Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 5/6/2024

The Seattle Mariners (19-15) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (19-14) on Monday, May 6th. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on BSN. The Mariners are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Twins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Red Sox. First pitch is set for 7:40 ET.

Mariners vs Twins

seattle mariners nba

Seattle is coming off a game in which they closed out their series vs. the Astros with a 5-4 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +112 on the money line. It was a big 2nd inning for the Mariners, as they scored two runs to take the lead and added another two runs in the 6th to close things out. Seattle’s bullpen was especially good, as they picked up the win and didn’t allow a run. Andrés Muñoz closed things out in the 9th, and the Mariners also got a big performance from Luke Raley, going 1/3 with a homer.

Bryce Miller got the start for the Mariners, going six innings and giving up four runs on six hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and took the loss.

Seattle is on the road today to take on the Twins, and they are 19-15 overall, putting them in 1st place in the AL West. They hold a half-game lead over the Rangers heading into today’s game. The Mariners have won two straight games, and they took their series vs. the Astros.

As the road team, the Mariners have gone 8-7 this season and are 11-8 at home. Seattle has been good as the favorite this season, going 11-7, and they are an even 8-8 as the underdog. The Mariners’ overall series record is 6-4-1, and they have won six straight series.

Seattle has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 17-17 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, going 8-7 against the run line. Their average run margin on the road is 0.8, and they have covered the run line in their last two road games. As the underdog, they are 9-7 against the run line, while they are 8-10 as the favorite.

Seattle’s Over/Under record this season is 8-24, and their games have averaged 6.9 runs per game. Over/Under lines for their games have averaged 8 runs per game, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 3-8. In 16 of their 34 games, the Over/Under line has been set higher than 7.5 runs, and in 7 games, the line has been set lower than 7.5 runs.

Luis Castillo Gets The Start For The Mariners

Luis Castillo has been pitching well for the Mariners, coming into the game with a record of 3-4 and an ERA of 3.46. He has made four quality starts this year and is averaging 10.58 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Castillo was dominant, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished with seven strikeouts in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .247 off Castillo this year. So far, he has allowed a total of five home runs.

Mariners Offense Breakdown

Cal Raleigh has been struggling for the Mariners, hitting just .143 over his last five games, but he does have two homers in that stretch. For the season, he is batting just .210, but his eight homers are the most on the team. Mitch Haniger is also looking to get things going, as he is hitting just .212 this season. However, he does have a team-high 18 RBIs and is 7th in the league with four homers.

Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league so far, averaging just 3.6 runs per game. They have been even worse at home, putting up just 3.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .223 and have the league’s 9th ranked home run total.

The Twins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Red Sox with a 9-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead of -185 going into the game. Things really got away from the Twins in the 8th inning, as the Red Sox scored four runs in the inning. Minnesota’s offense scored their only two runs in the 3rd.

Joe Ryan put together a good start for the Twins, going six innings and giving up just three runs on four hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and took the loss. Ryan’s offense was carried by Ryan Jeffers, who went 1/5 with a homer.

Minnesota is 19-14 overall and trails the Guardians by 2.5 games in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 12-7 against other teams in the division. The Twins are at home today, where they are 8-7 this year and 11-7 on the road.

As the favorite, the Twins have gone 17-6 compared to 2-8 as the underdog. Minnesota has won four straight series, and their overall series record is 5-4-2. They are also 9-1 in their last 10 games, with the one loss coming in the final game of their series vs. the Red Sox.

Minnesota has been a solid run line bet this season, going 17-16 overall. However, they have been much better on the road, going 11-7 against the run line compared to just 6-9 at home. They have been a favorite in 23 games and an underdog in 10 games. Their average run differential this season is +0.4 runs per game.

Minnesota’s over/under record is 16-16 this season, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 3-4, and this season, 63.6% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.

Simeon Woods Richardson Gets The Start For The Twins

Getting the start for the Twins is Simeon Woods Richardson, who has been solid in his first two outings of the season. He picked up a win in his first start against the Tigers, going six innings and allowing just one earned run. In his most recent outing, he went 3 2/3 innings and gave up two runs on seven hits.

Twins Offense Breakdown

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Minnesota’s offense has been one of the league’s best so far this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per game. The Twins are also one of the league’s top power-hitting teams, as their isolated power of .162 is 4th in the league. Minnesota has three hitters with at least six homers, and they are led by Edouard Julien, who is batting just .212 but has seven homers.

Over his last five games, Willi Castro has gone 8/20 and is batting .277 for the season. Ryan Jeffers is also swinging a hot bat right now, as he has gone 5/18 in his last five games and is batting .291 for the season. Jeffers is also 10th in the league with 22 RBIs and has six homers. Max Kepler is on a seven-game hitting streak and is 7/17 in his last five games.

Mariners vs Twins Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Mariners vs. Twins matchup is to take the Twins on the money line at +111. We actually have the Twins winning this one by a score of 5-4, so you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 7.5 runs.

Looking at today’s starters, we have Luis Castillo finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for seventh among all starters. As for the Twins’ starter, Simeon Woods Richardson, we have him finishing with five strikeouts, which is good for 12th among all starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.