 as the underdog.

The Pirates have been a strong bet against the run line this season, going 12-4 overall. They are 9-2 against the run line on the road and have covered in three straight games. As an underdog, they are 10-2 against the run line.

So far this season, the Pittsburgh Pirates have played 16 games with an average combined run total of 9.4 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 9-7, and when the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over in six of those games. The Pirates have played two games with an over/under line set at 8.5 runs, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs.

Martín Pérez Gets The Start For The Pirates

Martín Pérez will be making his third start of the season, and he has been solid in his first two outings. He picked up a win in his first start against the Nationals, going 6 2/3 innings and striking out six. In his last start, he went 8 innings and allowed just 1 earned run but took a no-decision against the Tigers.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

For the Pirates, we have Oneil Cruz with the best chance to hit a home run, as his projection is 6th best in the league today. Ke’Bryan Hayes has the 19th best total hits projection in the league, and his odds to hit a home run are 11th best. Bryan Reynolds has the 9th best chance to hit a home run today.

Heading into their last game vs. the Royals, the Mets closed out the series with a 2-1 win. New York was the slight favorite at -104 on the money line. It was a good start for the Mets, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning and added another run in the 8th to close things out. The Mets also went with a good outing from Brooks Raley, who picked up the win out of the bullpen, going three innings and not giving up a run.

José Buttó got the start for the Mets, going six innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out nine Royals batters. Brandon Nimmo was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored. The Mets also had three other players with a hit.

As the Mets are at home today vs. the Pirates, they are looking to move above .500, as they currently have a record of 7-8. In the NL East, they are 2.5 games behind the Phillies for 2nd place and 2.5 games behind the Braves for the division lead.

So far, the Mets have been the favorite in 9 of their games, and they have gone 3-6 in those contests. As the underdog, they are 4-2 this season. New York has won each of their last three series.

When the Mets win, they do so by an average of 3.3 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 2.8 runs per game. Overall, they have a run differential of +0.1 runs per game. Their run line record is 7-8, but they are just 2-7 against the run line at home. They are 5-1 against the run line on the road, and they are 5-1 against the run line as the underdog.

The Mets have played 15 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs in four of them. The over has hit in just one of those four games. Overall, the Mets have played 15 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs in four of them. The over has hit in just one of those four games.

Adrian Houser Gets The Start For The Mets

Adrian Houser is taking the mound for the Mets at home against the Pirates. In his first start of the season, Houser went 5 innings, giving up 5 runs on 8 hits and struck out 8. He took the loss in that game. In his second start, he went 5 innings and gave up just 1 run, but he took a no-decision.

Mets Offense Breakdown

new york mets

For the Mets, we have Brandon Nimmo with the highest total hits projection on the team and the 25th highest in the league today. His home run projection is 3rd on the team and 13th in the league. Jeff McNeil is 2nd in total hits for the Mets and has the 5th best home run projection on the team, 17th in the league. Pete Alonso has the top home run projection on the team and 7th in the league. Francisco Alvarez is 2nd on the team in home run projection and 11th in the league.


Pirates vs Mets Prediction


Our predicted final score for this game is 6-5 in favor of the Mets, which means there is some value in taking them on the money line at -125. We actually have the Mets finishing with fewer hits than the Pirates, but the Mets are projected to hit more home runs.

Looking at today’s starters, Adrian Houser is averaging out as the 13th best starter to pick up a win, while Martin Perez is 16th. Perez is actually projected to finish with more strikeouts than Houser, but we have Houser finishing with fewer earned runs.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.