Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 4/23/2024

The Boston Red Sox (13-10) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (16-6) on Tuesday, April 23rd. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on NESN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:10 ET.

Red Sox vs Guardians

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Boston closed out their series vs. the Pirates with a 6-1 win on the road. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were the +130 underdog. It was a big 3rd inning that turned things in their favor, as the Pirates could only score one run, and it was Boston’s Josh Winckowski got the start for the Red Sox, going 3 1/3 innings, and picked up the win. He only gave up one run on three hits and issued just one walk. Wilyer Abreu came out of the bullpen for the Red Sox and was excellent, going three innings and giving up just one hit. He didn’t allow a run and struck out two.

Offensively, the Red Sox scored their six runs on eight hits and didn’t hit a home run. They also only had one double. Wilyer Abreu was hot at the plate, going 3/5 with two RBIs and a run scored. The Red Sox also had three other players with a single RBI.

Boston is currently 13-10 overall and have won three straight games. In the AL East, the Red Sox are in 4th place and are 2.5 games behind the Orioles. So far, they have yet to win a game against a division opponent.

The Red Sox have been good on the road this year, putting together a record of 10-3 compared to 3-7 at home. Boston has also been good in day games, going 7-3. They have won four straight games as the road team and are a perfect 5-0 as the road favorite this year. Boston has an overall series record of 4-2-1.

Despite their struggles at home, the Red Sox have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 14-9 overall. They have been especially profitable on the road, where they are 11-2 against the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.9, while it drops to -3.3 in losses.

The Red Sox have seen their last two games go under the total, and their over/under record on the season is 10-12. Their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game, and the over/under line for today’s game is 8.5 runs. When their games have had an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the over is 7-1. The Red Sox have played in five games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game.

Tanner Houck Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Tanner Houck has been solid in his first three starts of the season, with a pair of wins and a loss. He started the year with a win over the Angels, then took a loss in his next start despite striking out 12. He is coming off a complete game shutout in his last outing, where he struck out 9 and gave up 3 hits.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

For the season, the Red Sox are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. However, they have been better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Boston is 2nd in the league in home runs and have the 5th best isolated power figure in the league. As a team, they are batting just .228 and have the worst strikeout rate in the league.

Triston Casas and Tyler O’Neill have been the Red Sox’s top power threats this season, with Casas having six homers and O’Neill at seven. Casas is also batting .244, and O’Neill has a team-best batting average of .312. O’Neill also has eight RBIs, which is 3rd on the team. Jarren Duran has been a solid contact hitter for the Red Sox, batting .281 with one home run.

Heading into their last game vs. the Athletics, the Guardians closed out the series with a 6-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -172. Offensively, the Guardians scored their six runs on seven hits and only hit one home run.

Tanner Bibee got the start for the Guardians, going 5 2/3 innings, and picked up the win. He was also Cleveland’s most effective pitcher, giving up just two runs on five hits. The Guardians’ defense was also a big factor in thejson’s win, as they turned three double plays and didn’t commit an error.

Cleveland comes into today’s game vs. the Red Sox having won four straight games, spanning their most recent series vs. the Athletics and their series finale vs. the Red Sox. Overall, the Guardians are 16-6 this season, and they lead the AL Central by 3.5 games over the Royals. So far, they have gone 4-1 against other teams in the AL Central.

At home, the Guardians are 6-3 this season and have been even better on the road, going 10-3. As the favorite, Cleveland has gone 9-4 and 7-2 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 6-1, and they have won two straight series. Cleveland is also 8-2 in day games this year.

When playing at home, the Cleveland Guardians have been a solid bet on the run line, going 6-3 in their nine games. Overall, the Guardians have a run line record of 15-7, and their average run margin for the season is +2.4 runs per game. They have been particularly strong as the underdog, going 8-1 against the run line in those games. Their run line win streak at home is currently at five games.

With an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the Cleveland Guardians have seen their games go over that mark in four straight contests. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs this season, and their over/under record is 14-7 overall. The over/under line for their games has been set at 8.5 runs in seven games this season, and the over has hit in four of those contests. Overall, their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs.

Ben Lively Gets The Start For The Guardians

Ben Lively will be making his first start of the season at home against the Red Sox. In his first start of the year, he took the loss on the road, going 5 innings and giving up 2 earned runs. He did strike out 7 batters but gave up 3 hits and 1 home run.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

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Josh Naylor comes into today’s game as the Guardians’ top power threat, as his six homers are 4th in the league and the top mark on the team. Naylor is also batting .325 for the season and has gone 7/24 in his last six games, with two homers and eight RBIs. Steven Kwan has yet to go deep this season but is batting .358 overall and went 8/22 in his last five games.

As a team, the Guardians are 3rd in the league in scoring at 5.6 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.7 runs per contest. Overall, they are among the league leaders in batting average, slugging percentage, and OPS.


Red Sox vs Guardians Prediction


Our recommended bet for this one is to take the Guardians on the money line at -108. We have them winning this game by a score of 5-4. With the Red Sox at -112, we see a lot of value in taking the Guardians to win straight up.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Tanner Houck is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is 12th among starters today. As for Ben Lively, he is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is fifth-worst among starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.