San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Prediction

MLB San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs Prediction 5/7/2024

The San Diego Padres (19-19) travel to face off against the Chicago Cubs (21-15) on Tuesday, May 7th. This game will be played at Wrigley Field in Chicago and televised on None. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cubs are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 7:40 ET.

Padres vs Cubs

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San Diego picked up a 6-3 road win over the Cubs in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 6th inning, scoring all six of their runs. As for the Cubs, they scored their three runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Padres were the slight favorites at -106.

Yu Darvish only went five innings for the Padres but didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued a season-high five walks. Richard Lovelady took the loss for the Cubs out of the bullpen.

Luis Campusano, Donovan Solano, and Jake Cronenworth each had two hits and an RBI for the Padres’ offense. Xander Bogaerts also had a two-hit game and scored a run.

San Diego is at .500 overall with a record of 19-19, and they are 5.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres are on the road today vs. the Cubs and are 11-7 on the road this year. At home, they are just 8-12.

The Padres have an overall series record of 6-5-2, and they have won two straight series. San Diego is 12-11 as the favorite this year and 7-8 as the underdog. As the underdog, the Padres have won two straight games.

San Diego has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 20-18 overall. They have been especially profitable on the road, where they are 14-4 ATS. The Padres have been a good bet as the underdog, going 10-5 ATS. Their average run differential in wins is +3.9, while it drops to -3.2 in losses.

San Diego’s over/under record this season is 21-16, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Padres have gone over in 8 of 12 games. Their games have averaged 9.8 runs per game this season, and they are currently on a 3-game over streak.

Randy Vásquez Gets The Start For The Padres

Randy Vásquez is on the mound for the Padres as they take on the Cubs. Vásquez has started two games this season, and he took a loss in his first start but bounced back with a no-decision. In his last outing, he went 2 2/3 innings and gave up 4 runs on 6 hits.

Padres Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Padres have been one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 5.1 runs per game (4th) and batting .261 as a team, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. One of the things that has made the Padres lineup so dangerous is their power, as they are 5th in home runs and have the league’s 5th best slugging percentage. Not only are they hitting for power, but they have also been a tough lineup to strike out, as their 7 strikeouts per game is the 8th best mark in the league.

Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth have been the Padres top power threats so far this season, with Profar’s 5 homers being 3rd on the team and Cronenworth’s 6 homers being the 2nd best mark on the team. Over his last five games, Cronenworth has gone 9/23 with two homers and five RBIs.

Chicago is currently at home today, hosting the Padres with an overall record of 21-15. The Cubs and Brewers are both 2-1 in divisional games, and they are tied for the NL Central lead. Chicago has gone 12-5 at home compared to 9-10 on the road this season.

The Cubs have gone 9-5 as the favorite this year and 6-4 when favored at home. As for their overall series record, the Cubs are 6-3-2, and they are just 4-6 over their last 10 games.

Chicago has been a solid run line bet overall this season, going 23-13, including a 10-7 mark at home. The Cubs have been particularly good against the run line on the road, going 13-6, compared to just 6-8 as the favorite. The Cubs’ average run differential in wins is +3.3, compared to -3.7 in losses.

With a combined run average of 9.1, the Cubs and their opponents have been scoring more runs than the over/under line of 8.5 in 55.6% of their games this season. The over/under record for the Cubs is 16-19 on the year, and in games with an over/under line of 8.5, the record is 5-3. Today’s over/under line is set at 8.5 runs.

Shota Imanaga Gets The Start For The Cubs

Shota Imanaga gets the start for the Cubs today and comes in with a record of 5-0 and an ERA of 0.78. He has made six starts this year and has turned in four quality starts. Imanaga has been especially tough on the road, with a record of 3-0 and an ERA of 0.47. In his three home starts, he is 2-0 with a 1.0 ERA. Imanaga’s most recent outing came on May 1st, where he picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished with seven strikeouts in that outing.

Cubs Offense Breakdown

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Chicago comes into the game as one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, and they have been one of the better offensive teams in the league so far, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.4 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .236, which is 12th in the league.

Christopher Morel has been one of the league’s top power hitters so far, as his eight home runs are 4th best in the league. However, he is batting just .220 for the season. Over his last six games, he has gone 5/20 with four homers. Nico Hoerner comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak, and he has gone 9/25 in his last six games with one home run.

Padres vs Cubs Prediction

With the Cubs at -148 on the money line, this is a great payout for a team that we have winning this game 6-5. Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Shota Imanaga finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the fourth-best among all starters today.

As for Randy Vásquez, he does have the highest strikeout projections among all starters, but we have him finishing with eight K’s, and we see Imanaga ending with seven.

Looking at the Cubs and Padres’ offense, our projections have the Cubs finishing with six runs compared to the Padres with five. However, the Padres are projected to finish with more hits.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.