Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction 5/16/2024

The Cincinnati Reds (18-25) travel to face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers (29-16) on Thursday, May 16th. This game will be played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles and televised on SNLA. Both the Reds and Dodgers are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 10:10 ET.

Reds vs Dodgers

cincinnati reds nba

The Reds will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Diamondbacks with a 2-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Diamondbacks scored a run in the bottom of the 8th. Cincinnati was the +133 underdog on the road going into this matchup.

Andrew Abbott put together a good start for the Reds, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and striking out four. However, the Reds couldnjson’t close things out, and Fernando Cruz took the loss out of the bullpen. The Reds also wasted a big game from Santiago Espinal, who homered in the 1st inning, going 1/3.

Cincinnati will be on the road for today’s game vs. the Dodgers, and they are 18-25 overall, which has them 5th in the NL Central. The Reds are 8.0 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead, and they are 1-2 in division games this year. Cincinnati’s series record is 4-9-1, and they have dropped six straight series.

At home, the Reds are 9-13 this year compared to a 9-12 mark on the road. As the underdog, Cincinnati is 8-15 this year and an even 10-10 as the favorite. Looking at their recent play, the Reds are just 2-8 over their last 10 games, and they dropped two of three to the Diamondbacks in their most recent series.

The Reds have been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 22-21 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 14-7 against the run line. Their average run differential in winning games is +4.1, while their average run differential in losing games is -3.1.

The Cincinnati Reds have gone under the total in two straight games, and their over/under record for the season is 20-21. The average combined run total in their games is 8.6, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Los Angeles Dodgers is set at 8 runs. So far this season, 62.8% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s 8-run total.

Brent Suter Gets The Start For The Reds

Cincinnati is sending left-hander Brent Suter to the mound today vs. the Dodgers. He has made 17 appearances this season but has yet to make a start. Suter’s ERA is 3.86, and opponents are batting .245 this season. Looking back at his last few outings, Suter has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three appearances, where he worked out of the bullpen. In each of these outings, he has gone one inning and didn’t allow a run. Suter’s last appearance came on May 14th vs. the Diamondbacks, where he gave up two hits and didn’t walk a batter. He didn’t allow a homer in any of these outings.

Reds Offense Breakdown

Elly De La Cruz comes into today’s game as the Reds’ top home run hitter, as his nine homers are the best mark on the team and 5th best in the league. He is also batting .258 for the season and has gone 7/29 in his last eight games. Spencer Steer is also near the top of the league in RBIs, as his 29 RBIs are 10th best in the league. Steer is also 3rd on the team with four homers.

Will Benson is 2nd on the Reds in homers but is batting just .194 for the season and has gone 5/24 in his last eight games. Over his last eight games, Benson has just one RBI. As a team, the Reds are batting just .218 and are 16th in the league in scoring, at 4.3 runs per game.

Los Angeles closed out their series vs. the Giants with a 4-1 loss. Heading into the game, the Dodgers were the heavy favorite at -143 on the money line. Things started off well for the Giants, as they got on the board with a run in the 3rd inning and added two more in the 4th to take a 3-0 lead. The Dodgers’s offense scored their only run in the 8th.

Elieser Hernandez had a good start for the Dodgers, going six innings and giving up three earned runs, and picking up the loss. However, the Dodgers didn’t get a great outing from their bullpen, as the Giants scored another run in the 7th to close things out. Freddie Freeman and Mookie Betts each had two hits and scored one run apiece. Shohei Ohtani also had a good day at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored.

Los Angeles will host the Reds with an overall record of 29-16, good for 1st place in the NL West. They currently lead the division by 7.5 games over the Padres and have gone 10-7 in divisional matchups. The Dodgers have been red hot at home, going 15-8 this year and 14-8 on the road.

This season, the Dodgers have been really good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 28-14. As the underdog, the Dodgers are just 1-2 this season. They come into today’s game having won seven straight games at home, and their overall series record is 10-6 this year.

The Dodgers have been a solid run line bet this season, going 24-21 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, where they are 13-9 against the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +1.8 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in five straight games. They are 23-19 against the run line as the favorite, but just 1-2 as the underdog.

When the Dodgers are at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 24-21. The average line in their games is 9 runs, and in games with an over/under line set at 8 runs, the record is 2-2. Overall, 75.6% of their games this season have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.

Tyler Glasnow Gets The Start For The Dodgers

Through nine starts, Tyler Glasnow has a record of 6-1 and an ERA of 2.53 for the Dodgers. He has made seven quality starts this year and is averaging 11.53 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Glasnow finished with a no-decision, going seven innings and giving up one earned run on 10 hits. Before that, he had won three straight starts. The right-hander has been tough to beat on the road, coming in with a record of 2-0 and an ERA of 1.6. At home, his ERA is 3.87.

Dodgers Offense Breakdown

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Shohei Ohtani comes into the game as one of the league’s top home run hitters, as his 12 homers are the 2nd most in the league and the top mark on the Dodgers. Ohtani is also batting an impressive .364 for the season. Ohtani has also been hot of late, going 9/27 in his last seven games, including one home run and three RBIs. Teoscar Hernandez is also a significant power threat in the lineup, as he is 3rd in the league in homers and has 36 RBIs, which is the best mark on the team.

As a team, the Dodgers are the league’s top scoring offense at 5.3 runs per game, and they have been even better at home, averaging 5.7 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s best hitting team, with a team batting average of .262. They also come into the game as the league’s top on-base percentage and slugging team.

Reds vs Dodgers Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Reds vs. Dodgers matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8 runs. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Dodgers, giving us a little bit of wiggle room if you wanted to take the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Tyler Glasnow is projected to go five innings and finish with six strikeouts. However, we have him finishing with the fifth-most strikeouts among starting pitchers today. As for the Reds, they are projected to finish with nine strikeouts, which is the eighth most in the league.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.