The Seattle Mariners (81-76) travel to face off against the Houston Astros (85-72) on Tuesday, September 24th. This game will be played at Minute Maid Park in Houston and televised on RSNW. The Mariners are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Astros are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mariners. First pitch is set for 7:10 CT.
Mariners vs. Astros Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Astros (-135)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7 Runs
- The Astros have a home record of 45-34, indicating strong performance at home.
- In the last 15 games, the Astros have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game.
- The Astros have won 6 out of their last 10 games, showing recent positive momentum.
- In head-to-head matchups this season, the Astros have a 4-2 record against the Mariners.
- The Astros have a higher league rank (4th) compared to the Mariners (8th), indicating overall better performance throughout the season.
Mariners vs Astros
Seattle cruised to a 6-1 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 2nd inning, scoring five of their six runs. As for the Astros, they scored their only run in the 3rd. Heading into the game, the Mariners were at +110 on the money line.
Julio Rodriguez and Victor Robles each scored two runs for the Mariners while going 3/5 and 2/4, respectively. Randy Arozarena also had a two-hit game and drove in a run. Cal Raleigh went 2/5 with an RBI.
On the other side, Jason Heyward hit the game’s only home run for the Astros, going 1/3. He drove in Houston’s only run. Hunter Brown had a rough outing on the mound, going just six innings and giving up three runs.
Seattle is 81-76 overall and 2nd in the AL West, four games behind the Astros. The Mariners have been playing well, going 7-3 over their last 10 games, and they took the first game of this series vs. the Astros. On the road, Seattle has a 35-44 run line record, with an average run margin of 0.2.
For the season, Seattle’s O/U record is 74-74, with an average of 8 runs per game. When the O/U line has been set at 7 runs, their record is 17-20-7. Looking at the series record, the Mariners have won two straight series on the road and their overall series record is 21-24-4.
Logan Gilbert Gets The Start For The Mariners
Right-hander Logan Gilbert gets the start for the Mariners today as he faces the Astros on the road. Gilbert has made 31 starts this season and has a record of 8-11 with a 3.24 ERA. In his 31 appearances, he has turned in 22 quality starts and has a WHIP of 0.90. Gilbert’s most recent outing came against the Yankees, where he picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts. Gilbert has allowed a total of 23 home runs this season.
Mariners Offense Breakdown
Julio Rodríguez has been on a tear for the Mariners, going 16/39 (.410) over his last eight games, including three homers and 12 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .275 with 19 home runs, which is 4th on the team. Cal Raleigh has the most homers for the Mariners this season, but he is batting just .216. However, he is also on a three-game hitting streak.
As a team, the Mariners are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.7 runs per game. Overall, they are the worst team in the league in terms of strikeouts. Seattle is also near the bottom of the league in terms of team batting average and slugging percentage.
When favored, the Astros have a 66-51 record this season, but as underdogs, they are 19-21. Overall, Houston is 27-20-2 in series play this year. The Astros are 85-72 and hold a four-game lead over the Mariners in the AL West.
At home, the Astros are 45-34 this season. Their games have gone over the total 64 times and under 88 times, with the average total line being set at 8 runs. Against the run line at home, Houston is 38-41.
Framber Valdez Gets The Start For The Astros
Framber Valdez is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Padres, as he gave up a home run in the first inning and took the loss in that game. Against the Padres, he finished with a line of 7 innings pitched, 1 earned run, 6 strikeouts, and 2 walks. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. Valdez has a record of 14-7 this season and an ERA of 2.85. One of his 17 quality starts came in his most recent outing. Valdez’s ERA at home is the same as his overall mark, 2.85.
Astros Offense Breakdown
Yordan Alvarez has been the Astros’ most dangerous hitter this season, leading the team with 35 homers and 86 RBIs, while batting .308. Alex Bregman and Jose Altuve have also been solid run producers, with 25 and 20 homers, respectively. Altuve is batting .295 for the season and is currently on a three-game hitting streak.
As a team, the Astros are averaging 4.6 runs per game and are the league’s 7th ranked home run hitting club. Overall, they are batting .262, which is the 3rd best mark in the MLB. Houston’s offense has been good at avoiding strikeouts, but they are just 23rd in the league in walks.
Mariners vs Astros Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Mariners vs. Astros game is to take the Astros on the money line at -135. We have the Astros winning this one by a score of 6-5. At -135, the payout is a little lower than we would like, but we still see this as a good value.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Framber Valdez finishing with six strikeouts compared to Logan Gilbert with five. Gilbert is projected to finish with a better ERA than Valdez, but we see Valdez picking up the win in this one.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 24, 2024 Astros, Mariners