Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 5/15/2024

The Cincinnati Reds (18-24) travel to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (20-23) on Wednesday, May 15th. This game will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix and televised on None. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Diamondbacks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 3:40 ET.

Reds vs Diamondbacks

cincinnati reds nba

Cincinnati cruised to a 6-2 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 3rd inning, scoring five of their six runs. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Reds were at -103 on the money line.

Hunter Greene started for the Reds and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts and allowed just one home run. Slade Cecconi struggled on the mound for the Diamondbacks, giving up six runs in 5 2/3 innings of work.

At the plate, the Reds were led by Will Benson, Tyler Stephenson, and Jake Fraley, as they were the only three Reds hitters to have more than one hit. Benson and Stephenson each homered in the game. For the Diamondbacks, Kevin Newman went 2/2 with an RBI.

Cincinnati is 18-24 overall and is in 5th place in the NL Central. The Reds trail the Brewers by seven games for the division lead, and they are 1-2 in divisional games this year. The Reds have lost five straight series and are 4-8-1 in series this year.

At home, the Reds are 9-13 this year, and they are just above .500 at 9-11 on the road. So far, they have been .500 both as the favorite and as the underdog. Cincinnati will be looking to pick up a win today, as they have gone just 2-8 in their last 10 games.

The Reds have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 21-21. They have been especially profitable on the road, where they are 13-7 against the run line. Cincinnati has covered the run line in three straight road games and four straight as the underdog. They have been outscored by an average of 0.5 runs per game at home but have a positive run differential of 0.5 runs per game on the road.

The Reds and Diamondbacks have had a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season, but their games have gone over the over/under line of 8.5 runs in just 3 of 7 games when the line has been set at 8.5 runs. Overall, the Reds have played in 19 games with higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, and their games have gone over the line in 9 of those contests.

Andrew Abbott Gets The Start For The Reds

Cincinnati is sending left-hander Andrew Abbott to the mound today vs. the Diamondbacks. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 2-4. Abbott’s ERA is 3.35, along with a WHIP of 1.19. In his 43 innings of work, he has allowed eight home runs. One of his two quality starts came in his most recent outing, where he gave up two earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Giants. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight outings.

Reds Offense Breakdown

Elly De La Cruz comes into the game as the Reds’ top home run hitter, as his nine homers is the 5th best mark in the league. However, he has struggled of late, going just 7/35 in his last nine games. Overall, he is batting .260 for the season. Leading the Reds in RBIs is Spencer Steer, who is 10th in the league with 29 RBIs. He also has four homers and is batting .248.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game and are 13th in the league in home runs. However, they are batting just .220 as a team and are near the bottom of the league in several key offensive categories. Currently, Jeimer Candelario and Santiago Espinal are both on four-game hitting streaks.

Arizona is 20-23 overall and trails the Dodgers by 8.5 games in the NL West. So far, they are 9-8 in divisional games. The Diamondbacks are looking to pick up a win today at home, as they are just 10-11 at home this year.

As the home favorite, Arizona has gone 7-6 this year and 10-9 overall as the favorite. They have been the underdog in 24 games, and they are 10-14 in those games. Arizona’s series record is 4-8-1 this year, and they have dropped three straight series at home.

Arizona has a run differential of +0.3 runs per game this season, and its run line record is 21-22. The Diamondbacks have been a better bet on the run line on the road than at home, going 12-10 on the run line away from Chase Field. They have a run line record of 14-10 as an underdog and 7-12 as a favorite. Their average run differential in wins is +4.8, compared to -3.5 in losses.

Arizona’s games have averaged 9.6 runs per game this season, and the Diamondbacks’ over/under record is 18-23. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs, and when the line is set at 8.5, their over/under record is 7-6. In 46.5% of their games, the over/under line has been set higher than 8.5 runs, and in 23.3% of their games, the line has been set lower than 8.5 runs. In their last 10 games, the over/under record is 4-6.

Brandon Pfaadt Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Through eight starts, Brandon Pfaadt has a record of 1-3 and an ERA of 4.60. He has made four quality starts this year and is coming off a rough outing against the Orioles, where he took the loss. In that game, Pfaadt gave up three earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back at his last three outings, he has given up at least two home runs in each of those starts. Pfaadt’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19, and he is averaging 8.04 strikeouts per nine innings.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

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Arizona comes into the game as one of the league’s best offensive teams, averaging 5 runs per contest, which is 5th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game. The Diamondbacks are also among the league leaders in home runs, and are batting .246 as a team.

Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been the team’s top power hitters so far, with Walker leading the team with 27 RBIs and Marte’s nine homers being the best mark on the team. However, Marte has gone just 5/23 in his last five games. Joc Pederson has two homers in his last six games while batting .353.

Reds vs Diamondbacks Prediction

Our prediction for this Reds vs. Diamondbacks matchup is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line at -143. We actually have the Diamondbacks winning this one 6-5, giving us some wiggle room with the over/under line sitting at 8.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Brandon Pfaadt is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which has him as the 16th best starter in terms of Ks. As for Andrew Abbott, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which has him right in the middle of the pack.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.