Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 4/16/2024

The Colorado Rockies (4-13) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (9-8) on Tuesday, April 16th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on None. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rockies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rockies. First pitch is set for 6:40 ET.

Rockies vs Phillies

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Philadelphia picked up a 2-1 win over the Rockies in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a chance to win in regulation but scored the game’s tying run in the 9th and walked it off in the 10th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -268 on the money line.

Aaron Nola pitched well for the Phillies in the game, going 7 1/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but issued a season-high five walks. Seranthony Dominguez got the win out of the bullpen.

Cal Quantrill got the start for the Rockies, going six innings and giving up one run. He finished the game with just one strikeout and allowed two walks. Jake Bird took the loss.

As the Rockies are on the road today vs. the Phillies, they are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, as they dropped the final three games of their series with the Blue Jays. Currently, the Rockies are in 5th place in the NL West, two games behind the Giants for 4th place and six games behind the Dodgers for the division lead.

So far, Colorado has been the underdog in all of their games, and they have yet to win a series this season at 0-5. At home, they are 2-4 compared to 2-9 on the road.

The Rockies have been a strong play against the run line this season, going 8-9 overall. They have been especially good at home, going 4-2, while they are 4-7 on the road. Their average run margin is -2.1 runs per game, and they have been outscored by an average of 3.1 runs per game on the road. They have been a run line underdog in every game this season.

Colorado’s games have been high-scoring this season, with a combined run average of 10.3. Their over/under record is 9-8, and the average over/under line for their games is 9 runs. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, they have a record of 2-2. Overall, 58.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs. Their last three games have gone under the total, and today’s over/under line is set at 8.5 runs.

Austin Gomber Gets The Start For The Rockies

Austin Gomber is on the mound for the Rockies today, as they are taking on the Phillies on the road. Gomber has started 3 games so far this season and has yet to pick up a win. In his last start, he went 6 innings and gave up 2 earned runs on 6 hits. He did give up a home run in that outing and has allowed 3 home runs in 14 2/3 innings this season.

Rockies Offense Breakdown

For the Rockies, we have Nolan Jones with the highest home run projection on the team, and his home run projection is 13th best in the league today. Charlie Blackmon has the highest total hits projection on the team and 18th best in the league. Kris Bryant has the 2nd best home run projection on the team and 15th best in the league.

With an overall record of 9-8, the Phillies are 2nd in the NL East, trailing the Braves by two games. Coming into today’s game vs. the Rockies, the Phillies are both overall and have a series record of 2-2-1 this season.

Philadelphia is coming off a series win over the Pirates and, before that, won their series vs. the Cardinals. So far, they are 5-6 at home and have gone 4-2 on the road. They are coming off a series win over the Pirates.

When the Phillies win, they win by an average of 2.4 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 4.2 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 6-11, with a -0.7 run differential. They are 3-8 against the run line at home, compared to 3-3 on the road. As the favorite, they are 4-9 against the run line, while they are 2-2 as the underdog.

When the Phillies play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in their games is 7.8, and their over/under record for the season is 6-11. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 1-5. Only 11.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, and their games have gone under the line in 52.9% of their games.

Ranger Suárez Gets The Start For The Phillies

Ranger Suárez has been solid in his first two starts of the season, earning the win in both outings. He started off the year with a win over the Nationals, and then followed that up with a win vs. the Pirates. In that start, he went 6 innings, striking out 8 and only allowing 2 hits. He has yet to give up a home run this season.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

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If you’re looking to bet on a Phillies player to hit a home run, we like Kyle Schwarber’s chances, as his home run projection is the best on the team and 5th best in the league today. Bryce Harper’s home run projection is also 5th best in the league, and he has the 2nd best hits projection on the team. Trea Turner has the top hits projection for the Phillies and his home run projection is 10th best in the league today.

 

Rockies vs Phillies Prediction

 

There is a lot of value in taking the Rockies on the money line in this one, as they are paying out at +201. We actually have the Rockies winning this one by a score of 5-4. So, you could also look to take the Rockies on the run line if you want to play it a little safer.

Looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, Austin Gomber is projected to finish with four strikeouts, and we actually have Ranger Suarez finishing with the same amount. Suarez is projected to go 5-6 innings, while Gomber is projected to go 5-6 innings.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.