The Seattle Mariners (81-77) travel to face off against the Houston Astros (86-72) on Wednesday, September 25th. This game will be played at Minute Maid Park in Houston and televised on None. The Astros are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mariners are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Astros. First pitch is set for 1:10 CT.
Mariners vs. Astros Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Astros (+113)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7 Runs
- The Astros have won 6 of their last 10 games, indicating strong recent form.
- In their last 15 home games, the Astros have scored an average of 5.4 runs per game.
- The Astros have a home record of 46-34, showing their strength when playing at home.
- In the last 15 games, the Astros have won 4 out of 5 home games against division opponents.
- In their last 3 home games against the Mariners, the Astros have won 2, demonstrating a favorable head-to-head trend.
Mariners vs Astros
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Mariners vs Astros series. Seattle had a late rally, scoring two runs in the 5th and another run in the 6th, but the Astros held on for a 4-3 win. Heading into the game, the Astros were favored at -132 on the money line.
Logan Gilbert got the start for the Mariners, going six innings and giving up four runs while striking out six. He took the loss in the game. Framber Valdez only went 5 2/3 innings for the Astros but gave up just three earned runs and got the win.
Jorge Polanco was the Mariners’ top hitter, going 4/4 with a home run. He scored all three of Seattle’s runs. On the other side, Alex Bregman and Jason Heyward each had two hits and an RBI for the Astros.
Seattle has a 81-77 record and is five games behind the Astros in the AL West. They have a 28-20 record against division opponents this season and are 6-4 in their last 10 games. The Mariners are 46-32 at home and 35-45 on the road, and their overall series record is 21-24-4.
When playing as the underdog, Seattle is 23-29 straight up and 27-25 against the run line. Their games have averaged 7.9 runs per game this season, resulting in a 74-74 over/under record. The Mariners’ average run margin is +0.4 runs per game, which increases to +0.6 runs per game at home.
George Kirby Gets The Start For The Mariners
Seattle is sending right-hander George Kirby to the mound today vs. the Astros. He has made 32 starts this season and has a record of 13-11 with a 3.60 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Kirby has a WHIP of 1.08 and has issued just 1.07 walks per nine innings. In his 32 starts, Kirby has turned in 19 quality starts and is averaging 8.42 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched, Kirby picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs vs. the Rangers. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Mariners Offense Breakdown
Julio Rodríguez has been on a tear of late, going 17/40 in his last eight games with three homers and 11 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .275 with 19 homers and 65 RBIs, which is 2nd on the team. Cal Raleigh has a team-high 96 RBIs and 31 homers, but is batting just .218 for the season. He is also on a four-game hitting streak.
Overall, the Mariners are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road (4.5 runs per game) compared to at home (3.7). As a team, they are batting just .224 and are the worst team in the league in terms of strikeouts.
Currently leading the AL West by five games, the Astros are 86-72 overall. Their series record this season is 27-20-2, and they are 6-4 in their last 10 games. Houston’s run line record is 81-77, with a +0.6 average run margin per game.
When favored, the Astros are 67-51 straight up, but against the run line, they are 55-63. This season, their games have averaged 8.6 runs, resulting in a 64-88 O/U record. Today’s O/U line of 7 runs is notably low, as 95.6% of their games have had higher totals.
Yusei Kikuchi Gets The Start For The Astros
Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi gets the start for the Astros today as he faces off against the Mariners. He has made 31 starts this year and has a record of 9-9 with an ERA of 4.19. Kikuchi’s WHIP for the season is 1.21. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run on five hits. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Kikuchi has been pitching well recently, as he has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight outings. His ERA at home is 4.48, compared to 5.38 on the road.
Astros Offense Breakdown
Yordan Alvarez has been a key power bat for the Astros this season, as his 35 home runs lead the team and are 8th in the league. He also leads the team with 86 RBIs. Alvarez is batting .308 for the season, and his on-base percentage of .392 is 3rd on the team. Alex Bregman has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/20 with three homers over his last five games.
As a team, the Astros are 10th in the league in scoring at 4.6 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, they are 3rd in team batting average at .262 and have the 3rd fewest strikeouts in the league.
Mariners vs Astros Prediction
Our prediction for this Mariners vs. Astros matchup is to take the Astros on the money line at +113. We actually have the Astros winning this game 6-5, so there is also some value on the over, as the line is currently sitting at 7 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Yusei Kikuchi is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to George Kirby at five. We also have Kikuchi finishing with fewer hits allowed than Kirby, as Kikuchi is projected to give up nine hits compared to Kirby at seven.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 25, 2024 Astros, Mariners