The Seattle Mariners (18-15) travel to face off against the Houston Astros (12-21) on Sunday, May 5th. This game will be played at Minute Maid Park in Houston and televised on RSNW. The Mariners are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Astros are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mariners. First pitch is set for 2:10 ET.
Mariners vs Astros
Seattle cruised to a 5-0 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their five runs. As for the Astros, they had their best chance to score in the 6th, but left the bases loaded. Heading into the game, the Mariners were at +121 on the money line.
Logan Gilbert pitched well for the Mariners in this one, going eight innings and striking out six without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Framber Valdez had a rough outing for the Astros, taking the loss.
At the plate, the Mariners were led by Cal Raleigh and Luis Urias, as they were the only two Mariners hitters to have more than one hit. Raleigh and Mitch Garver each homered for Seattle’s only two extra-base hits.
Seattle is on the road today vs. the Astros, and they will look to maintain their half-game lead over the Rangers in the AL West. Overall, the Mariners are 18-15 and have gone 3-2 in divisional games. Seattle has an overall series record of 5-4-1 this year, and they have won five straight series.
At home, the Mariners have gone 11-8 this year, and they are at an even 7-7 mark on the road. As the underdog, the Mariners are 7-8 this year and 11-7 when favored. Seattle’s overall record is 6-4 across their last 10 games.
Seattle has been a solid run-line team this season, going 16-17 overall. They have been a better bet on the road, going 7-7 against the run line, compared to 9-10 at home. The Mariners have an average run differential of +0.4 runs per game this season, but that number jumps to +0.8 runs per game on the road. They have been a better run-line bet as the underdog, going 8-7, compared to 8-10 as the favorite. In their wins, the Mariners have an average run differential of +3.2 runs per game, while in their losses, that number drops to -3.1 runs per game.
The Mariners have been trending heavily towards the under this season, with a 7-24 over/under record. Their games have averaged just 6.8 runs per game, and their last 11 games have all gone under the total. The over/under line for their games has been set at 8.5 runs just three times this season, with a 1-2 record in those games. Overall, their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and just 18.2% of their games have had higher lines than today’s 8.5-run total.
Bryce Miller Gets The Start For The Mariners
Seattle is sending right-hander Bryce Miller to the mound today as he faces the Astros on the road. Miller has made six starts this season and has a record of 3-2 with an ERA of 2.04. In his 35 1/3 innings of work, he has issued just 3.06 walks per nine innings compared to 9.93 strikeouts. Miller has turned in four quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he went seven innings, giving up just one earned run on two hits. He finished with 10 strikeouts in that outing and didn’t allow a homer.
Mariners Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Mariners are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .221, which is the 18th best mark in the league, and are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.
Cal Raleigh has been the Mariners’ top power threat this season, as his seven home runs are the 4th most in the league. However, he is batting just .210. Mitch Haniger leads the team with 18 RBIs, but his four homers are 7th in the league. Julio Rodriguez comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak and is batting .269 for the season.
Houston is 12-21 overall this season, putting them six games behind the Mariners for the AL West lead. So far, they have gone 5-4 in divisional games. The Astros are at home today, and they are 7-8 as the favorite at home.
The Astros have won two straight series, and their overall series record is 4-5-1. This season, they are just 5-10 on the road compared to 7-11 at home. So far, they are 3-8 in day games.
When the Astros win, they win big, with an average margin of victory of 5.0 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.8 runs per game. Overall, Houston is 12-21 against the run line this season, and they are 7-11 at home. As the favorite, they are just 9-19 against the run line.
Despite the over/under line for today’s game being set at 8.5 runs, the Astros have played to the under in four of their last five games, including two straight games with a combined total of just 13 runs. The Astros have an over/under record of 10-21 on the season, and their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game, slightly higher than the league average of 9.2 runs per game. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs per game, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs per game. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs per game, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs per game. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs per game, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs per game. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs per game, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs per game. 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Hunter Brown Gets The Start For The Astros
Hunter Brown is looking to pick up his first win of the season today for the Astros. He comes into the game with a record of 0-4 and an ERA of 9.78. Opponents have hit .346 off Brown this season, and his WHIP is currently 2.22. Brown has made six starts this year and has only one quality start. His ERA on the road is 47.75 compared to 4.38 at home. Brown’s last outing came on April 30th, where he gave up two homers and six earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing.
Astros Offense Breakdown
Jose Altuve and Kyle Tucker have been two of the Astros’ most consistent hitters this season, with Altuve batting .338 and Tucker at .274. Tucker has also been a big power threat for the team, as his eight home runs are 3rd in the league and the best mark on the team. Altuve has two homers of his own and is 2nd on the team with 12 RBIs.
Alvarez has also gone deep seven times this season but is batting just .256 and has struggled at the plate of late, going just 7/39 in his last 10 games. Altuve has been swinging a hot bat, going 13/42 in his last 10 games.
Mariners vs Astros Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Mariners vs. Astros matchup is that the Astros will pick up a 6-5 win at home. Given that they are at -120 on the money line, this is the bet we recommend taking.
Looking at the starting pitcher’s projections, we have Hunter Brown finishing with more strikeouts than Bryce Miller. Brown is projected to finish with five K’s compared to Miller at four.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 5, 2024 Astros, Mariners