The Tampa Bay Rays (14-17) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (18-11) on Wednesday, May 1st. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on BSWI. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 1:10 ET.
Rays vs Brewers
It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Rays by a score of 8-2. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Rays and struck out 13 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -182 on the money line.
Tampa Bay actually got on the board first in this game, scoring one run in the 3rd inning. However, the Brewers responded with two runs in the 4th and broke the game open with a three-run 5th. As for the Rays, they scored their final run in the 6th.
Milwaukee’s starter, Freddy Peralta, only went 5 1/3 innings but gave up just one hit and two earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued zero walks. On the other side, Tyler Alexander got the start for the Rays and gave up three earned runs in four innings of work.
Tampa Bay is on the road today vs. the Brewers, and they are looking to get back to .500, as they are currently 14-17 this season. The Rays are 5th in the AL East, one game behind the Blue Jays for 4th place and six games behind the Orioles for the division lead. So far, they have gone 3-4 in divisional games.
The Rays dropped the first game of this series vs. the Brewers after taking the final game of their series vs. the White Sox. This year, they have struggled as the favorite, going just 10-13, and they are 4-5 as the favorite at home. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 3-4-2, and they have dropped three straight series.
When it comes to the run line, the Rays have been a team to fade, as they are 11-20 on the run line this season. They have been a bit better on the road, going 6-8 on the run line, but as the favorite, they are just 6-17. Their average run differential is -1.2 runs per game, and they have lost 11 straight games against the run line when favored.
The Tampa Bay Rays have had their games go over the total in 18 of their 31 games this season. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game, and the over/under line for their games this season has averaged 9 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their games have gone over the total in 6 of 13 games. Today’s over/under line for their game against the Milwaukee Brewers is 8.5 runs.
Zach Eflin Gets The Start For The Rays
Tampa Bay is sending right-hander Zach Eflin to the mound today against the Brewers. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 4.08. Eflin’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19. Looking at his overall numbers, Eflin has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 7.64 strikeouts per nine innings. In his most recent outing, Eflin took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had gone two straight outings without giving up an earned run. Eflin has allowed at least one homer in four of his six starts.
Rays Offense Breakdown
Isaac Paredes has been one of the Rays’ top hitters this season, batting .291 with a team-high seven home runs. He has also gone 12/34 in his last eight games, including two homers. Paredes comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak. Richie Palacios has also been a solid hitter for the Rays, with a batting average of .294 and an on-base percentage of .415.
As a team, the Rays are batting just .241 and are averaging only 3.8 runs per game. This is 23rd in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.8 runs per contest. Tampa Bay’s team on-base percentage of .303 is 15th in the league.
Milwaukee will host the Rays today with an overall record of 18-11, good for 1st place in the NL Central. The Brewers hold a half-game lead over the Cubs for the division lead. The Brewers won the final game of their series vs. the Rays and are 5-2-2 in series this year.
At home, the Brewers are just 6-7 this year, but they have been excellent on the road at 12-4. So far, they have gone 7-3 against other NL Central teams. Milwaukee has been really good in day games this year, going 11-4. As the underdog, the Brewers have lost two straight, and they are 9-6 overall as the underdog.
Despite an average run margin of +0.7 runs per game, the Milwaukee Brewers have a run line record of 13-16 this season. They are just 3-10 against the run line at home, where they have a scoring margin of -1.4 runs per game. However, they are 10-6 against the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of +2.3 runs per game. They are 9-6 against the run line as an underdog and have covered in two straight games when favored.
When the Brewers play at home, the over/under line is set at an average of 8 runs per game. This season, the over/under record in their games is 18-11, and the average combined run total in their games is 9.7. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the record is 12-4. Overall, only 6.9% of their games have had an over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The over/under line for today’s game against the Rays is set at 8.5 runs.
Colin Rea Gets The Start For The Brewers
Colin Rea has been solid in his first three starts of the season for the Brewers. He picked up a win in his first start, going six innings and allowing just one run. Rea followed that up with a no-decision against the Cardinals and then went six innings and gave up four earned runs in his last start vs. the Yankees.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
William Contreras comes into the game with a three-game hitting streak and is batting .345 for the season. He also leads the Brewers with 23 RBIs and is 6th in the league in RBIs. Rhys Hoskins and Christian Yelich have also been swinging the bat well, with Hoskins hitting .333 over his last five games and Yelich at .333 for the season.
As a team, the Brewers are 6th in scoring at 5.2 runs per game and are the top-scoring team in the league when they are on the road. Overall, they are 4th in home runs and have the league’s 4th best team batting average. Milwaukee is also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts.
Rays vs Brewers Prediction
Our predicted final score for today’s Rays vs. Brewers matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Brewers. Given that the Brewers are the underdog at +107, this is a great payout for a team that we have winning the game.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Colin Rea going 5 innings and Zach Eflin going 6. If you’re looking for a player prop bet, you could look at Eflin’s strikeout total, as we have him finishing with six K’s.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:May 1, 2024 Brewers, Rays