Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Prediction 4/16/2024

The Pittsburgh Pirates (11-6) travel to face off against the New York Mets (8-8) on Tuesday, April 16th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on SNY. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pirates are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pirates. First pitch is set for 7:10 ET.

Pirates vs Mets

pittsburgh pirates nba

New York picked up a 6-3 win over the Pirates in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a three-run 8th inning to break a 3-3 tie and picked up the win as -124 favorites.

Pittsburgh wasted a good outing from Martin Perez, as he gave up just one earned run in 5 2/3 innings of work for the Pirates. Aroldis Chapman took the loss.

Offensively, the Mets actually had fewer hits than the Pirates in the game 8 to 3. Francisco Lindor and Starling Marte each had two hits and scored a run for New York.

Pittsburgh comes into today’s game in a two-way tie with the Brewers for the NL Central division lead. Currently, the Pirates are 11-6 and have yet to play a game against a division opponent. On the road, they have gone 8-4 this season.

Looking at their overall series record, the Pirates are 3-0-2, and they have been the underdog in 13 of their games so far, going 9-4 in those contests. At home, they are just above .500 at 3-2.

When the Pirates win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.3 runs per game. They’ve been a good bet on the run line overall, going 12-5, including a 9-3 mark on the road. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog, going 10-3, compared to just 2-2 as the favorite.

After a slow start to the season, the Pirates have seen their games go over the total in two straight contests. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 8 runs per game. The Pirates have gone over the total in 10 of their 17 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs or higher in 94.1% of their games.

Jared Jones Gets The Start For The Pirates

Jared Jones will be taking the mound for the Pirates on the road against the Mets. He has started 3 games so far this season, and in his most recent outing, he took the loss against the Phillies. In that game, he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up 3 earned runs, but did strike out 8 batters.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

For the Pirates, we like Ke’Bryan Hayes to have a good game at the plate. He has the highest hits projection on the team and the 2nd best home run projection. Bryan Reynolds is our top projected home run hitter for the Pirates and his home run projection is 10th best in the league today. Michael A. Taylor is 2nd in terms of home run projections for the Pirates and his home run projection is 12th best in today’s slate of games.

The Mets are currently in 3rd place in the NL East heading into today’s game vs. the Pirates. They will also look to pick up a win at home, as they are just 4-6 at home this season. The good news is, they have won two straight games and come into today’s game with a .500 record (8-8).

Looking at New York’s overall series record, they have gone 3-2 so far. As the underdog, the Mets have been pretty good, putting together a 4-2 record. But as the favorite, they are just 4-6 this season.

The Mets have been a solid run line bet on the road, going 5-1, but they have struggled at home, going 3-7. Their average run differential is +0.2 runs per game, but they have been outscored by an average of -0.8 runs per game at home.

So far this season, the Mets have played in 16 games with an average of 9.1 runs scored per game. Their over/under record is 8-8, and the average over/under line for their games has been set at 8 runs. However, when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, they have gone 2-3 in those games. Overall, 11 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which is 68.8% of their games.

Jose Quintana Gets The Start For The Mets

Jose Quintana will be making his first home start of the season for the Mets, as he has previously started two games on the road. In his first outing, he went 4 2/3 innings and took the loss, and then he earned the win in his last start, going 5 1/3 innings and allowing 3 runs on 5 hits.

Mets Offense Breakdown

new york mets

If you’re looking for some Mets player props, Pete Alonso has the highest home run projection on the team and is 9th in the league in terms of home run projections today. Brandon Nimmo has the highest total hits projection on the team, while Jeff McNeil is 2nd in that category. Francisco Alvarez has the 2nd best odds to hit a home run on the team, and his home run projection is 13th in the league.


Pirates vs Mets Prediction


Our predicted score for this Pirates vs. Mets matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Pirates. With the Pirates on the money line at +107, we see this as a great value pick.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Jared Jones finishing with four strikeouts, which is good for fourth-worst among today’s starters. As for Jose Quintana, he is predicted to finish with five strikeouts, which has him in the middle of the pack.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.