Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 9/8/2024

The Tampa Bay Rays (70-72) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (82-61) on Sunday, September 8th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on None. The Rays are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Orioles are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rays. First pitch is set for 11:05 CT.

Rays vs. Orioles Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Orioles (-202)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • The Orioles have a higher win percentage at home (42-32) compared to the Rays’ away record (33-34).
  • In the last 15 games, the Orioles have scored 5 or more runs in 8 games, showing strong offensive performance.
  • The Orioles have won 5 out of their last 7 home games, indicating a recent home-field advantage.
  • In head-to-head matchups this season, the Orioles have won 6 out of 9 games against the Rays.
  • The Orioles have a better overall record (82-61) compared to the Rays (70-72), indicating stronger season-long performance.

Rays vs Orioles

tampa bay rays nba

Tampa Bay cruised to a 7-1 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had a huge 3rd inning, scoring seven of their eight runs. As for the Orioles, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Rays were at +148 on the money line.

Ryan Pepiot got the win for the Rays, going just 5 1/3 innings but giving up just one run and striking out four. Zach Eflin had a rough outing for the Orioles, taking the loss after going 5 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.

Yandy Diaz and Taylor Walls each homered for the Rays, while Jonny DeLuca scored twice and drove in two runs while going 3/5. Cedric Mullins hit the only home run for the Orioles, going 1/2.

Currently, the Rays are 2 games behind the Red Sox for the final Wild Card spot, with a 70-72 overall record. In the AL East, they are 12 games behind the Yankees. Tampa Bay’s series record this season is 21-17-6.

When the Rays are underdogs, they have a 48-29 run line record, and their overall run line record is 72-70. The average run total in their games this season is 8.2, and their over/under record is 64-70. For games with a total of 7.5 runs, their O/U record is 22-25.

Zack Littell Gets The Start For The Rays

Zack Littell gets the start for the Rays today as he faces the Orioles on the road. So far this season, he has made 25 starts and has a record of 5-9. Littell’s ERA is 4.04, along with a WHIP of 1.35. Looking back at his last outing, Littell took the loss, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. He has given up at least one homer in three of his last four outings. One positive note is that he has a quality start in eight of his outings this year. Per nine innings, Littell is averaging 7.95 strikeouts compared to just 2.02 walks.

Rays Offense Breakdown

Yandy Diaz has been one of the few bright spots in the Rays lineup this season, as he is batting .279 and has gone deep 14 times. He is also on a good stretch of games, going 10/25 in his last seven games with three homers. Over that same stretch, Jonny DeLuca is hitting .344.

As a team, the Rays are near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories, including runs per game, home runs, and team batting average. Overall, they are averaging just 3.9 runs per contest. Currently, Christopher Morel is batting just .197, but he does lead the team with 21 homers.

With an overall series record of 24-13-7, the Orioles have won two straight series and are just a half-game behind the Yankees in the AL East. Baltimore has an 82-61 record and is 29-16 in AL East games. They have a 67-46 record as favorites this season, and their run-line record is 78-65.

This season, the Orioles’ games have averaged 9.3 runs, and their O/U record is 77-55. Today’s O/U line is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than usual, as 79.7% of their games have had O/U lines higher than 7.5 runs.

Corbin Burnes Gets The Start For The Orioles

Right-hander Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Rays at home. He has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 13-7 to go along with an ERA of 3.19. Burnes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.13. In his 28 starts, he has turned in 19 quality starts and is averaging 8.19 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Burnes got the win, going five innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. Before that, he had lost three straight starts.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

baltimore orioles

So far this season, the Orioles offense has been one of the league’s best, as they are 4th in runs per game (5) and are 2nd in home runs. As a team, they are batting .251, which is 6th in the league, and they lead the league in isolated power. Baltimore is also the top slugging team in the league. At home, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league.

Gunnar Henderson has been red hot of late, batting .357 over his last seven games with three homers. For the season, he is batting .279 with 36 homers. Anthony Santander also has been a big power threat for the team, as he is 3rd in the league with 39 homers and has driven in 91 runs.

Rays vs Orioles Prediction

Our prediction for the Orioles vs. Rays matchup is that the Orioles will come away with a 6-4 win. However, with the payout for an Orioles win being -202, we would recommend taking the over at 7.5 runs, with the payout being -112.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Corbin Burnes finishing with seven strikeouts, which is good for 10th in the league today. As for Zack Littell, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is the eighth worst among starters.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.