Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Rockies vs San Diego Padres Prediction 5/14/2024

The Colorado Rockies (13-28) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (22-22) on Tuesday, May 14th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on None. The Rockies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rockies. First pitch is set for 9:40 ET.

Rockies vs Padres

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Colorado picked up a 5-4 road win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Rockies had a huge 4th inning, scoring all four of their runs. As for the Padres, they scored one run in the 5th and added their final three runs in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Rockies were at +190 on the money line.

Dakota Hudson got the win for the Rockies, going just 5 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Jalen Beeks got the save. Randy Vásquez had a rough outing for the Padres, taking the loss after going just 3 2/3 innings and giving up five earned runs.

At the plate, the Rockies were led by Elehuris Montero and Ezequiel Tovar, as they were the only two Rockies hitters to have more than one hit. Montero. Jackson Merrill had a two-hit game for the Padres.

Colorado is currently 5th in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 14 games. Overall, the Rockies are 13-28 and have won five straight games. Their five-game winning streak has come at a good time, as they are 14.0 games out of the NL West lead and 5th in the division standings.

So far, the Rockies have really struggled on the road, going just 4-16 this season. At home, they are under .500 at 9-12. This year, the Rockies are 1-11-1 in series, and their overall record as the underdog is 13-28. They have yet to play a game as the favorite this year.

When the Rockies win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.2 runs per game. When they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.9 runs per game. They are 21-20 against the run line this season, including 10-10 on the road. They have covered the run line in five straight games as the underdog.

Colorado’s over/under record for the season is 20-21, and the average over/under line for their games is 10 runs. However, their over/under record when the line is set at 7 runs is just 1-2. Their games have averaged a combined 9.3 runs per game, and the over has hit in eight of their last 10 games. Today’s over/under line is set at 7 runs, and the over has hit in 92.7% of their games this season when the line has been set at 7 runs.

Cal Quantrill Gets The Start For The Rockies

Right-hander Cal Quantrill is starting for the Rockies today as he faces his former team, the Padres. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 2-3 with a 3.94 ERA. Quantrill’s WHIP for the season is 1.29, and opponents are batting .236 off him this year. The last time he took the mound, Quantrill picked up the win, going six innings and giving up one earned run. He has won each of his last two starts and has pitched well at home, with an ERA of 4.2 compared to 4.88 on the road.

Rockies Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Rockies have been the worst offensive team in the league, averaging just 3.9 runs per game. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 10th in the league, and their collective batting average on balls in play is the best in the MLB.

Ryan McMahon and Elias Diaz are tied for the team lead in RBIs, with 21, and McMahon’s five homers is the best mark on the team and 9th best in the league. Brenton Doyle has been hot of late, going 7/23 in his last seven games with a home run and six runs scored.

San Diego is currently 2nd in the NL West but trail the Dodgers by 6.5 games. Overall, the Padres have an even record of 22-22, and they are 12-11 against other teams in the NL West. So far, they have lost the first game of their series vs. the Rockies.

At home, the Padres are just 10-14 this year compared to 12-8 on the road. As the favorite, San Diego has gone 14-12 and 8-10 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Padres are 8-5-2 and have won four straight series.

San Diego has been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, going 24-20 overall. However, the Padres have been much better on the road, going 16-4 on the run line. They have been a poor bet at home, going just 8-16 on the run line.

San Diego’s over/under record for the season is 22-21. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and their combined run average is 9.1 runs per game. Today’s over/under line is set at 7 runs, and the Padres’ over/under record when the line is set at 7 runs is 0-0. So far this season, 44 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7 runs, and the percentage of their games with over/under lines set higher than 7 runs is 100.0%.

Dylan Cease Gets The Start For The Padres

Dylan Cease gets the start for the Padres today and comes in with a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 2.19. Cease has made six quality starts this year and is averaging 10.95 strikeouts per nine innings. Cease has been especially tough on the road, coming in with a record of 4-0 and an ERA of 1.43. In his last outing, Cease didn’t give up a run, going seven innings and picking up the win. He finished with 12 strikeouts in that outing. Cease has won each of his last two starts.

Padres Offense Breakdown

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San Diego’s offense has been solid this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per game. The Padres are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league, and they have the 6th best team batting average in the league. Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth are both tied for 2nd on the team with seven homers, and Profar’s 29 RBIs are the most on the team and 7th most in the league.

Jurickson Profar comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak but is batting just .207 over his last eight games. Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone 9/32 in his last eight games, including one homer, and is batting .251 for the season. Tatis Jr. is also 6th in the MLB with eight homers.

Rockies vs Padres Prediction

There are a couple of ways you could look to bet on this game, but we like the over/under line, with the over currently sitting at 7 runs. Our predicted score is 6-5 in favor of the Padres, giving us some wiggle room with the over/under line.

Offensively, we have the Padres finishing with nine hits compared to the Rockies with nine. However, the Rockies are projected to finish with 10 strikeouts, while the Padres are predicted to finish with six.

Another option would be to look at the money line, but with the Padres at -284, we don’t see a ton of value there. If you’re looking for a long-shot bet, the Rockies are at +233 to win.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.