The Seattle Mariners (19-16) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (20-14) on Tuesday, May 7th. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on RSNW. The Twins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mariners are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Twins. First pitch is set for 7:40 ET.
Mariners vs Twins
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Twins vs Mariners series. Minnesota went into the matchup as +106 underdogs and squeaked out a 3-1 win. Both teams scored their only run in the 5th inning.
Seattle wasted a good outing from Luis Castillo, as he gave up just two hits and two earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work. Castillo finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued three walks. As for the Twins, Simeon Woods Richardson pitched well, giving up just one hit and no earned runs across six innings of work.
Griffin Jax got the win for Minnesota out of the bullpen, while Caleb Thielbar got the save. Jax went just three innings but didn’t give up a run and gave up just two hits. Thielbar closed things out with a scoreless 9th.
Seattle is on the road today, taking on the Twins with an overall record of 19-16. The Mariners are 2nd in the AL West, trailing the Rangers by just a half-game. So far, they have gone 4-2 in divisional matchups. The Mariners have won two straight games, and their last win came as the underdog.
At home, the Mariners have gone 11-8 this year, and they are an even 8-8 on the road. Seattle’s overall series record is 6-4-1, and they have won six straight series. This includes having won three straight series on the road. Looking at their overall record, the Mariners are 11-8 as the favorite and 8-8 as the underdog.
Seattle is 17-18 against the run line this season, including a 9-10 mark at home. The Mariners are 8-8 vs. the run line on the road, and they have covered in two straight games as an underdog. Seattle’s average run differential on the season is +0.3 runs per game, and they have a +0.6 run differential on the road.
Seattle’s over/under record is 8-25 this season, and their games have averaged 6.8 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game against the Twins is set at 8 runs, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game this season. When the line has been set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 1-5-1, and 51.4% of their games have had lower lines than 8 runs.
Emerson Hancock Gets The Start For The Mariners
Right-hander Emerson Hancock is starting for the Mariners today as he faces the Twins on the road. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 3-3 with an ERA of 4.75. Hancock’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.29. The last time he pitched, Hancock took the loss, going just 3 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run on five hits. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has made three quality starts and is averaging 6.82 strikeouts per nine innings.
Mariners Offense Breakdown
Julio Rodriguez has been one of the Mariners’ top hitters this season, batting .254 with one home run. He is also 4th on the team with 11 RBIs. Mitch Haniger has a team-high 18 RBIs but is batting just .214 for the season. Haniger’s four home runs are 3rd on the team and 14th in the league. Collectively, the Mariners are 8th in home runs but are batting just .220 as a team.
Jorge Polanco has the team’s longest current hitting streak at eight games, and he has gone 7/23 in his last five games with a homer. Over this same stretch, Polanco’s two homers, Cal Raleigh, has gone just 2/19. However, both of his hits were home runs. Raleigh also has a team-high eight homers but is batting just .206 for the season.
Minnesota is 20-14 overall this season, and they are 2.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Twins are 12-7 against other teams in the AL Central. They have won four straight series, and their overall series record is 5-4-2 this year.
At home, the Twins are 9-7 this season and 11-7 on the road. As the favorite, Minnesota has gone 17-6 this year, and they are 3-8 as the underdog. Minnesota has been hot recently, going 9-1 over their last ten games.
The Twins have been a solid run line bet overall this season, going 18-16 on the run line. They have been even better on the road, where they are 11-7 against the run line. As the favorite, they are 13-10 vs. the run line, while as the underdog, they are 5-6. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.4, while in losing games, it is -3.9.
The Minnesota Twins have played 33 games this season, and 14 of them have had over/under lines set at 8 runs or higher. Their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs, and their over/under record is 16-17. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season. In their most recent game, they combined for 4 runs against the Seattle Mariners, which was well below the over/under line of 8 runs.
Bailey Ober Gets The Start For The Twins
Minnesota is starting right-hander Bailey Ober today vs. the Mariners. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 3-1 with a 4.55 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .222 off Ober this season. In his last outing, he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work but still got the win. Before that, he had turned in back-to-back quality starts. Ober’s ERA on the road is 15.61 compared to 1.65 at home. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.96 strikeouts and just 1.99 walks.
Twins Offense Breakdown
Max Kepler is on an eight-game hitting streak for the Twins and has gone 7/17 with a home run over his last five games. For the season, he is batting .250 with a team-high 22 RBIs and four homers. Ryan Jeffers has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 4/15 in his last four games with a homer and five RBIs.
Minnesota’s offense is averaging 4.6 runs per game this season, and they have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .237, which is 11th in the league, and are 8th in the league in both on-base percentage and slugging percentage. Currently, they are 10th in the league in home runs.
Mariners vs Twins Prediction
Our prediction for this Twins vs. Mariners matchup is that the Twins will pick up a 5-4 win at home. Given that the payout for a Twins win is -145, this is the line we recommend taking.
Looking at some potential player props, Bailey Ober is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which would have him finishing ninth in the league today. As for Emerson Hancock, his projection is for six strikeouts, which would have him finishing seventh.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:May 7, 2024 Mariners, Twins