Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 5/3/2024

The Colorado Rockies (7-24) travel to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (14-18) on Friday, May 3rd. This game will be played at PNC Park in Pittsburgh and televised on SN PT. Both the Rockies and Pirates are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:40 ET.

Rockies vs Pirates

colorado rockies nba

The Rockies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Marlins with a 5-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the bottom of the 10th before the Marlins scored a run to pick up the win. Colorado was the +148 underdog on the road going into this matchup.

Peter Lambert got the start for the Rockies and took the loss. He only lasted 3 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs on five hits. Colorado’s offense was carried by Jacob Stallings, who went 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

Colorado is on the road today to take on the Pirates, and they are just 7-24 overall this season. The Rockies have dropped five straight games and lost their most recent series 0-3 vs. the Marlins. In the NL West, they trail the Dodgers by 12 games.

So far, the Rockies are 4-7 against other NL West teams. At home, they are just 5-10 compared to 2-14 on the road. As the underdog, the Rockies have yet to win a game when favored. Their overall record as the underdog is 7-24 this year, and they have lost two straight series.

Colorado has a run line record of 14-17 this season, with an average run margin of -2.4. They are 7-8 against the run line at home, and 7-9 on the road. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.3, while their average run margin in losing games is -4.1. As an underdog, they are 14-17 against the run line.

Colorado’s over/under record for the season is 15-16, and the average over/under line for their games is 10 runs. However, when the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, the over has hit in all three games. Overall, 80.6% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and the combined run average in their games this season is 10 runs per game.

Cal Quantrill Gets The Start For The Rockies

Cal Quantrill gets the start for the Rockies today as he faces off against the Pirates on the road. So far this season, he has made six starts and has a record of 0-3 with an ERA of 5.34. Quantrill’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.50. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back over his last three outings, Quantrill has allowed at least one home run in each start. He has made three quality starts this year.

Rockies Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Rockies offense is averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .238, which is 12th in the league, and their team BABIP of .32 is 3rd in the league. However, they are near the bottom of the league in home runs and have the 25th ranked on-base percentage in the league.

Ryan McMahon and Michael Toglia are currently tied for the team lead with four home runs apiece. McMahon is hitting .316 for the season and has gone 8/24 with two homers over his last seven games. Toglia is hitting just .106 for the season. Ezequiel Tovar and Brenton Doyle are also tied for 2nd on the team with three homers apiece.

Pittsburgh is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 4-0 loss to Oakland, Quinn Priester was excellent on the mound, allowing just two runs on five hits and striking out three. However, the Pirates couldn’t get anything going offensively and wasted a good start from Priester. They also were the -110 favorite on the money line going into the game.

The Pirates will be looking to get back on track in their final game vs. the Athletics. Pittsburgh is currently in 4th place in the NL Central, but they are only 3.5 games out of first. A win on Sunday would give them some momentum going into the new week.

The Pirates host the Rockies today with an overall record of 14-18, which has them 5th in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by six games in the division. Pittsburgh will be looking to snap a four-game losing streak today, as they dropped the final game of their series with the Athletics and have dropped the first three games of this losing streak.

At home, the Pirates are 5-7 this year and 9-11 on the road. So far, they have struggled as the favorite, going just 3-8. As for their record as the underdog, the Pirates are 11-10 this year. Pittsburgh has dropped two straight games as the home favorite, and their overall series record is 3-4-3 this year.

The Pirates have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 17-15 overall. They are 6-6 on the run line at home, where they have a scoring margin of -1.2 runs per game. They are 11-9 on the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of -0.2 runs per game.

The Pirates have had six straight games go under the total. They are 13-19 to the over on the season, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. However, 46.9% of their games have had higher lines than 8 runs. The Pirates have a combined run average of 7.9 runs per game this season.

Martín Pérez Gets The Start For The Pirates

Martín Pérez gets the start for the Pirates today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing vs. the Giants, he allowed four hits, two walks, and did not give up a home run. Perez finished with a no-decision in that outing. Looking back further, he has made three straight quality starts and has a record of 1-1 this season with an ERA of 2.86. Opposing batters are hitting .252 off Perez this season. So far, he has made three quality starts and is averaging 7.01 strikeouts per nine innings.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

pittsburgh pirates

So far this season, the Pirates are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .227, which is 16th in the league, and are 16th in home runs. The Pirates do come into the game as the league’s 3rd best team in terms of drawing walks.

Bryan Reynolds has been the Pirates’ most consistent power threat this season, as his four homers are the best mark on the team and 7th best in the league. However, he is batting just .248 for the year and has gone just 6/30 in his last seven games. Connor Joe is batting .283 for the season and has also hit three homers. Joey Bart, Edward Olivares, and Andrew McCutchen are all tied for 2nd on the team with three homers.

Rockies vs Pirates Prediction

Our predicted score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Rockies, and with them having a money line of +157, that is the route we recommend going. At +157, we have the Rockies’ chances of winning at 38.7%.

If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to the over/under, with the line sitting at 8 runs. Our models have this one going over, but with a lot of room for error, we recommend sticking with the Rockies on the money line.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.