The Colorado Rockies (22-40) travel to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (29-32) on Friday, June 7th. This game will be played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis and televised on None. The Rockies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cardinals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rockies. First pitch is set for 7:15 CT.
Rockies vs Cardinals
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Rockies vs Cardinals series. Colorado went into the matchup as +190 underdogs and squeaked out a 3-2 win. The Rockies scored the game’s first three runs in the 5th inning, and the Cardinals could only muster two runs in the 6th inning.
Cal Quantrill got the win for the Rockies, going five innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just one strikeout and allowed four hits. Sonny Gray had a rough outing for the Cardinals, taking the loss after going just 4 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.
St. Louis had more hits than the Rockies in the game (8 to 4) and also struck out fewer times (5 to 9). Both teams committed four errors in the field.
With a record of 22-40, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 16 games. So far, they have gone just 9-14 in divisional games. Colorado has taken the first game of this series vs. the Cardinals and will be looking to improve upon their 9-23 road record today.
As the underdog, the Rockies have yet to win a game when favored this year. They are also just 4-15-1 in series so far this year and have dropped two straight series. Over the last 10 games, the Rockies are 4-6.
When the Rockies win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.0. But when they lose, they lose by an average of -4.1 runs. That’s why they are 32-30 on the run line this season, including 17-15 on the road, where they are scoring 1.8 fewer runs per game than their opponents. They are 15-15 on the run line at home, where they are scoring 1.3 fewer runs per game than their opponents.
Colorado’s games have averaged 9.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 31-30. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, but when the line has been set at 8 runs, the over has hit in five of seven games. Overall, 67.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs, while 21.0% have had lower lines.
Austin Gomber Gets The Start For The Rockies
Austin Gomber gets the start for the Rockies today as he faces his former team, the Cardinals. So far this season, he has made 11 starts and has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 3.06. Gomber’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.18. Looking back at his last outing, Gomber took the loss, giving up three earned runs in three innings of work. Before that, he had gone 2-0-1 in his previous three outings. Gomber has made five quality starts this season and is averaging 6.28 strikeouts per nine innings.
Rockies Offense Breakdown
Colorado’s offense has been a bit better at home this season, averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is the 8th best mark in the league. Overall, they are 21st in the league at 4.1 runs per contest. The Rockies are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and are 25th in strikeouts. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 10th in the league.
Over his last 10 games, Ezequiel Tovar has gone 12/41, and Ryan McMahon has been swinging a hot bat all season, hitting .273 with a team-high 10 homers. McMahon also leads the team with 34 RBIs. Brendan Rodgers and Kris Bryant have been two of the Rockies’ top hitters of late, with Rodgers having a four-game hitting streak and Bryant going 4/19 in his last five games.
St. Louis is 29-32 overall, and they are 6.5 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. The Cardinals are in 3rd place in the division and are 5-7 in divisional games this year. The Cardinals will be hosting the Rockies today, and they are 13-13 at home and 16-19 on the road.
The Cardinals have dropped two straight series, and their overall series record is 10-10 this year. St. Louis’ Cardinals lost the series opener vs. the Rockies, and they are just 4-6 across their last 10 games.
When betting on the Cardinals’ run line this season, it’s been a coin flip. They’re 29-32 overall against the run line, but they’re 13-13 at home and 16-19 on the road. They’ve been the underdog more often than not, and they’ve been a better bet in those situations, going 19-14 against the run line. Their average run differential in games they’ve won is +2.5, while their average run differential in losses is -3.7.
The St. Louis Cardinals are at home today against the Colorado Rockies. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Cardinals’ games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 26-32, and their games have had an average line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 4-6-1. In 55.7% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 8 runs. The under has hit in the last two games.
Lance Lynn Gets The Start For The Cardinals
The Cardinals are sending right-hander Lance Lynn to the mound today vs. the Rockies. Lynn has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 3.23. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. Lynn has allowed at least two homers in three of his last four starts. Looking back, he has given up a total of seven homers at home and has a WHIP of 1.34. Lynn’s ERA on the road is 2.79 compared to 4.06 at home.
Cardinals Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Cardinals offense is averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .233, which is 17th in the league and have the 16th most home runs in the MLB. Nolan Gorman has been a bright spot in the lineup, as his 14 homers are 7th in the league, and he is batting .230.
Over his last six games, Gorman has gone 8/23 with four homers and six RBIs. Alec Burleson and Nolan Arenado have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Burleson on a five-game hitting streak and Arenado having gone 8/23 in his last six games. Arenado is 2nd on the team with 28 RBIs and is batting .251 for the season.
Rockies vs Cardinals Prediction
Looking at the money line, we actually like the Cardinals to pick up the win, but at -195, the payout isn’t worth the risk. Instead, we recommend taking the over, with the line being set at 8 runs. Our prediction is that this one will finish with a score of 6-5 in favor of the Cardinals.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Lance Lynn going five innings and finishing with five strikeouts. As for Austin Gomber, we have him going just three innings and finishing with four K’s.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 7, 2024 Cardinals, Rockies