Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction 5/17/2024

The Cincinnati Reds (19-25) travel to face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers (29-17) on Friday, May 17th. This game will be played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles and televised on MLBN. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Dodgers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 10:10 ET.

Reds vs Dodgers

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Cincinnati cruised to a 7-2 win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 3rd inning, scoring five of their seven runs. As for the Dodgers, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Reds were the +254 underdogs.

Brent Suter only went two-thirds of an inning for the Reds but didn’t give up a run or a hit. Nick Martinez got the win out of the bullpen. Tyler Glasnow had a rough outing for the Dodgers, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work.

Will Benson and Elly De La Cruz each homered for the Reds, while Tyler Stephenson scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/4. Gavin Lux hit a home run for the Dodgers, going 1/4.

Cincinnati is 19-25 overall and trail the Brewers by 7.5 games in the NL Central. The Reds are 4th in the division and are 1-2 in divisional games this year. They have lost six straight series and have an overall series record of 4-9-1.

At home, the Reds are 9-13 this year, and they are just above .500 at 10-12 on the road. So far, they have been able to win the series at home, going 2-0. As for their overall series record, they have lost two straight series at home.

The Reds have been a solid bet against the run line on the road this season, going 15-7. They have covered the run line in five straight road games and are 14-10 as an underdog this season. Cincinnati’s average run margin in winning games is 4.2, while it is -3.1 in losing games.

The Reds and Dodgers have a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season. The over/under record for Reds games this season is 21-21, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, the record is 1-6-2. In their last game, the over/under line was set at 7.5 runs, and the game went over the total.

Frankie Montas Gets The Start For The Reds

Right-hander Frankie Montas gets the start for the Reds today as he faces the Dodgers on the road. He has made seven starts this season and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 4.20. Montas’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.37. In his 30 innings of work, Montas has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he took the mound, Montas finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts.

Reds Offense Breakdown

Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat for the Reds, hitting .379 over his last eight games, including one home run. For the season, he is batting .277 and leads the team with a total of nine homers. Spencer Steer has also been a solid run producer for the Reds, as his 29 RBIs are 9th in the league and the top mark on the team. However, he is hitting just .234 for the season.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game and are 13th in the league in home runs. However, they have been a below-average hitting team so far, with a team batting average of just .220. This has led to a collective on-base percentage of .300, which is 19th in the MLB.

Los Angeles will take on the Reds today with an overall record of 29-17, good for 1st place in the NL West. The Dodgers lead the Padres by seven games heading into today’s game. Los Angeles has dropped two straight games, and this comes after winning four in a row.

So far, the Dodgers have gone 10-7 against other teams in the NL West. At home, the Dodgers are 15-9 this year and have gone 14-8 on the road. Los Angeles has been really good in night games, going 20-7 this year.

When the Dodgers are favored, they are 23-20 against the run line, but when they are the underdog, they are just 1-2. They have a run line record of 24-22 overall, and their average run margin is +1.7 runs per game. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.2 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -2.7 runs per game.

The Dodgers’ over/under record is 25-21 this season, and the average over/under line in their games is 9 runs. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 2-2. So far this season, the over has hit in 17.4% of their games, while the under has hit in 73.9% of their games. Their games have had an average of 8.7 runs per game.

James Paxton Gets The Start For The Dodgers

Left-hander James Paxton gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Reds at home. Paxton has made seven starts this year and has a record of 5-0 with a 2.58 ERA. So far, he has pitched much better at home, coming in with a 2.25 ERA compared to 3.03 on the road. Paxton has made three quality starts and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing vs. the Padres, he went six innings. The last time he allowed a home run was on April 29th vs. the Diamondbacks.

Dodgers Offense Breakdown

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Shohei Ohtani has been one of the league’s top hitters this season, batting .360 with 12 home runs, which is 2nd in the league. His 30 RBIs are also 8th in the league. Ohtani is also coming off a stretch in which he has gone 7/16 (.438) with three RBIs in his last four games. Teoscar Hernandez has also been a big power threat for the Dodgers, as his 11 homers is 3rd in the league, and he is batting .243 for the season.

Los Angeles comes into the game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.6 runs per contest. As a team, the Dodgers are batting .260, which is the 2nd best mark in the league, and they also lead the league in walks and on-base percentage.

Reds vs Dodgers Prediction

Our prediction is that the Dodgers will pick up a 6-4 win over the Reds, and with the money line sitting at -210, we will be looking at the over/under line, which is currently at 9 runs. We have the Dodgers winning by two runs, and with the payout for a Dodgers win not being great, we would recommend taking the over.

Looking at today’s starters, James Paxton is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is the seventh-best among starters. As for Frankie Montas, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and we have him finishing with the third-best ERA among starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.