Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 4/24/2024

The Boston Red Sox (13-11) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (17-6) on Wednesday, April 24th. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on BSGL. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Red Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 6:10 ET.

Red Sox vs Guardians

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Cleveland picked up a 4-1 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 7th inning, scoring two of their four runs and picking up a 2-1 win. Heading into the game, the Guardians were favored at -122 on the money line.

The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Tanner Houck for the Red Sox, and he went six innings while giving up two runs and took the loss. Ben Lively put together a good outing for the Guardians, getting the win after going six and one-third innings and giving up one run.

Offensively, the Red Sox actually outhit the Guardians in the game six to seven. Wilyer Abreu was the only Red Sox hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 1/4 with a home run. Rob Refsnyder also had a three-hit game for Boston.

Boston is looking to pick up a win today, as they are 13-11 overall and are in 4th place in the AL East. The Red Sox are 3.0 games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead and have yet to win a game against a division opponent this year (0-3). Boston lost the final game of their series vs. the Guardians and are 4-2-1 in series this year.

So far, the Red Sox have been much better on the road, going 10-4 compared to 3-7 at home. As the favorite, Boston is 7-4 this year and 6-7 as the underdog. Boston has won three straight series on the road.

When the Red Sox are on the road, they have been a solid bet to cover the run line, going 11-3 so far this season. Their average run differential on the road is +2.6 runs per game, and they have an overall run line record of 14-10. They have been the underdog in 13 of those games, and they have gone 10-3 against the run line in those contests.

So far this season, the Boston Red Sox have played in 23 games with over/under lines. Their over/under record is 10-13, and the average line for their games has been 8 runs. The Red Sox have played in 18 games with higher lines than today’s 7.5 total, and their over/under record in those games is 1-5. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.0 runs per game. Their current under streak is at 3 games.

Cooper Criswell Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Cooper Criswell will be making his first road start of the season for the Red Sox, as they are taking on the Guardians. Criswell has started one game this season, and that was at home against the Angels. He went 4 innings, giving up 2 earned runs and striking out 4. His last outing was a 2 1/3 inning relief appearance vs. the Guardians, where he took the loss.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .227, but their team on-base percentage of .305 is 18th in the league. Boston has the 2nd most home runs in the league, and their isolated power of .165 is 5th best in the league.

Triston Casas and Masataka Yoshida are both tied for the team lead in RBIs, with 10 apiece. Casas has six homers, which is 3rd in the league, and Yoshida is 7th in the league with two homers. Tyler O’Neill is batting .308 this season and is 2nd in the league with seven home runs. O’Neill is also on a three-game hitting streak.

Cleveland comes into today’s game vs. the Red Sox having won five straight games, spanning their most recent series vs. the Athletics and their last game vs. the Red Sox. Overall, the Guardians are 17-6 and lead the AL Central by 3.5 games over the Royals. So far, they have gone 4-1 against other teams in the AL Central.

The Guardians have been really good at home, going 7-3, and they have been even better on the road, where they are 10-3. As the favorite, the Guardians are 10-4 this season and 7-2 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 6-1, and they have won two straight series.

The Cleveland Guardians have been a solid bet this season on the run line, going 16-7 overall. They are 7-3 on the run line at home and 9-4 on the run line on the road. They have covered the run line in four straight games when favored and are 8-1 on the run line as an underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.0, while their average run margin in losing games is -2.2.

The Cleveland Guardians have had a high-scoring season so far, with an average of 8.7 runs per game. Their over/under record is 14-8, and when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, they have gone over in all five games. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and 65.2% of their games have had higher lines than today’s 7.5. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game, and their last game against the Red Sox went under the 8.5 run line.

Carlos Carrasco Gets The Start For The Guardians

Carlos Carrasco is making his second start of the season at home against the Red Sox. He took a loss in his first start at home, but bounced back with a win in his last outing, which came on the road against the Yankees. In that start, he went 5 2/3 innings, striking out 5 and allowing 2 earned runs.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

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Josh Naylor has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Guardians, going 9/32 in his last eight games with two homers and eight RBIs. Naylor’s 20 RBIs for the season are 4th in the league, and his six homers are the most on the team and 3rd in the MLB. Naylor is also on a 10-game hitting streak. Tyler Freeman and Will Brennan have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Freeman hitting .333 in his last seven games and Brennan going 6/19 in his last six games.

As a team, the Guardians are 4th in the league in runs per game, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. They are also among the league leaders in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. So far, they have been a good home and road team, averaging 5.4 runs at home and 5.7 runs per game on the road.


Red Sox vs Guardians Prediction


Our prediction for this one is that the Red Sox will pick up a 6-5 road win over the Guardians. With the Red Sox’s money line sitting at +121, this is the bet we recommend making.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Cooper Criswell finishing with six strikeouts. As for the Guardians’ starter, Carlos Carrasco, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts as well.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.