Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 4/11/2024

The Pittsburgh Pirates (9-3) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (6-6) on Thursday, April 11th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on MLBN. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pirates are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cardinals. First pitch is set for 6:40 ET.

Pirates vs Phillies

pittsburgh pirates nba

The Pirates closed out their series vs. the Tigers with a tough 5-3 loss. This game was closer than the final score indicates, as the Pirates were only losing 1-0 heading into the 9th before the Tigers scored four times in their half of the 9th. Pittsburgh’s offense was able to scratch across three runs in the bottom of the 9th, but it wasn’t enough to pull off the comeback.

Martín Pérez was handed the loss but pitched well for the Pirates, giving up just one earned run in his eight innings of action. He struck out seven Tigers batters and allowed one home run. Offensively, Edward Olivares went 2/4 with two homers and two RBIs, and Ke’Bryan Hayes went 2/4 with a run scored and one RBI.

The Pirates have been on a roll, winning three straight series and are currently 3-0 in their current series vs. the Tigers. Overall, they are 9-3 and are in first place in the NL Central. They have been excellent on the road, going 6-1, and have been a great underdog, going 7-1.

So far, they have been excellent in day games, going 7-2, and have won two straight series on the road. They have been excellent as a road underdog, going 5-0.

The Pirates have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 9-3 overall. They are 6-1 against the run line on the road and have covered the run line in their last two games as an underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.9 runs per game.

Through 12 games, the Pittsburgh Pirates have been a high-scoring team, with an average combined run total of 9.9 runs per game. Their over/under record is 8-4, with an average line of 8 runs per game. However, none of their games have had an over/under line set at 9 runs, and their games have averaged just 8 runs per game. In their last 10 games, the Pirates have had just one game with a combined run total of 9 runs, and their games have averaged just 8 runs per game.

Jared Jones Gets The Start For The Pirates

Jared Jones is on the mound for the Pirates as they take on the Phillies. He picked up the win in his first start of the season, going 5 2/3 innings and striking out 10. He did give up 2 homers in that outing. In his last start, he took the loss against the Orioles, going 6 innings and giving up 2 earned runs.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

Looking at the Pirates’ hitting projections for today, we have Ke’Bryan Hayes with the 3rd highest total hits projection in the league. His home run projection is also 10th best in the league. Bryan Reynolds has the highest home run projection on the team and the 8th best in the league. Michael A. Taylor is 10th in the league in terms of home run projections.

Philadelphia closed out their series with the Cardinals by picking up a 4-3 win. Going into the game, they were favored at -139 on the money line. The Phillies’ offense struggled for most of the game before tying things up in the 6th with two runs and added another two in the 9th to close things out.

Aaron Nola put together a quality start for the Phillies, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on three hits. He finished the game with three strikeouts and allowed one home run. At the plate, J.T. Realmuto went 2/5 with two runs scored.

Philadelphia is coming off a series loss to the Cardinals, but they did manage to win the series finale. They are currently two games behind the Braves for the division lead and are 6-6 overall.

When playing at home, the Phillies have struggled, going just 2-4 compared to a 4-2 mark on the road. They have also dropped two straight series at home.

Philadelphia has been a below-average run line team this season, going 5-7 overall. They have been better on the road, going 3-3 against the run line, compared to 2-4 at home. They have been a slight underdog in most games, going 2-2 against the run line as the underdog.

The Phillies have gone under the total in seven straight games and have gone under the total in 12 of their 12 games this season. The over/under line for today’s game against the Pirates is set at 9 runs, which is the highest line they have had all season. The Phillies have had the lowest average over/under line in the league at 8 runs per game.

Ranger Suárez Gets The Start For The Phillies

Ranger Suárez is getting the start for the Phillies at home against the Pirates. He has made two starts so far this season, with his most recent outing being a win over the Nationals. In that game, he went 6 innings and gave up 2 earned runs. In his first start of the season, he went 5 innings and gave up 3 runs.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

philadelphia phillies

For the Phillies, we have Trea Turner as our top projected hitter in terms of total hits, as he has the 2nd highest total in the league today. We also have his home run projection as the 7th best in today’s slate. Bryce Harper is our 2nd best hitter in terms of total hits on the team and his home run projection is the 3rd best in today’s slate. However, if you are looking to bet on a Phillies player to hit a home run, we have Kyle Schwarber as our top projected player, with the 3rd best odds in today’s games.


Pirates vs Phillies Prediction


Our prediction for today’s Pirates vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Phillies on the money line at -147. We see this game ending with a score of 6-5 in favor of the Phillies. If you’re looking for a potential payout, we do have the over/under at 9 runs, and with the game predicted to end with 11 runs, taking the over could be a good option.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Jared Jones is predicted to finish with five strikeouts, which is third-worst among today’s starters. As for the Phillies’ Ranger Suarez, he is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is second-worst. Suarez is also predicted to finish with a higher ERA than Jones.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.