Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 5/14/2024

The Cincinnati Reds (17-24) travel to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (20-22) on Tuesday, May 14th. This game will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix and televised on None. The Diamondbacks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 9:40 ET.

Reds vs Diamondbacks

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It was a close game in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs Reds series. Arizona went into the matchup as -158 favorites and squeaked out a 6-5 win. Cincinnati had a chance to tie or take the lead in the 9th inning but could only muster two runs.

Cincinnati’s offense actually outhit the Diamondbacks in the game 10 to 11. Both teams scored two runs in the 3rd inning, and after that, the Reds could only muster one more run in the 6th inning. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 7th, and both teams scored their final two runs in the 9th.

Jordan Montgomery got the start for the Diamondbacks, going just 5 1/3 innings while giving up three runs and striking out seven. He did not factor into the decision as Justin Martinez got the win out of the bullpen. Graham Ashcraft only went four innings for the Reds, giving up three earned runs on seven hits.

Cincinnati is on the road today, and they are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes losing the first game of this series vs. the Diamondbacks. Overall, the Reds are 17-24, putting them seven games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. So far, they are 1-2 in divisional games.

The Reds have really struggled recently, going just 1-9 over their last 10 games. At home, they are 9-13 this year compared to an 8-11 mark on the road. As the favorite, the Reds are 10-10 this year and 7-14 as the underdog. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 4-8-1, and they have dropped five straight series.

When the Cincinnati Reds are on the road, they have a run line record of 12-7, which includes a two-game winning streak against the run line. They have an average run margin of +0.3 runs per game on the road, which is better than their overall average run margin of -0.1 runs per game. The Reds have been the underdog in 21 of their 41 run line games this season, and they have a winning record of 11-10 in those games.

The Reds have played 39% of their games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, and their over/under record in those games is 3-3. Their combined run average for the season is 8.7 runs per game, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Diamondbacks is set at 8.5 runs. Their over/under record for the season is 20-19, and they have hit the over in their last two games.

Hunter Greene Gets The Start For The Reds

Hunter Greene is looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he gave up three earned runs in five innings of work. In that outing vs. the Diamondbacks, he gave up a homer. Greene finished with a no-decision in the outing. Overall, he has made eight starts and has a record of 1-2 with a 3.38 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .212 off Greene this season. One of his complete games came in a shutout vs. the Rangers. Greene has made two starts on the road and is 1-0 with a 1.12 ERA.

Reds Offense Breakdown

Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer have been the Reds’ most consistent power threats this season, as De La Cruz’s nine homers are 5th best in the league and Steer’s four homers are 10th best in the league. Steer also comes into the game with a five-game hitting streak. De La Cruz is batting .262 for the season, while Steer is hitting .248. Jeimer Candelario and Tyler Stephenson are also tied for 2nd on the team with four homers, but both are batting under .220.

Over his last seven games, Jeimer Candelario has gone 9/27 with a homer and six RBIs, while Elly De La Cruz has gone 6/27 with a homer and two RBIs. The Reds will need their offense to pick things up, as they are just 16th in the league in runs scored and have the league’s 24th ranked batting average.

Arizona is 20-22 overall and trail the Dodgers by 7.5 games in the NL West. So far, they are 9-8 in divisional matchups. The Diamondbacks have won two straight games, and these two wins have them 3rd in the NL West, 7.5 games behind the Dodgers.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 10-10 this season and 10-12 on the road. As the underdog, Arizona is 10-14 compared to 10-8 as the favorite. Arizona’s overall series record is 4-8-1, and they have dropped three straight series at home.

The Diamondbacks have been a solid bet against the run line this season, as they have a 21-21 record. They have been even better on the road, going 12-10 against the run line. Arizona has been a good bet as an underdog, going 14-10 against the run line. The Diamondbacks have been a good bet to go over the run line in their wins, as their average run margin in those games is 4.8 runs.

The Diamondbacks have gone over the total in three straight games, and their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 18-22, and their games have averaged a combined total of 9 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, they are 7-5 on the season.

Slade Cecconi Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Slade Cecconi will be making his 2nd home start of the season, and he will be looking to pick up his first win of the season. In his first start of the season, he took a loss to the Padres, as he went 4 1/3 innings and gave up 6 runs. Cecconi’s last outing was a no-decision against the Reds, where he went 5 1/3 innings and gave up 1 run on 3 hits.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

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Arizona’s offense has been one of the league’s best so far, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 4th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per game. As a team, the Diamondbacks are batting .248, which is 9th in the league, and they have the 5th best on-base percentage in the league.

Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been the team’s top power hitters this season, with Walker leading the team with 27 RBIs and Marte’s nine homers being the best mark on the team. Marte has been in a bit of a slump of late, going 7/32 in his last seven games. However, he has still managed to hit three homers and drive in seven runs during that stretch. Kevin Newman is also swinging a hot bat right now, going 10/23 in his last seven games.

Reds vs Diamondbacks Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Reds vs. Diamondbacks matchup is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line at -116. We have the Diamondbacks winning this one by a score of 5-4, and with the payout being better than the over/under line, we recommend sticking with the Diamondbacks to pick up the win.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Hunter Greene is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the fourth-best among today’s starters. As for Slade Cecconi, he is predicted to finish with five K’s, which is eighth among starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.