The Tampa Bay Rays (28-30) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (36-19) on Saturday, June 1st. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on BSSUN. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 3:05 CT.
Rays vs Orioles
Baltimore picked up a 3-1 win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a three-run 6th inning, scoring the game’s final run in the 2nd. As for the Rays, they got on the board with one run in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were favored at -147 on the money line.
Tampa Bay wasted a good outing from Aaron Civale, as he gave up just one run in 5 1/3 innings of work. Richard Lovelady took the loss. Cionel Perez got the win out of the bullpen for the Orioles as Albert Suarez went five innings, giving up one earned run.
Jorge Mateo, Anthony Santander, and Ryan Mountcastle each had two hits and an RBI for the Orioles’ offense. Mateo and Santander scored the game’s first two runs in the 1st. As for the Rays, their lone run came in the 6th on a Brandon Lowe RBI single.
Tampa Bay is 28-30 overall and is 5th in the AL East, 11.5 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. The Rays are looking to bounce back after dropping the first game of their series with the Orioles. So far, they have gone just 9-12 in AL East matchups.
At home, the Rays have gone 17-18 this year, and they are just above .500 at 11-12 on the road. Looking at how they have fared as the underdog, the Rays have dropped four straight as the underdog. As the favorite, Tampa Bay is 18-19 this year, and they are 10-11 when favored.
When the Rays win, they win big, with an average run margin of 2.3 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.8 runs per game. That’s why their run line record is just 23-35 this season, including 11-24 at home. On the road, they’re 12-11 vs. the run line, but they’ve failed to cover in two straight games and are just 4-11 in their last 15 games as the favorite.
Today, the Tampa Bay Rays are on the road against the Baltimore Orioles. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in Rays games this season is 8.6 runs per game. Overall, the Rays have a 29-28 over/under record this season. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Rays have a 9-7 over/under record. So far this season, 44.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs.
Taj Bradley Gets The Start For The Rays
Getting the start for the Rays is Taj Bradley, who will be on the road against the Orioles. Bradley has started 3 games so far this season, and he has a win and 2 no-decisions. In his last outing, he went 5 innings and picked up a win against the Red Sox, and he has 19 strikeouts in 17 innings of work so far.
Rays Offense Breakdown
Isaac Paredes has been one of the few bright spots in the Rays’ lineup this season, as he is batting .294 and has a team-high 10 home runs. Paredes also comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak. Randy Arozarena is 2nd on the team in homers but is batting just .158 so far this season.
Overall, the Rays are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in slugging percentage and OPS. As a team, they are batting just .232 and have the 21st ranked home run total in the MLB.
Baltimore is 36-19 overall, putting them 2nd in the AL East, two games behind the Yankees for the division lead. The Orioles have been good in divisional games this year, going 10-3. They have won two straight games, and they are 7-3 across their last ten.
At home, the Orioles are 20-11 this year compared to a 16-8 mark on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles have gone 29-17 and 7-2 as the underdog. Baltimore has an overall series record of 12-4-2, and they have won two straight series.
When the Orioles win, they usually cover the run line, as their average run margin in those games is +3.6. They are 31-24 against the run line this season, including 17-14 at home. They have won two in a row against the run line and are 24-22 as the favorite.
The Baltimore Orioles have an over/under record of 27-21 this season, and their games have averaged a combined 8.7 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone over the total 7 times, under 3 times, and pushed twice. Overall, 56.4% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.
Kyle Bradish Gets The Start For The Orioles
Kyle Bradish will be making his second start of the season at home, as he’s set to face the Rays. In his first outing of the year, Bradish went 7 innings and struck out 11 batters, allowing no runs and just 4 hits. He also had a solid outing in his first start, going 5 innings and striking out 6.
Orioles Offense Breakdown
The Orioles offense has been one of the league’s best this season, as they are 4th in runs per game and have the 2nd best home run total in the league. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 8th in the league, and have the best isolated power mark in the league. Baltimore has been especially good at avoiding strikeouts this season, as they are 9th in the league in strikeouts.
Adley Rutschman has been a big part of the Orioles offense, as his 10 home runs is 2nd on the team and 9th in the league. He is also batting .296 for the season. Gunnar Henderson has been the team’s top power threat, as his 18 homers is 2nd in the league and tops on the team. However, he is just 6/28 in his last eight games. Ryan Mountcastle has been hot of late, going 14/31 in his last eight games.
Rays vs Orioles Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Rays vs. Orioles game is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8 runs. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Orioles. However, with the money line payout for the Orioles at -164, we see more value in taking the over.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Kyle Bradish finishing with six strikeouts compared to Taj Bradley with five. However, we have Bradley going four innings, and Bradish going five. As for the Rays lineup, they are projected to finish with eight strikeouts compared to the Orioles with eight.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 1, 2024 Orioles, Rays