The San Diego Padres (25-26) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (20-28) on Wednesday, May 22nd. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on BSOH. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 6:40 ET.
Padres vs Reds
Cincinnati picked up a 2-0 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had just three hits in the game but took advantage of a Joe Musgrove implosion, as he gave up five runs in just three innings of work for the Padres. As for the Reds, Andrew Abbott pitched well and picked up a win, going seven innings and striking out two without giving up a run.
Both teams scored their only two runs in the 2nd inning, and the Padres were held in check the rest of the way. As for the Reds, they had just one hit after the 2nd inning but still picked up the win.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Musgrove and Abbott. Musgrove got off to a good start but fell apart in the 2nd inning, while Abbott was solid throughout for the Reds.
San Diego is 25-26 overall this season, and they are eight games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres lost the first game of this series vs. the Reds and have dropped two straight games overall. So far, they are 12-13 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Padres are just 10-16 this year, but they have been much better on the road at 15-10. This season, they have lost four straight games as the favorite. As for their overall record as the favorite, the Padres are 14-15. They are 11-11 when listed as the underdog this year, and their overall series record is 9-6-2.
San Diego is 19-6 on the run line on the road this season, but they have failed to cover in two straight games. The Padres are 15-7 on the run line as an underdog, but just 8-18 at home. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.8, while it is -3.2 in losses.
San Diego is on the road in Cincinnati today, and the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. The Padres’ games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 26-24. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, their record is 1-1. Only 5.9% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
Michael King Gets The Start For The Padres
Right-hander Michael King gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Reds on the road. King has made nine starts this year and has a record of 3-4 with an ERA of 4.31. His WHIP for the season is currently 1.36. In his last outing, King took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up six earned runs on eight hits. Before that, he had pitched well, picking up the win against the Diamondbacks and not giving up a run in six innings of work. King has allowed at least one homer in three straight starts.
Padres Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Padres have been one of the league’s better offensive teams, as they are 5th in team batting average and are 13th in runs scored at 4.5 runs per contest. One thing to note is that they have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per game. San Diego has also done a good job of not striking out too much this season, as they are 7th in fewest strikeouts in the league.
San Diego has two players among the league leaders in home runs this season, with Jake Cronenworth and Fernando Tatis Jr. each having gone deep 8 times. Cronenworth is also 10th in the league with 32 RBIs, while Tatis Jr. is 4th on the Padres. Jurickson Profar comes into the game on a 10-game hitting streak, and he has gone 11/24 in his last seven games.
Cincinnati is 20-28 overall and trails the Brewers by eight games in the NL Central. The Reds have gone just 1-2 in divisional games this year. Currently, they are 5th in the NL Central, two games behind the Cardinals for 4th place.
So far, the Reds are 10-13 at home compared to 10-15 on the road. This season, they are an even 10-10 as the favorite but just 10-18 as the underdog. Cincinnati has dropped seven straight series and has an overall series record of 4-10-1.
When it comes to betting the run line, the Reds have been a better play on the road this season, going 16-9 compared to 9-14 at home. They have been a solid underdog play, going 16-12 against the run line in those games. The Reds’ average run margin in their wins is +4.0 runs, while their average run margin in their losses is -3.1 runs.
When the Reds play at home, the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.3 runs per game this season. Overall, they have gone over the total in 22 of 46 games this season, and when the line is set at 9.5 runs, they have gone over in 8 of 9 games. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs this season. Their games have gone under the total in their last three games.
Nick Martinez Gets The Start For The Reds
Cincinnati is sending Nick Martinez to the mound today vs. the Padres, and he has made four starts this year. In his 10 appearances, Martinez has a record of 1-2 and an ERA of 4.23. For the season, he has a WHIP of 1.20 and has allowed a total of two home runs. Martinez’s last outing came on May 16th out of the bullpen, where he picked up the win after going five innings and not giving up a run. Before that, he had three straight outings where he didn’t give up more than one earned run. Opponents are batting .258 vs. Martinez this season.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Cincinnati’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, as they are batting just .216 as a team, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and OPS. The team’s 4.1 runs per game is also one of the worst marks in the league. However, shortstop Elly De La Cruz has been a bright spot, as he is batting .262 for the season and has a team-high nine home runs.
Over his last seven games, Tyler Stephenson has been swinging a hot bat, going 9/21 with a home run and three RBIs. Will Benson has also gone deep twice in his last seven games, but he is batting just .217 during that stretch.
Padres vs Reds Prediction
Our prediction for this Padres vs. Reds matchup is to take the Reds on the money line at +108. We have the Reds winning this game by a score of 6-5. With the over/under sitting at 9.5 runs, you could look to take the over, as we have this game finishing with a combined 11 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Nick Martinez is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is seventh worst among starters today. As for Michael King, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is 14th among starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 22, 2024 Padres, Reds