Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Royals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 5/28/2024

The Kansas City Royals (34-21) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (29-24) on Tuesday, May 28th. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on BSKC. The Twins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Royals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Twins. First pitch is set for 7:40 ET.

Royals vs Twins

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It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Twins vs Royals series. Minnesota went into the matchup as -172 favorites and squeaked out a 6-5 win. Kansas City had a chance to win the game in the 9th inning, scoring four runs, but Jhoan Duran closed things out for the Twins.

Joe Ryan pitched well for the Twins in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but didn’t factor into the decision. Alec Marsh struggled on the mound for the Royals, taking the loss after going seven innings and giving up five earned runs.

Trevor Larnach and Jose Miranda each homered for the Twins, while Edouard Julien scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/2. Ryan Jeffers also had a two-hit game at the plate.

Kansas City is 34-21 overall this season, and they are 2.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Royals have dropped two straight games, but they have gone 8-2 over their last 10 games. At home, the Royals are 21-8 this year.

So far, the Royals have been good as the favorite, going 18-6, and they are 16-15 as the underdog. As the road favorite, the Royals are 6-3 this year, and they have dropped two straight games on the road. Kansas City’s overall series record is 10-7, and they have won three straight series.

The Royals have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 36-19 overall. They have been especially profitable at home, going 20-9 on the run line. The Royals’ average run margin this season is +1.4 runs per game. They have been a strong bet as the underdog, going 21-10 on the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.1 runs per game.

The Kansas City Royals are on the road today against the Minnesota Twins. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Royals games this season is 8.3 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for Kansas City this season is 23-30. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the record is 2-5. The average over/under line for Royals games this season is 8 runs per game. So far this season, 78.2% of Kansas City’s games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.

Cole Ragans Gets The Start For The Royals

Cole Ragans gets the start for the Royals today as he faces the Twins on the road. He has made 11 starts this season and has a record of 4-3 with a 3.34 ERA. Ragans has pitched well on the road, coming in with an ERA of 2.82 and a record of 1-1. At home, his ERA is 7.29. In his 11 starts, he has one complete game and seven quality starts. Ragans most recently pitched on May 22nd, where he didn’t give up a run in six innings of work, picking up the win. He finished with 12 strikeouts in that outing.

Royals Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Royals are the 6th highest-scoring team in the league, averaging 4.9 runs per game. At home, they have been even better, putting up 5.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 10th in the league in home runs and have the 5th best team batting average in the league. Kansas City’s offense has been led by Salvador Perez and Bobby Witt Jr., who are both hitting over .300 and have nine homers apiece.

Both Perez and Witt Jr. have been on a tear of late, with Witt Jr. going 16/43 in his last 10 games, including four homers, and Perez is on a three-game hitting streak while going 18/46 in his last 10 games. Maikel Garcia is also on a 10-game hitting streak and has gone 18/46 in his last 10 games.

Minnesota is 29-24 overall and 6.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone 13-10 against other AL Central clubs. The Twins are looking to pick up a win today and close the gap on the Royals, who are 2.5 games behind the Guardians and lead the Twins by 6.5 games.

At home, the Twins are 14-12 this season and 15-12 on the road. As the underdog, Minnesota has dropped four straight games, and they are 5-12 overall in those games. The Twins have been much better as the favorite, going 24-12 this year. Currently, they have won two straight series and have an overall series record of 9-6-2.

When betting the run line, the Twins have been a better bet on the road than at home, going 15-12 vs. 10-16. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 8-9 vs. 17-19 as the favorite. Their average run differential is just 0.1 runs per game, but it jumps to 3.5 in wins and -4.0 in losses.

The Minnesota Twins are playing at home against the Kansas City Royals today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Twins have an over/under record of 24-27 this season, and their games have had an average combined run total of 8.8. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 7-5. So far this season, 62.3% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.

Simeon Woods Richardson Gets The Start For The Twins

Through seven starts, Simeon Woods Richardson has a record of 1-0 and an ERA of 2.57 for the Twins. He has made two quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t give up an earned run. In that May 22nd start vs. the Nationals, he went 4 2/3 innings, giving up just one hit and one walk. Woods Richardson has made seven appearances this year and is averaging 6.69 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed two homers and is averaging just 1.8 walks per nine innings.

Twins Offense Breakdown

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Carlos Correa and Jose Miranda have been swinging the bat well for the Twins of late, with both players going 9/31 in their last nine games. During this stretch, they have each hit two home runs and driven in five runs. Ryan Jeffers is the team’s top power threat, as his 10 homers are 8th in the league and the most on the Twins. He is also 12th in the MLB with 33 RBIs.

As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. However, they have been better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Overall, they are the 8th ranked home run hitting team in the league. So far, the Twins have been a good ISO team, but they are batting just .231 and have some below-average team on-base numbers.

Royals vs Twins Prediction

Our predictions for this Royals vs. Twins matchup is to take the Royals on the money line at -124. We have the Royals winning this one by a final score of 5-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also take a look at the over/under line, which is currently sitting at 7.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Cole Ragans finishing with five strikeouts, which would have him as the fourth-worst among starting pitchers today. As for the Twins’ starter, Simeon Woods Richardson, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which would have him as the eighth-worst.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.