Colorado Rockies vs Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Rockies vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 6/11/2024

The Colorado Rockies (23-43) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (35-31) on Tuesday, June 11th. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on None. The Twins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rockies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Twins. First pitch is set for 6:40 CT.

Rockies vs Twins

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It was all Minnesota in the last game of this series, as the Twins took down the Rockies by a score of 5-0. The Twins offense only had one more hit than the Rockies and struck out 10 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -245 on the money line.

Both teams scored their only runs in the 4th inning. After that, the Rockies could only muster two more hits and didn’t have another baserunner after the 6th. As for the Twins, they scored an insurance run in the 8th and didn’t need to bat in the 9th.

Chris Paddack got the win for the Twins, going 6 1/3 innings and striking out six without giving up a run. Dakota Hudson had a rough outing for the Rockies, taking the loss after going 6 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run.

Colorado is 23-43 overall, putting them 5th in the NL West, and they trail the Dodgers by 17.5 games in the division. The Rockies have dropped two straight games and are 2-8 across their last 10. In the NL West, they are 17.5 games behind the Dodgers and are 9-14 in divisional matchups.

So far, the Rockies have really struggled on the road, going 10-26 compared to 13-17 at home. As the underdog, Colorado has gone 23-43 this year, and they have dropped two straight as the underdog. The Rockies’ overall series record is 4-15-2, and they are losing their current series vs. the Twins.

Colorado is 33-33 against the run line this season, including a 15-15 mark at home. The Rockies have a run differential of -1.6 runs per game this season, and their average run differential is slightly worse on the road (-1.9) than at home (-1.3). They are 18-18 against the run line on the road this season, and their current run line losing streak is at two games.

Colorado is on the road against the Twins today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Rockies have a combined run average of 9.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 33-32. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 3-6, and 53.0% of their games this season have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs. Their under streak is at 2 games.

Cal Quantrill Gets The Start For The Rockies

Cal Quantrill gets the start for the Rockies today as he faces the Twins on the road. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 5-4 with a 3.58 ERA. Quantrill’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.30. Looking back at his last outing, Quantrill pitched well, picking up the win and going five innings without giving up a run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Quantrill has made eight appearances on the road, going 3-2 with a 4.04 ERA.

Rockies Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Rockies are averaging 4 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.5 runs per game. As a team, the Rockies are batting .245, which is 8th in the league, and have the league’s best BABIP at .32. However, they are near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a collective OPS of just .683.

Both Ezequiel Tovar and Ryan McMahon have 10 homers this season, which is 12th in the league. McMahon is also the team’s leading run producer, with 34 RBIs. Tovar has gone 12/42 over his last 10 games and has gone deep twice during that stretch. Elias Diaz is also having a strong season at the plate, with a team-high batting average of .303.

Minnesota is 35-31 overall and is 8.0 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. The Twins have picked up two straight wins, and they are 15-11 against other teams in the division. Minnesota’s overall series record is 11-8-2, and they have dropped two straight series.

At home, the Twins are 17-13 this year and an even 18-18 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 26-15, and they are 9-16 as the underdog. Minnesota has won two straight at home, and their overall record as the home favorite is 13-10.

The Twins have a run line record of 30-36 this season. They are 12-18 against the run line at home and 18-18 on the road. Minnesota has an average run differential of -0.0 runs per game this season.

When the Minnesota Twins play at home, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs for the game against the Colorado Rockies. The combined run average for Twins games this season is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 28-36. The average over/under line for Twins games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 7-12. So far this season, 10.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, with the majority of their games (60.6%) having lower lines.

Louie Varland Gets The Start For The Twins

Louie Varland will be making his 4th start of the season for the Twins, and he will be looking for his first win of the year. He has taken the loss in each of his first three starts, and in his last outing, he went just 2 2/3 innings, giving up 4 runs on 3 hits and 4 strikeouts. Varland has yet to make it through 6 innings in a start this season.

Twins Offense Breakdown

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Minnesota’s offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game this season, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per game. As a team, the Twins are batting .230, which is 17th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .303 is also below average. However, they do have the 4th best isolated power figure in the league.

Ryan Jeffers has been the Twins’ top power threat this season, as his 12 homers lead the team and is 10th in the MLB. However, he is batting just .237. Carlos Santana also has a good amount of home runs this season (9) but is batting just .214. Willi Castro comes into the game with a batting average of .250 and an OBP of .341. Over his last seven games, Carlos Correa is batting .333 with one homer and seven RBIs.

Rockies vs Twins Prediction

Our recommended bet for this Rockies vs. Twins matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Twins, giving us some nice cushion on the over/under line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Louie Varland finishing with the most strikeouts among starters today, and he is also projected to go six innings. As for Cal Quantrill, he is predicted to finish with five K’s and go just four innings.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.