Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 8/24/2024

The Cincinnati Reds (62-67) travel to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (61-67) on Saturday, August 24th. This game will be played at PNC Park in Pittsburgh and televised on BSOH. The Pirates are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pirates. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.

Reds vs. Pirates Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Reds (-115)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Reds have scored 10 or more runs in 4 of their last 15 games.
  • The Reds have won 3 out of their last 4 games against the Pirates.
  • The Reds have a recent away win against a strong team, scoring 11 runs against the Blue Jays on August 21st.
  • The Reds have a higher away win percentage (31-33) compared to the Pirates’ home win percentage (31-32).
  • The Reds have scored 5 or more runs in 8 of their last 15 games.

Reds vs Pirates

cincinnati reds nba

Pittsburgh picked up a 6-5 win over the Reds in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a huge 5th inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Reds, they scored four of their five runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Pirates were favored at -114 on the money line.

Bailey Falter got the start for the Pirates, going just five innings while giving up five runs and striking out four. Dennis Santana came out of the bullpen for the win, and David Bednar got the save. Buck Farmer only went two innings for the Reds, giving up zero hits and zero earned runs.

Joey Bart and Rowdy Tellez each homered for the Pirates, while Bryan De La Cruz went 1/3 with two RBIs. Tyler Stephenson hit the game’s only other home run for the Reds, going 2/3 with three RBIs.

When the Reds have been the underdog, they have a 42-26 run line record with an average run differential of +3.8 runs per game. Overall, Cincinnati is 40-24 on the run line on the road, where they have an average run differential of +0.6 runs per game.

Cincinnati is 4th in the NL Central, 12.5 games behind the Brewers, with a 62-67 record. They have lost two straight games and are 4-6 in their last 10 games. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly lower than their season average of 8.7 runs per game.

Julian Aguiar Gets The Start For The Reds

Julian Aguiar and the Reds are on the road to take on the Pirates today. Aguiar started the season with a no-decision against the Blue Jays, where he went 4 innings, giving up 2 earned runs on 4 hits, with 2 strikeouts.

Reds Offense Breakdown

Elly De La Cruz has been a consistent run producer for the Reds this season, as his 56 RBIs are 2nd on the team, and he is also 15th in the league with 22 homers. De La Cruz has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 5/18 in his last five games with four runs scored and four RBIs. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, but both have struggled in terms of batting average.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are 10th in home runs this season. However, they are batting just .231, which is 19th in the league. Cincinnati’s offense has been even worse in terms of strikeouts, as they are 25th in the league in this category.

So far in this series, the Pirates have won the first two games against the Reds and are now 61-67 overall. They are currently in 5th place in the NL Central, half a game behind the Reds. The Pirates have an NL Central division record of 19-15 this season.

As underdogs, the Pirates have a run line record of 54-26, and they have covered the run line in their last three games. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs, and the Pirates’ O/U record in games with that line is 26-19. Overall, their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game, and their season over/under record is 61-65.

Jake Woodford Gets The Start For The Pirates

Jake Woodford gets the start for the Pirates today and will be looking to pick up his first win of the season. So far, he has made five starts and seven total appearances. Woodford’s record for the season is 0-5, and he has an ERA of 6.67. Out of his five starts, he has just one quality start, and opponents are batting .282 this season. In his last outing, Woodford gave up five earned runs in four innings of work. He took the loss in that outing. Looking back, he has lost three straight appearances.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

pittsburgh pirates

So far this season, the Pirates are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the MLB. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game, but that is also just 19th in the league. As a team, they are batting just .234, which is 18th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in strikeouts and on-base percentage.

One thing to keep an eye on is the Pirates’ top two home run hitters, Bryan Reynolds and Bryan De La Cruz, as they are both on hitting streaks and have gone deep in three of their last five games. Reynolds is batting .282 for the season and has 70 RBIs, while De La Cruz is 3rd on the team with 60 RBIs.

Reds vs Pirates Prediction

Our predicted final score for this Reds vs. Pirates matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Reds. With the Reds picking up a win on the money line, we would recommend locking in their current odds of -115.

Looking at some of the projections for today’s starters, Julian Aguiar is predicted to finish with five strikeouts, which would have him ranked as the sixth lowest among today’s starters. As for Jake Woodford, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which would have him ranked as the 10th best.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.