Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 6/26/2024

The Seattle Mariners (45-37) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Rays (40-40) on Wednesday, June 26th. This game will be played at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg and televised on RSNW. The Rays are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mariners are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rays. First pitch is set for 11:10 CT.

Mariners vs Rays

seattle mariners nba

Tampa Bay cruised to an easy 11-3 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had a huge 6th inning, scoring four of their eleven runs. As for the Mariners, they scored their final run in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Rays were at +109 on the money line.

Seattle got on the board first in the 5th, scoring two runs. However, the Rays responded with one run in the bottom half of the inning and then exploded for four more in the 6th. As for the Mariners, they scored their final run in the 7th.

Zack Littell only went five innings for the Rays but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued one walk. On the other side, Luis Castillo was tagged for four homers and four runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.

Seattle is 45-37 overall and leads the AL West by 4.5 games over the Astros. The Mariners will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak today, with the first two losses of the streak coming in this series vs. the Rays.

So far, the Mariners have been really good against other AL West teams, going 17-5 in the division. At home, they are 27-12, but they have gone just 18-25 on the road. As the road favorite, the Mariners are 8-11 this year and 29-21 as the favorite overall. Seattle’s series record is 13-10-2 this year.

Seattle is 39-43 against the run line this season, including 18-25 on the road. The Mariners have an average run differential of +0.1 runs per game this season, but their run line record is below .500. They are 21-29 against the run line as the favorite and 18-14 as the underdog.

The Seattle Mariners are on the road today against the Tampa Bay Rays. The O/U line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is below their combined run average of 7.7. The Mariners have an O/U record of 34-44 this season, and their games have averaged an O/U line of 8 runs. When the O/U line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 10-15. So far this season, 41.5% of their games have had O/U lines set higher than 7.5 runs.

George Kirby Gets The Start For The Mariners

Seattle is sending right-hander George Kirby to the mound today vs. the Rays. He has made 16 starts this year and has a record of 6-5 with a 3.47 ERA. Kirby’s WHIP for the season is currently .99. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs on five hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Looking back further, Kirby has allowed two earned runs or fewer in each of his last four outings. Opponents are batting .221 off Kirby this season.

Mariners Offense Breakdown

Cal Raleigh has been a bright spot for the Mariners this season, leading the team with 13 homers and 46 RBIs, but he is batting just .202. Julio Rodriguez is hitting .254 this season and is 5th on the team with seven homers. Mitch Garver is 2nd on the team with 10 homers but has really struggled at the plate of late, going 3/20 in his last six games.

As a team, the Mariners are batting just .220, which is 23rd in the league, and are also near the bottom of the league in runs per game and on-base percentage. Seattle is also the worst team in the league in terms of strikeouts per game.

The Rays are at an even 40-40 as they get set to host the Mariners today. Tampa Bay has won three straight games, and they trail the Yankees by 11.5 games in the AL East. So far, they are just 10-17 against other AL East teams. Tampa Bay has won two straight games as the underdog, and they are 17-20 as the underdog overall.

At home, the Rays are 21-23 this year and 19-17 on the road. Tampa Bay has won two straight series and has an overall series record of 12-11-2 this year. Their overall record in their last ten games is 7-3.

The Rays have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 36-44 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 22-14. They are 14-30 on the run line at home. They have been a good bet as an underdog, going 21-16 on the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.4, while it is -3.8 in losses.

The Tampa Bay Rays are at home today against the Seattle Mariners, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Rays have had a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 41-36. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 14-9. Overall, 66.2% of their games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.

Ryan Pepiot Gets The Start For The Rays

Ryan Pepiot will be looking to bounce back from a short outing vs. the Pirates, as he gets the start for the Rays today vs. the Mariners. Against the Pirates, he went just 3 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, four hits, and three walks. Pepiot finished with a no-decision in the outing. Looking back over his last three starts, Pepiot has finished with a no-decision, loss, and loss. His record for the season is 4-4, and his ERA is 4.61. Opponents are batting .210 vs. Pepiot this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.18 strikeouts and 3.12 walks.

Rays Offense Breakdown

tampa bay rays

Yandy Diaz has been on a tear for the Rays, hitting .379 over his last six games and has three homers in that stretch. For the season, he is batting .272 with seven homers. Isaac Paredes has been even better in the power department, as his 12 homers lead the team and is 13th in the league. He also has a team-high 41 RBIs.

As a team, the Rays are 23rd in scoring at 4.1 runs per game and have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .237, which is 15th in the league. Their team on-base percentage is 10th in the league, and they have the 9th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Mariners vs Rays Prediction

Our prediction for this Mariners vs. Rays matchup is to take the Rays on the money line, with the payout being -101. We actually have the Rays winning this one by a score of 5-4, giving us a little bit of wiggle room with the over/under line sitting at 7.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Ryan Pepiot is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is good for third-worst among starters. As for the Mariners starter, George Kirby is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is fourth-best among starters.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.